The Most Important Games for the UALR Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UALR Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UALR Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UALR (17‑11) vs Western Illinois (10‑18) |
58 | UALR Wins | 9% | 34% | 38% | 17% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 31% | 36% | 21% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Western Illinois Wins | <1% | 20% | 29% | 35% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Indiana (9‑18) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (19‑9) |
36 | Southern Indiana Wins | 7% | 44% | 25% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 31% | 36% | 21% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | 7% | 26% | 41% | 21% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee Tech (14‑14) vs Tennessee St. (14‑14) |
10 | Tennessee Tech Wins | 7% | 33% | 46% | 11% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 31% | 36% | 21% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee St. Wins | 7% | 30% | 24% | 32% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eastern Illinois (9‑19) vs Morehead St. (14‑14) |
2 | Eastern Illinois Wins | 7% | 31% | 36% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 31% | 36% | 21% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Morehead St. Wins | 7% | 31% | 36% | 20% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| SE Missouri St. (18‑10) vs Lindenwood (14‑14) |
1 | SE Missouri St. Wins | 4% | 34% | 38% | 21% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 31% | 36% | 21% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lindenwood Wins | 15% | 25% | 33% | 20% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||