The Most Important Games for the UALR Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UALR Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UALR Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UALR (3‑2) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (4‑3) |
31 | UALR Wins | 20% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 17% | ||
| Eastern Illinois (1‑4) vs SE Missouri St. (2‑3) |
4 | Eastern Illinois Wins | 19% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 18% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Morehead St. (2‑3) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (2‑2) |
3 | Morehead St. Wins | 19% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 15% | ||
| Western Illinois (2‑3) vs Tennessee Tech (3‑3) |
2 | Western Illinois Wins | 19% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Tennessee Tech Wins | 18% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Tennessee St. (3‑3) vs Southern Indiana (1‑4) |
1 | Tennessee St. Wins | 19% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Southern Indiana Wins | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 15% | ||