The Most Important Games for the UALR Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UALR Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UALR Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UALR (9‑7) vs SE Missouri St. (9‑8) |
46 | UALR Wins | 18% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 10% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Tennessee St. (6‑11) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (11‑6) |
5 | Tennessee St. Wins | 16% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | 15% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Southern Indiana (6‑10) vs Lindenwood (8‑9) |
2 | Southern Indiana Wins | 15% | 18% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Lindenwood Wins | 14% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Eastern Illinois (5‑11) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (7‑10) |
1 | Eastern Illinois Wins | 15% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 15% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Western Illinois (8‑9) vs Morehead St. (10‑7) |
1 | Western Illinois Wins | 17% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Morehead St. Wins | 15% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 5% | ||