The Most Important Games for the UALR Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UALR Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UALR Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UALR (10‑17) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (20‑8) |
15 | UALR Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 66% | 29% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 43% | 42% | 14% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 34% | 48% | 18% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (17‑10) vs Tennessee Tech (11‑16) |
14 | SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 43% | 42% | 14% | ||
| Tennessee Tech Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 39% | 37% | 23% | ||
| Morehead St. (15‑12) vs Eastern Illinois (11‑16) |
5 | Morehead St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 55% | 32% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 43% | 42% | 14% | ||
| Eastern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 27% | 55% | 18% | ||
| Lindenwood (16‑11) vs Tennessee St. (17‑9) |
1 | Lindenwood Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 43% | 42% | 14% | ||
| Tennessee St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 39% | 45% | 15% | ||
| Western Illinois (5‑22) vs Southern Indiana (5‑21) |
0 | Western Illinois Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 43% | 42% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 43% | 42% | 14% | ||
| Southern Indiana Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 43% | 42% | 14% | ||