The Most Important Games for the UALR Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UALR Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UALR Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Tennessee St. (9‑5) vs Western Illinois (4‑11) |
2 | Tennessee St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 36% | ||
| Western Illinois Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 38% | ||
| Lindenwood (9‑5) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (9‑6) |
2 | Lindenwood Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 36% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 37% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (11‑4) vs Morehead St. (7‑8) |
2 | Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 36% | ||
| Morehead St. Wins | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 36% | ||
| Tennessee Tech (6‑9) vs Eastern Illinois (4‑9) |
0 | Tennessee Tech Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 36% | ||
| Eastern Illinois Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 36% | ||
| SE Missouri St. (7‑7) vs Southern Indiana (3‑11) |
0 | SE Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 36% | ||
| Southern Indiana Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 37% | ||