The Most Important Games for the Boise State Broncos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Boise State Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Boise State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||||||
| Boise State (7‑1) vs Colorado St. (3‑5) |
4 | Boise State Wins | 84% | 12% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | |||
| Current Probabilities | 81% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | |||||
| Colorado St. Wins | 70% | 22% | 5% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | |||||
| Utah St. (3‑5) vs Fresno State (5‑3) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | 81% | 14% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | |||
| Current Probabilities | 81% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | |||||
| Fresno State Wins | 80% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | |||||
| Texas St. (4‑4) vs Oregon St. (5‑3) |
0 | Texas St. Wins | 90% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | |||
| Current Probabilities | 81% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | |||||
| Oregon St. Wins | 76% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | |||||