The Boise State Broncos What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Boise State plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 0 | 84% | 12% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 0 | 81% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 1 | 70% | 22% | 5% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 84% | 12% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 81% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 70% | 22% | 5% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Boise State beats Colorado St. |
Worst Case Scenario Colorado St. beats Boise State |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 7 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 6 | 1 | 86% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 5 | 2 | 28% | 48% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 4 | 3 | <1% | 4% | 35% | 45% | 13% | 4% | <1% | ^ |