The Most Important Games for the Fresno State Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fresno State Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fresno State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||||||
| Fresno State (5‑3) vs Utah St. (3‑5) |
27 | Fresno State Wins | <1% | 29% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 5% | ^ | |||
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 20% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 18% | 14% | <1% | |||||
| Utah St. Wins | X | 2% | 9% | 22% | 9% | 34% | 23% | <1% | |||||
| Texas St. (4‑4) vs Oregon St. (5‑3) |
6 | Texas St. Wins | <1% | 24% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 16% | 15% | <1% | |||
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 20% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 18% | 14% | <1% | |||||
| Oregon St. Wins | <1% | 18% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 21% | 12% | <1% | |||||
| Boise State (7‑1) vs Colorado St. (3‑5) |
0 | Boise State Wins | <1% | 21% | 15% | 19% | 13% | 18% | 14% | <1% | |||
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 20% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 18% | 14% | <1% | |||||
| Colorado St. Wins | 1% | 19% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 20% | 14% | ^ | |||||