The Fresno State Bulldogs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Fresno State plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 47% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 32% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 11% | 26% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 7 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 6 | 1 | 77% | 21% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 5 | 2 | 17% | 51% | 28% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 4 | 3 | <1% | 7% | 36% | 39% | 16% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 3 | 4 | X | X | 1% | 15% | 40% | 36% | 8% | <1% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 30% | 51% | 14% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 1 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 37% | 61% |