The Most Important Games for the American Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. American Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
American Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| American (17‑11) vs Boston U. (14‑14) |
20 | American Wins | 76% | 21% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 62% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 34% | 43% | 15% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola-MD (10‑16) vs Colgate (12‑16) |
3 | Loyola-MD Wins | 61% | 33% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 62% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colgate Wins | 62% | 24% | 9% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bucknell (14‑14) vs Army (16‑11) |
0 | Bucknell Wins | 69% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 62% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Army Wins | 57% | 35% | 6% | 1% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lafayette (10‑18) vs Lehigh (10‑16) |
0 | Lafayette Wins | 62% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 62% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 62% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy (10‑18) vs Holy Cross (13‑15) |
0 | Navy Wins | 62% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 62% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 62% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||