The Most Important Games for the American Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. American Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
American Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Lehigh (6‑9) vs Boston U. (8‑9) |
2 | Lehigh Wins | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Navy (5‑12) vs Colgate (6‑11) |
1 | Navy Wins | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Colgate Wins | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Lafayette (7‑10) vs Army (8‑8) |
1 | Lafayette Wins | 21% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Army Wins | 20% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Bucknell (6‑11) vs Holy Cross (10‑7) |
1 | Bucknell Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 19% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||