The Most Important Games for the American Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. American Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
American Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| American (13‑11) vs Navy (18‑6) |
27 | American Wins | 2% | 26% | 39% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 15% | 38% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Navy Wins | <1% | 10% | 38% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Holy Cross (8‑16) vs Lehigh (10‑14) |
3 | Holy Cross Wins | 1% | 16% | 41% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 15% | 38% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 1% | 16% | 35% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Boston U. (9‑15) vs Loyola-MD (9‑15) |
2 | Boston U. Wins | 1% | 16% | 38% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 15% | 38% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 1% | 15% | 38% | 20% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Army (10‑14) vs Lafayette (6‑17) |
1 | Army Wins | 1% | 16% | 38% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 15% | 38% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lafayette Wins | 1% | 15% | 38% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Colgate (14‑10) vs Bucknell (8‑15) |
1 | Colgate Wins | 1% | 13% | 42% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 15% | 38% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bucknell Wins | 1% | 20% | 29% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||