The Most Important Games for the American Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. American Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
American Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| American (1‑4) vs Navy (1‑4) |
23 | American Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Navy Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Lafayette (1‑4) vs Boston U. (1‑4) |
1 | Lafayette Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Bucknell (4‑2) vs Lehigh (1‑4) |
1 | Bucknell Wins | 6% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Loyola-MD (2‑3) vs Holy Cross (4‑2) |
0 | Loyola-MD Wins | 6% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 6% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Army (3‑2) vs Colgate (1‑3) |
0 | Army Wins | 6% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||
| Colgate Wins | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||