The Most Important Games for the American Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. American Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
American Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| American (16‑14) vs Boston U. (14‑16) |
59 | American Wins | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston U. Wins | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lehigh (14‑16) vs Bucknell (9‑21) |
0 | Lehigh Wins | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bucknell Wins | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lafayette (10‑20) vs Army (11‑19) |
0 | Lafayette Wins | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Army Wins | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holy Cross (10‑20) vs Loyola-MD (11‑19) |
0 | Holy Cross Wins | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy (24‑6) vs Colgate (17‑13) |
0 | Navy Wins | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colgate Wins | X | X | X | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||