The Most Important Games for the American Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. American Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
American Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| American (10‑8) vs Army (7‑11) |
25 | American Wins | 19% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Army Wins | 11% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lafayette (4‑14) vs Holy Cross (8‑10) |
4 | Lafayette Wins | 18% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 16% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Navy (12‑6) vs Lehigh (7‑10) |
0 | Navy Wins | 16% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 19% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bucknell (6‑12) vs Colgate (10‑8) |
0 | Bucknell Wins | 19% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Colgate Wins | 16% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola-MD (5‑13) vs Boston U. (7‑11) |
0 | Loyola-MD Wins | 16% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 17% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||