The Most Important Games for the Army Black Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Army Black Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Army (8‑8) vs Lafayette (7‑10) |
39 | Army Wins | 19% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Lafayette Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Lehigh (6‑9) vs Boston U. (8‑9) |
2 | Lehigh Wins | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Holy Cross (10‑7) vs Bucknell (6‑11) |
2 | Holy Cross Wins | 18% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Bucknell Wins | 18% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Navy (5‑12) vs Colgate (6‑11) |
0 | Navy Wins | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Colgate Wins | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||