The Most Important Games for the Army Black Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Army Black Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Army (3‑2) vs Colgate (1‑3) |
20 | Army Wins | 29% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Colgate Wins | 22% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Boston U. (1‑4) vs Lafayette (1‑4) |
1 | Boston U. Wins | 27% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Lafayette Wins | 28% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Navy (1‑4) vs American (1‑4) |
1 | Navy Wins | 29% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| American Wins | 28% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Loyola-MD (2‑3) vs Holy Cross (4‑2) |
1 | Loyola-MD Wins | 29% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 28% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Lehigh (1‑4) vs Bucknell (4‑2) |
1 | Lehigh Wins | 29% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Bucknell Wins | 28% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||