The Most Important Games for the Army Black Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Army Black Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Army (16‑11) vs Bucknell (14‑14) |
45 | Army Wins | 42% | 54% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bucknell Wins | 2% | 17% | 56% | 21% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston U. (14‑14) vs American (17‑11) |
5 | Boston U. Wins | 38% | 22% | 24% | 11% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| American Wins | 15% | 40% | 33% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola-MD (10‑16) vs Colgate (12‑16) |
4 | Loyola-MD Wins | 24% | 36% | 30% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colgate Wins | 22% | 33% | 28% | 14% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holy Cross (13‑15) vs Navy (10‑18) |
2 | Holy Cross Wins | 23% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy Wins | 22% | 33% | 31% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lafayette (10‑18) vs Lehigh (10‑16) |
0 | Lafayette Wins | 22% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 22% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||