The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (6‑2) vs Kentucky (6‑4) |
34 | Alabama Wins | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kentucky Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Vanderbilt (8‑0) vs South Carolina (6‑3) |
1 | Vanderbilt Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| South Carolina Wins | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (4‑5) vs Texas (6‑4) |
1 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas (6‑2) vs Tennessee (7‑3) |
1 | Arkansas Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tennessee Wins | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia (8‑1) vs Auburn (6‑2) |
1 | Georgia Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Auburn Wins | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Missouri (9‑2) vs Florida (5‑4) |
1 | Missouri Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Wins | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| LSU (7‑1) vs Texas A&M (7‑3) |
1 | LSU Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ole Miss (5‑3) vs Oklahoma (6‑2) |
1 | Ole Miss Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||