The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (14‑2) vs Ole Miss (14‑2) |
43 | Alabama Wins | 34% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Missouri (13‑3) vs Florida (15‑1) |
1 | Missouri Wins | 28% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Wins | 27% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Carolina (10‑6) vs Vanderbilt (13‑3) |
1 | South Carolina Wins | 27% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LSU (11‑5) vs Arkansas (11‑5) |
1 | LSU Wins | 28% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas Wins | 27% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma (13‑3) vs Texas (11‑5) |
1 | Oklahoma Wins | 27% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Wins | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia (14‑2) vs Tennessee (15‑1) |
1 | Georgia Wins | 27% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tennessee Wins | 27% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Auburn (15‑1) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (14‑2) |
0 | Auburn Wins | 27% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 30% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kentucky (13‑3) vs Texas A&M (13‑3) |
0 | Kentucky Wins | 27% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | 27% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||