The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (17‑7) vs Arkansas (19‑6) |
74 | Alabama Wins | 3% | 27% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma (13‑12) vs Tennessee (18‑7) |
12 | Oklahoma Wins | 2% | 19% | 19% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee Wins | 2% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia (18‑8) vs Texas (16‑9) |
9 | Georgia Wins | 2% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Wins | 2% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri (17‑8) vs Vanderbilt (20‑4) |
7 | Missouri Wins | 2% | 21% | 18% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | 2% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss (11‑14) vs Texas A&M (17‑8) |
2 | Ole Miss Wins | 2% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | 2% | 17% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (12‑13) vs Auburn (14‑11) |
1 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 2% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auburn Wins | 2% | 17% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||