The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (12‑5) vs Tennessee (12‑6) |
49 | Alabama Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tennessee Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LSU (13‑6) vs Arkansas (14‑5) |
5 | LSU Wins | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma (11‑8) vs Missouri (13‑6) |
5 | Oklahoma Wins | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Missouri Wins | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (10‑8) vs Texas A&M (14‑4) |
4 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kentucky (12‑6) vs Texas (10‑7) |
2 | Kentucky Wins | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Auburn (12‑7) vs Florida (14‑5) |
0 | Auburn Wins | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Wins | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||