The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (8‑3) vs Kentucky (9‑4) |
34 | Alabama Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kentucky Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Tennessee (9‑3) vs Arkansas (8‑3) |
2 | Tennessee Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| South Carolina (8‑4) vs Vanderbilt (11‑0) |
2 | South Carolina Wins | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Texas (8‑4) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (7‑5) |
2 | Texas Wins | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Texas A&M (9‑3) vs LSU (10‑1) |
1 | Texas A&M Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| LSU Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Oklahoma (9‑2) vs Ole Miss (7‑4) |
0 | Oklahoma Wins | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Florida (8‑4) vs Missouri (10‑3) |
0 | Florida Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Missouri Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Auburn (7‑3) vs Georgia (11‑1) |
0 | Auburn Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||