The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (21‑5) vs Kentucky (18‑8) |
49 | Alabama Wins | 6% | 33% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kentucky Wins | 2% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas (15‑11) vs Missouri (20‑6) |
11 | Arkansas Wins | 5% | 32% | 25% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri Wins | 4% | 25% | 23% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vanderbilt (17‑9) vs Ole Miss (19‑7) |
5 | Vanderbilt Wins | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 4% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LSU (14‑12) vs Florida (23‑3) |
5 | LSU Wins | 4% | 34% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Wins | 5% | 27% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma (16‑10) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (19‑7) |
1 | Oklahoma Wins | 4% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 5% | 27% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M (20‑6) vs Tennessee (21‑5) |
1 | Texas A&M Wins | 5% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee Wins | 4% | 27% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Carolina (10‑16) vs Texas (16‑10) |
1 | South Carolina Wins | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Wins | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia (16‑10) vs Auburn (24‑2) |
0 | Georgia Wins | 9% | 24% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auburn Wins | 4% | 28% | 24% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||