The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (4‑1) vs Oklahoma (4‑0) |
29 | Alabama Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Oklahoma Wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (5‑0) vs South Carolina (3‑2) |
2 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| South Carolina Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Georgia (6‑1) vs Ole Miss (5‑0) |
2 | Georgia Wins | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| LSU (5‑1) vs Vanderbilt (6‑1) |
1 | LSU Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Texas (5‑1) vs Texas A&M (4‑1) |
1 | Texas Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Kentucky (5‑0) vs Florida (6‑0) |
1 | Kentucky Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Florida Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Auburn (4‑0) vs Missouri (5‑1) |
1 | Auburn Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Missouri Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Arkansas (4‑1) vs Tennessee (6‑0) |
0 | Arkansas Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Tennessee Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||