The Most Important Games for the Arkansas Razorbacks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Razorbacks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arkansas Razorbacks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Arkansas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Arkansas (15‑11) vs Missouri (20‑6) |
2 | Arkansas Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Missouri Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 17% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 8% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma (16‑10) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (19‑7) |
1 | Oklahoma Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 7% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Alabama (21‑5) vs Kentucky (18‑8) |
1 | Alabama Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 19% | 25% | 18% | 13% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Kentucky Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Vanderbilt (17‑9) vs Ole Miss (19‑7) |
0 | Vanderbilt Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 19% | 26% | 19% | 14% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 20% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 5% | <1% | ||
| South Carolina (10‑16) vs Texas (16‑10) |
0 | South Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Texas Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Florida (23‑3) vs LSU (14‑12) |
0 | Florida Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ||
| LSU Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 10% | <1% | ||
| Texas A&M (20‑6) vs Tennessee (21‑5) |
0 | Texas A&M Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Tennessee Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 5% | <1% | ||
| Auburn (24‑2) vs Georgia (16‑10) |
0 | Auburn Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 13% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 7% | <1% | ||