The Texas A&M Aggies What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| Win Next Game | 10 | 4 | 1% | 13% | 23% | 27% | 22% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 9 | 4 | 1% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 9 | 5 | <1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 1% | 13% | 26% | 34% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 1% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Texas A&M beats Tennessee Oklahoma beats Mississippi St. Arkansas beats Missouri |
Worst Case Scenario Tennessee beats Texas A&M Mississippi St. beats Oklahoma Missouri beats Arkansas |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 14 | 4 | 16% | 69% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 13 | 5 | 1% | 29% | 49% | 19% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 12 | 6 | <1% | 2% | 19% | 39% | 30% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 11 | 7 | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 28% | 36% | 23% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 10 | 8 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 36% | 36% | 14% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 9 | 9 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 24% | 49% | 20% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |