The Most Important Games for the Texas Longhorns are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Longhorns final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas Longhorns fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Texas (16‑9) vs Georgia (18‑8) |
62 | Texas Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma (13‑12) vs Tennessee (18‑7) |
7 | Oklahoma Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (12‑13) vs Auburn (14‑11) |
6 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auburn Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss (11‑14) vs Texas A&M (17‑8) |
5 | Ole Miss Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas (19‑6) vs Alabama (17‑7) |
2 | Arkansas Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Alabama Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri (17‑8) vs Vanderbilt (20‑4) |
1 | Missouri Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||