The Most Important Games for the Texas Longhorns are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Longhorns final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas Longhorns fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Texas (7‑2) vs Georgia (8‑1) |
17 | Texas Wins | 5% | 12% | 18% | 49% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 39% | 33% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida (3‑6) vs Ole Miss (9‑1) |
6 | Florida Wins | 3% | 10% | 8% | 20% | 24% | 22% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma (7‑2) vs Alabama (8‑1) |
4 | Oklahoma Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 19% | 21% | 22% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Alabama Wins | 1% | 5% | 7% | 22% | 30% | 26% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Carolina (3‑6) vs Texas A&M (9‑0) |
4 | South Carolina Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 27% | 17% | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 27% | 24% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas (2‑7) vs LSU (5‑4) |
0 | Arkansas Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 21% | 27% | 24% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LSU Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 20% | 27% | 25% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri (6‑3) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (5‑5) |
0 | Missouri Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 21% | 28% | 25% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||