Are the Texas Longhorns going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Texas playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Longhorns will win the division and play in the Conference Championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| Texas A&M | 1i Texas A&M Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 31 vs Notre Dame 13-23 Won Sat, Sep 07 vs McNeese 52-10 Won Sat, Sep 14 @ Florida 33-20 Sat, Sep 21 vs Bowling Green Sat, Sep 28 vs Arkansas Sat, Oct 05 vs Missouri Sat, Oct 19 @ Mississippi St. |
0 | 1 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 2% |
| Georgia | 1 Georgia Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 31 vs Clemson 34-3 Won Sat, Sep 07 vs Tennessee Tech 48-3 Won Sat, Sep 14 @ Kentucky 13-12 Sat, Sep 28 @ Alabama Sat, Oct 05 vs Auburn Sat, Oct 12 vs Mississippi St. Sat, Oct 19 @ Texas |
0 | 1 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| LSU | 1 LSU Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 01 vs USC 20-27 Won Sat, Sep 07 vs Nicholls 44-21 Won Sat, Sep 14 @ South Carolina 36-33 Sat, Sep 21 vs UCLA Sat, Sep 28 vs South Alabama Sat, Oct 12 vs Ole Miss Sat, Oct 19 @ Arkansas |
0 | 1 | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| South Carolina | 1 South Carolina Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 31 vs Old Dominion 23-19 Won Sat, Sep 07 @ Kentucky 31-6 Lost Sat, Sep 14 vs LSU 33-36 Sat, Sep 21 vs Akron Sat, Oct 05 vs Ole Miss Sat, Oct 12 @ Alabama Sat, Oct 19 @ Oklahoma |
1 | 2 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 2% |
| Texas | 0 Texas Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 31 vs Colorado St. 52-0 Won Sat, Sep 07 @ Michigan 31-12 Won Sat, Sep 14 vs UTSA 56-7 Sat, Sep 21 vs LA Monroe Sat, Sep 28 vs Mississippi St. Sat, Oct 12 @ Oklahoma Sat, Oct 19 vs Georgia |
0 | 0 | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Alabama | 0 Alabama Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 31 vs W. Kentucky 63-0 Won Sat, Sep 07 vs South Florida 42-16 Won Sat, Sep 14 @ Wisconsin 42-10 Sat, Sep 28 vs Georgia Sat, Oct 05 @ Vanderbilt Sat, Oct 12 vs South Carolina Sat, Oct 19 @ Tennessee |
0 | 0 | 16% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Missouri | 0 Missouri Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 29 vs Murray State 51-0 Won Sat, Sep 07 vs Buffalo 38-0 Won Sat, Sep 14 vs Boston College 27-21 Sat, Sep 21 vs Vanderbilt Sat, Oct 05 @ Texas A&M Sat, Oct 12 @ UMass Sat, Oct 19 vs Auburn |
0 | 0 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Ole Miss | 0 Ole Miss Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 31 vs Furman 76-0 Won Sat, Sep 07 vs Middle Tenn. St. 52-3 Won Sat, Sep 14 @ Wake Forest 40-6 Sat, Sep 21 vs Ga. Southern Sat, Sep 28 vs Kentucky Sat, Oct 05 @ South Carolina Sat, Oct 12 @ LSU |
0 | 0 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Oklahoma | 0 Oklahoma Recent Games Won Fri, Aug 30 vs Temple 51-3 Won Sat, Sep 07 vs Houston 16-12 Won Sat, Sep 14 vs Tulane 34-19 Sat, Sep 21 vs Tennessee Sat, Sep 28 @ Auburn Sat, Oct 12 vs Texas Sat, Oct 19 vs South Carolina |
0 | 0 | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Tennessee | 0 Tennessee Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 31 vs Chattanooga 69-3 Won Sat, Sep 07 @ N.C. State 51-10 Won Sat, Sep 14 vs Kent State 71-0 Sat, Sep 21 @ Oklahoma Sat, Oct 05 @ Arkansas Sat, Oct 12 vs Florida Sat, Oct 19 vs Alabama |
0 | 0 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% |
| Arkansas | 0 Arkansas Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 29 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff 70-0 Lost Sat, Sep 07 @ Oklahoma St. 31-39 Won Sat, Sep 14 vs UAB 37-27 Sat, Sep 21 @ Auburn Sat, Sep 28 @ Texas A&M Sat, Oct 05 vs Tennessee Sat, Oct 19 vs LSU |
0 | 0 | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Vanderbilt | 0 Vanderbilt Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 31 vs Virginia Tech 34-27 Won Sat, Sep 07 vs Alcorn State 55-0 Lost Sat, Sep 14 @ Georgia St. 32-36 Sat, Sep 21 @ Missouri Sat, Oct 05 vs Alabama Sat, Oct 12 @ Kentucky Sat, Oct 19 vs Ball State |
0 | 0 | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Auburn | 0 Auburn Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 31 vs Alabama A&M 73-3 Lost Sat, Sep 07 vs California 14-21 Lost Sat, Sep 07 vs California 20-21 Won Sat, Sep 14 vs New Mexico 45-19 Sat, Sep 21 vs Arkansas Sat, Sep 28 vs Oklahoma Sat, Oct 05 @ Georgia Sat, Oct 19 @ Missouri |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% |
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. | 0 Mississippi St. Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 31 vs Eastern Kentucky 56-7 Lost Sat, Sep 07 @ Arizona St. 23-30 Lost Sat, Sep 14 vs Toledo 17-41 Sat, Sep 21 vs Florida Sat, Sep 28 @ Texas Sat, Oct 12 @ Georgia Sat, Oct 19 vs Texas A&M |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% |
| Florida | 0 Florida Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 31 vs Miami 17-41 Won Sat, Sep 07 vs Samford 45-7 Lost Sat, Sep 14 vs Texas A&M 20-33 Sat, Sep 21 @ Mississippi St. Sat, Oct 05 vs UCF Sat, Oct 12 @ Tennessee Sat, Oct 19 vs Kentucky |
1 | 1 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 21% |
| Kentucky | 0 Kentucky Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 31 vs Southern Miss 31-0 Lost Sat, Sep 07 vs South Carolina 6-31 Lost Sat, Sep 14 vs Georgia 12-13 Sat, Sep 21 vs Ohio Sat, Sep 28 @ Ole Miss Sat, Oct 12 vs Vanderbilt Sat, Oct 19 @ Florida |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 20% |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. (1‑2) |
Home | Sat Sep 28, TBD | |
| 7 | Oklahoma (3‑0) |
Away | Sat Oct 12, 3:30 pm | |
| 8 | Georgia (3‑0) |
Home | Sat Oct 19, TBD | |
| 9 | Vanderbilt (2‑1) |
Away | Sat Oct 26, TBD | |
| 11 | Florida (1‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 9, 12:00 pm | |
| 12 | Arkansas (2‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 16, 12:00 pm | |
| 13 | Kentucky (1‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 23, TBD | |
| 14 | Texas A&M (2‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 30, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado St. (1‑2) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 52‑0 | Home | Sat Aug 31, 3:30 pm |
| 2 | Michigan (2‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | 31‑12 | Away | Sat Sep 7, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | UTSA (1‑2) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 56‑7 | Home | Sat Sep 14, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | LA Monroe (2‑0) |
SunbeltSunbelt | Home | Sat Sep 21, 8:00 pm |