The Most Important Games for the Mercer Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercer Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercer Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercer (17‑10) vs ChattanoogaChattan. (10‑17) |
2 | Mercer Wins | 4% | 38% | 26% | 23% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 35% | 26% | 25% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | 1% | 22% | 26% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| E. Tennessee St. (20‑8) vs N.C. Greensboro (12‑16) |
1 | E. Tennessee St. Wins | 1% | 34% | 28% | 25% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 35% | 26% | 25% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| N.C. Greensboro Wins | 7% | 37% | 22% | 23% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| VMI (6‑22) vs Western Carolina (11‑15) |
0 | VMI Wins | 3% | 35% | 27% | 25% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 35% | 26% | 25% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | 3% | 35% | 25% | 24% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wofford (18‑10) vs Furman (17‑11) |
0 | Wofford Wins | 2% | 29% | 29% | 32% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 35% | 26% | 25% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Furman Wins | 3% | 42% | 21% | 16% | 15% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Samford (15‑12) vs Citadel (9‑18) |
0 | Samford Wins | 3% | 33% | 24% | 28% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 35% | 26% | 25% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Citadel Wins | 3% | 39% | 31% | 16% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||