The Most Important Games for the Mercer Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercer Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercer Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercer (9‑7) vs Wofford (11‑4) |
10 | Mercer Wins | 7% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Wofford Wins | 2% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Citadel (3‑13) vs Western Carolina (5‑9) |
3 | Citadel Wins | 5% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Furman (11‑5) vs VMI (6‑10) |
2 | Furman Wins | 5% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| VMI Wins | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. (11‑5) vs N.C. Greensboro (6‑10) |
1 | E. Tennessee St. Wins | 5% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro Wins | 6% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Samford (9‑7) vs ChattanoogaChattan. (6‑10) |
0 | Samford Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | 5% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||