The Most Important Games for the Mercer Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercer Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercer Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercer (9‑8) vs Samford (14‑3) |
15 | Mercer Wins | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Samford Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 3% | ||
| VMI (6‑11) vs Western Carolina (5‑10) |
3 | VMI Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Furman (14‑2) vs E. Tennessee St. (10‑7) |
2 | Furman Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Wofford (8‑8) vs ChattanoogaChattan. (10‑7) |
1 | Wofford Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 7% | 2% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro (10‑7) vs Citadel (5‑10) |
0 | N.C. Greensboro Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Citadel Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 3% | ||