The Most Important Games for the Mercer Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercer Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercer Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercer (2‑3) vs ChattanoogaChattan. (3‑3) |
9 | Mercer Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 16% | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 17% | ||
| Wofford (1‑3) vs N.C. Greensboro (2‑2) |
1 | Wofford Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 16% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Furman (5‑0) vs Western Carolina (2‑2) |
1 | Furman Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 16% | ||
| VMI (4‑2) vs E. Tennessee St. (2‑2) |
1 | VMI Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 16% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Citadel (3‑3) vs Samford (4‑2) |
0 | Citadel Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Samford Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 16% | ||