The Most Important Games for the Mercer Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercer Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercer Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| VMI (13‑15) vs Furman (20‑8) |
0 | VMI Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 72% | 24% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 22% | 55% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Furman Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 25% | 51% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Samford (20‑8) vs Western Carolina (8‑18) |
0 | Samford Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 22% | 57% | 22% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 22% | 55% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 21% | 46% | 33% | ^ | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. (20‑8) vs Citadel (5‑21) |
0 | ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 22% | 55% | 24% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 22% | 55% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Citadel Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 22% | 55% | 24% | ^ | ||
| Mercer (12‑16) vs N.C. Greensboro (18‑10) |
0 | Mercer Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 43% | 46% | 11% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 22% | 55% | 24% | ^ | ||
| N.C. Greensboro Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 10% | 59% | 31% | ^ | ||
| Wofford (15‑13) vs E. Tennessee St. (16‑12) |
0 | Wofford Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 22% | 55% | 24% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | 22% | 55% | 24% | ^ | ||
| E. Tennessee St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 22% | 55% | 24% | ^ | ||