The Most Important Games for the Mercer Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercer Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercer Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercer (7‑3) vs Furman (7‑4) |
5 | Mercer Wins | 27% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Furman Wins | 17% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| E. Tennessee St. (8‑3) vs Citadel (3‑8) |
1 | E. Tennessee St. Wins | 22% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Citadel Wins | 25% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Wofford (6‑3) vs Western Carolina (4‑6) |
1 | Wofford Wins | 22% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Western Carolina Wins | 24% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| VMI (5‑7) vs Samford (5‑6) |
0 | VMI Wins | 23% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Samford Wins | 22% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| N.C. Greensboro (3‑8) vs ChattanoogaChattan. (5‑6) |
0 | N.C. Greensboro Wins | 23% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| ChattanoogaChattan. Wins | 22% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||