The Most Important Games for the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lumberjacks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Stephen F. Austin Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| McNeese (22‑5) vs Texas A&M C.C. (14‑13) |
0 | McNeese Wins | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (8‑19) vs Houston Christian (10‑17) |
0 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SE Louisiana (8‑19) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (15‑12) |
0 | SE Louisiana Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Texas A&M (11‑17) vs Incarnate Word (10‑17) |
0 | East Texas A&M Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Incarnate Word Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (24‑3) vs Nicholls St. (11‑16) |
0 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | 93% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lamar (12‑15) vs New Orleans (12‑15) |
0 | Lamar Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| New Orleans Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||