The Most Important Games for the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lumberjacks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Stephen F. Austin Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Stephen F. Austin (7‑2) vs Texas A&M C.C. (3‑5) |
25 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 33% | 21% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 26% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (3‑6) vs Lamar (5‑3) |
3 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 33% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Lamar Wins | 32% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| East Texas A&M (5‑5) vs SE Louisiana (4‑6) |
2 | East Texas A&M Wins | 32% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | 32% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Houston Christian (4‑5) vs McNeese (9‑2) |
1 | Houston Christian Wins | 34% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| McNeese Wins | 31% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||