The Most Important Games for the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lumberjacks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Stephen F. Austin Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Stephen F. Austin (0‑0) vs East Texas A&M (0‑0) |
23 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 36% | ||
| SE Louisiana (0‑0) vs Incarnate Word (0‑0) |
2 | SE Louisiana Wins | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Incarnate Word Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 34% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (0‑0) vs Lamar (0‑0) |
2 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Lamar Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 34% | ||
| McNeese (0‑0) vs Houston Christian (0‑0) |
1 | McNeese Wins | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 34% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (0‑0) vs Nicholls St. (0‑0) |
1 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 33% | ||