Where are the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Stephen F. Austin standings table presents the probabilities of the Lumberjacks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Lamar | 2i Lamar Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 07 @ UT-Rio 84-52 Won Sat, Dec 14 @ LA Lafayette 74-45 Won Tue, Dec 17 @ Southern Miss 69-65 Lost Sat, Dec 21 @ Texas Tech 57-101 Mon, Dec 30 vs TAMU-San Antonio Sat, Jan 04 vs H. Christian Mon, Jan 06 vs Incarnate W. Sat, Jan 11 vs Stephen F. Austin |
0 | 2 | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 17% |
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St | 2 Northwestern St. Recent Games Won Thu, Dec 05 @ Incarnate W. 72-70 Won Sat, Dec 07 @ H. Christian 64-57 Lost Sat, Dec 14 @ California 66-84 Won Fri, Dec 20 vs Southern-N.O. 89-79 Sun, Dec 29 @ Texas Sat, Jan 04 vs Nicholls St. Mon, Jan 06 vs McNeese Sat, Jan 11 vs TX A&M-Comm |
0 | 2 | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 19% |
| Nicholls St. | 2 Nicholls St. Recent Games Won Thu, Dec 05 vs SE Louisiana 67-64 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs N. Orleans 73-70 Won Tue, Dec 10 vs Southern-N.O. 110-66 Lost Wed, Dec 18 @ Gonzaga 72-102 Mon, Dec 30 @ Seattle Sat, Jan 04 @ NWestrn St Mon, Jan 06 @ TX A&M-Comm Sat, Jan 11 @ McNeese |
0 | 2 | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% |
| UT-Rio Grande Valley | 1 UT-Rio Grande Valley Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs Lamar 52-84 Won Sat, Dec 14 vs Northern N.M. 72-60 Won Wed, Dec 18 vs Southern Utah 78-73 Won Sat, Dec 21 vs Biblical Stud. (TX) 106-56 Mon, Dec 30 vs Dallas Christian Sat, Jan 04 @ N. Orleans Mon, Jan 06 @ SE Louisiana Sat, Jan 11 @ TX A&M C.C. |
1 | 2 | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 11% |
| Incarnate Word | 1 Incarnate Word Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 07 vs TX A&M-Comm 65-53 Lost Tue, Dec 10 @ Duke 46-72 Won Sun, Dec 15 vs Our Lady of the Lake 93-69 Won Thu, Dec 19 vs Schreiner 101-57 Sun, Dec 29 vs Texas Lutheran Sat, Jan 04 @ Stephen F. Austin Mon, Jan 06 @ Lamar Sat, Jan 11 @ H. Christian |
1 | 2 | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 29% |
| Texas A&M C.C. | 1 Texas A&M C.C. Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Stephen F. Austin 67-48 Lost Sun, Dec 15 @ Hawai'i 62-71 Won Wed, Dec 18 vs S'western Adventist 117-63 Lost Sat, Dec 21 @ Houston 51-87 Sun, Dec 29 vs Schreiner Sat, Jan 04 @ SE Louisiana Mon, Jan 06 @ N. Orleans Sat, Jan 11 vs UT-Rio |
1 | 2 | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 31% |
| Houston Christian | 1 Houston Christian Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs NWestrn St 57-64 Won Tue, Dec 17 @ UL Monroe 74-68 Lost Fri, Dec 20 @ Texas A&M 45-77 Lost Sun, Dec 22 @ North Texas 46-62 Sat, Jan 04 @ Lamar Mon, Jan 06 @ Stephen F. Austin Sat, Jan 11 vs Incarnate W. Mon, Jan 13 vs McNeese |
1 | 2 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 58% |
| McNeese | 0 McNeese Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 03 vs Santa Clara 67-74 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs LeTourneau 103-69 Lost Sat, Dec 14 @ Mississippi St. 63-66 Won Sun, Dec 22 @ LA Lafayette 64-56 Sat, Dec 28 vs N. Orleans Mon, Dec 30 vs SE Louisiana Sat, Jan 04 @ TX A&M-Comm Mon, Jan 06 @ NWestrn St |
0 | 0 | 27% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| SE Louisiana | 0 SE Louisiana Recent Games Lost Thu, Dec 05 @ Nicholls St. 64-67 Lost Wed, Dec 11 @ LA Lafayette 61-68 Won Mon, Dec 16 @ Grambling 75-65 Won Fri, Dec 20 vs Loyola (LA) 96-62 Mon, Dec 30 @ McNeese Sat, Jan 04 vs TX A&M C.C. Mon, Jan 06 vs UT-Rio Sat, Jan 11 @ N. Orleans |
1 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 46% |
| New Orleans | 0 New Orleans Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Nicholls St. 70-73 Lost Sun, Dec 15 @ Iowa 57-104 Lost Thu, Dec 19 @ Texas 62-98 Lost Sun, Dec 22 @ LSU 70-86 Sat, Dec 28 @ McNeese Mon, Dec 30 @ Vanderbilt Sat, Jan 04 vs UT-Rio Mon, Jan 06 vs TX A&M C.C. |
1 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 55% |
| Stephen F. Austin | 0 Stephen F. Austin Recent Games Lost Thu, Dec 05 @ UT-Rio 65-68 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ TX A&M C.C. 48-67 Lost Sun, Dec 15 @ Oregon 61-79 Won Fri, Dec 20 vs Texas Wesleyan 82-56 Tue, Dec 31 @ Abilene Christian Sat, Jan 04 vs Incarnate W. Mon, Jan 06 vs H. Christian Sat, Jan 11 @ Lamar |
2 | 2 | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 39% |
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm | 0 Texas A&M-Commerce Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Incarnate W. 53-65 Lost Sun, Dec 15 vs South Alabama 72-81 Won Wed, Dec 18 vs Abilene Christian 68-67 Lost Sat, Dec 21 @ S. Florida 62-88 Sat, Jan 04 vs McNeese Mon, Jan 06 vs Nicholls St. Sat, Jan 11 @ NWestrn St Mon, Jan 13 @ UT-Rio |
2 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 70% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 24% | ||
| (6)Texas A&M C.C. | 1 | 1 | 4% |
| (5)Incarnate Word | 1 | 1 | 4% |
| (2)Northwestern St.NWestrn St | 2 | 0 | 4% |
| (1)Lamar | 2 | 0 | 4% |
| (3)Nicholls St. | 2 | 0 | 4% |
| (9)SE Louisiana | 0 | 1 | 3% |
| (10)New Orleans | 0 | 1 | 3% |
| (7)Houston Christian | 1 | 1 | 3% |
| (4)UT-Rio Grande Valley | 1 | 1 | 3% |
| (8)McNeese | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (12)Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm | 0 | 2 | 2% |
| Elimination | 39% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UT-Rio Grande Valley (8‑4) |
65‑68 | Away | Thu Dec 5, 7:30 pm |
| 5 | Texas A&M C.C. (7‑6) |
48‑67 | Away | Sat Dec 7, 4:30 pm |
| 9 | Incarnate Word (7‑5) |
Home | Sat Jan 4, 6:00 pm | |
| 10 | Houston Christian (4‑9) |
Home | Mon Jan 6, 7:30 pm | |
| 10 | Lamar (6‑6) |
Away | Sat Jan 11, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | SE Louisiana (5‑6) |
Home | Mon Jan 13, 7:30 pm | |
| 11 | Nicholls St. (7‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 18, TBD | |
| 12 | McNeese (6‑5) |
Away | Mon Jan 20, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St (5‑6) |
Home | Sat Jan 25, 6:00 pm | |
| 13 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (2‑11) |
Home | Mon Jan 27, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Lamar (6‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 1, 3:00 pm | |
| 14 | New Orleans (2‑9) |
Away | Mon Feb 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 14 | Texas A&M C.C. (7‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 15 | UT-Rio Grande Valley (8‑4) |
Home | Mon Feb 10, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St (5‑6) |
Away | Sat Feb 15, 4:30 pm | |
| 16 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (2‑11) |
Away | Mon Feb 17, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Incarnate Word (7‑5) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, TBD | |
| 17 | Houston Christian (4‑9) |
Away | Mon Feb 24, TBD | |
| 17 | Nicholls St. (7‑5) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 6:00 pm | |
| 18 | McNeese (6‑5) |
Home | Mon Mar 3, 7:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas | ‑‑ | 85‑51 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 8:30 pm |
| 1 | Drake (11‑0) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 51‑66 | Away | Sun Nov 10, 2:00 pm |
| 2 | LeTourneau | ‑‑ | 87‑68 | Home | Tue Nov 12, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Arkansas St. (10‑3) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 49‑59 | Away | Sat Nov 16, 3:00 pm |
| 3 | PresbyterianPresbyter. (7‑7) |
Big SouthBig South | 55‑58 (OT) | Home | Thu Nov 21, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | Monmouth (2‑10) |
CoastalCoastal | 72‑67 | Home | Fri Nov 22, 6:00 pm |
| 3 | Youngstown St. (8‑5) |
HorizonHorizon | 64‑57 | Home | Sat Nov 23, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | UL Monroe (4‑10) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 68‑60 | Away | Fri Nov 29, 7:30 pm |
| 6 | Oregon (11‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | 61‑79 | Away | Sun Dec 15, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Texas Wesleyan | ‑‑ | 82‑56 | Home | Fri Dec 20, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Abilene Christian (8‑5) |
WACWAC | Away | Tue Dec 31, 4:00 pm |