The Most Important Games for the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas A&M-Commerce Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas A&M-Commerce Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (2‑15) vs New Orleans (3‑14) |
5 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| New Orleans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (11‑6) vs Houston Christian (6‑11) |
1 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| McNeese (12‑5) vs Lamar (9‑8) |
1 | McNeese Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Lamar Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Incarnate Word (9‑8) vs Texas A&M C.C. (12‑6) |
0 | Incarnate Word Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Nicholls St. (10‑7) vs Stephen F. Austin (8‑9) |
0 | Nicholls St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| SE Louisiana (8‑8) vs Northwestern St.NWestrn St (7‑9) |
0 | SE Louisiana Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% | ||