The Most Important Games for the UT-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vaqueros final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UT-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UT-Rio Grande Valley Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (13‑10) vs Lamar (13‑10) |
20 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 35% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 38% | 26% | ||
| Lamar Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 43% | 32% | ||
| SE Louisiana (13‑9) vs Incarnate Word (11‑12) |
7 | SE Louisiana Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 42% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 38% | 26% | ||
| Incarnate Word Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 33% | 31% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. (15‑9) vs Stephen F. Austin (10‑13) |
3 | Texas A&M C.C. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 40% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 38% | 26% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 36% | 29% | ||
| McNeese (17‑6) vs Northwestern St.NWestrn St (10‑12) |
2 | McNeese Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 38% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 38% | 26% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 18% | 41% | 27% | ||
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (3‑20) vs Nicholls St. (14‑9) |
2 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 38% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 38% | 26% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 38% | 27% | ||
| New Orleans (4‑19) vs Houston Christian (10‑13) |
2 | New Orleans Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 21% | 35% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 19% | 38% | 26% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 40% | 26% | ||