The Most Important Games for the UT-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vaqueros final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UT-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UT-Rio Grande Valley Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (12‑11) vs New Orleans (10‑13) |
37 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | <1% | 2% | 32% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | ||
| New Orleans Wins | <1% | <1% | 11% | 17% | 25% | 25% | 16% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (20‑3) vs Lamar (12‑11) |
3 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | <1% | 1% | 21% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Lamar Wins | <1% | 1% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Incarnate Word (10‑13) vs McNeese (18‑5) |
1 | Incarnate Word Wins | <1% | 2% | 20% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | ||
| McNeese Wins | <1% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Houston Christian (8‑15) vs SE Louisiana (6‑17) |
0 | Houston Christian Wins | <1% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 11% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | <1% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 11% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (6‑17) vs East Texas A&M (9‑15) |
0 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | <1% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 11% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | <1% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 11% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Nicholls St. (10‑13) vs Texas A&M C.C. (12‑11) |
0 | Nicholls St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 21% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | <1% | 1% | 22% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 12% | 3% | 1% | ||