UT-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros What If?

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First and Second Round Byes	2^* First and Second Round Byes	3^** First Round Bye	4^** First Round Bye	5	6	7	8	NT
Best Case Scenario	<1%	<1%	1%	3%	7%	13%	23%	38%	14%
Current Standings	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	5%	9%	19%	38%	26%
Worst Case Scenario	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	7%	17%	36%	38%
Best Case Scenario SE Louisiana beats Incarnate Word UT-Rio Grande Valley beats Lamar					Worst Case Scenario Incarnate Word beats SE Louisiana Lamar beats UT-Rio Grande Valley

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First and Second Round Byes	2^* First and Second Round Byes	3^** First Round Bye	4^** First Round Bye	5	6	7	8	NT
8 of 8	100%	13	7	<1%	13%	50%	32%	5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	^
7 of 8	88%	12	8	<1%	<1%	6%	32%	39%	18%	4%	<1%	^
6 of 8	75%	11	9	X	<1%	<1%	2%	18%	40%	32%	8%	<1%
5 of 8	63%	10	10	X	X	X	<1%	1%	12%	44%	41%	2%
4 of 8	50%	9	11	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	16%	67%	16%
3 of 8	38%	8	12	X	X	X	X	X	X	1%	49%	49%
2 of 8	25%	7	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	17%	83%
1 of 8	13%	6	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	2%	98%
0 of 8	0%	5	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	>99%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament

Southland Basketball - Week 14 of 18