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Mon Feb 23 10:30 pm

Southland Basketball - Week 17 of 18

UT-Rio Grande Valley What If?

The UT-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how UT-Rio Grande Valley plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

UT-Rio Grande Valley What If?

Next Game - East Texas A&M (11‑19)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 13 8 X X 61% 36% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 12 8 X X 49% 43% 8% 1% ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 12 9 X X 18% 61% 18% 2% ^ ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario X X 61% 39% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings X X 49% 43% 8% 1% ^ ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario X X 18% 60% 20% 2% ^ ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   SE Louisiana beats Nicholls St.
   UT-Rio Grande Valley beats East Texas A&M
Worst Case Scenario
   Nicholls St. beats SE Louisiana
   East Texas A&M beats UT-Rio Grande Valley
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
2 of 2 100% 14 8 X X 75% 25% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 2 50% 13 9 X X 20% 69% 11% ^ ^ ^ ^
0 of 2 0% 12 10 X X <1% 41% 48% 11% ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament