The Most Important Games for the Alabama St. Hornets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hornets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama St. Hornets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Alabama St. (1‑2) vs Miss. Valley St. (1‑4) |
9 | Alabama St. Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Florida A&M (0‑4) vs Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (1‑4) |
1 | Florida A&M Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% | ||
| Alabama A&M (3‑2) vs AR Pine Bluff (1‑5) |
1 | Alabama A&M Wins | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff Wins | 13% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 28% | ||
| Jackson St. (0‑5) vs Alcorn St. (0‑4) |
0 | Jackson St. Wins | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% | ||
| Alcorn St. Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% | ||
| Southern (1‑4) vs Texas Southern (1‑4) |
0 | Southern Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% | ||
| Texas Southern Wins | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 27% | ||
| Prairie View A&M (1‑4) vs Grambling (1‑2) |
0 | Prairie View A&M Wins | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% | ||
| Grambling Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 27% | ||