The Most Important Games for the Alabama St. Hornets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hornets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama St. Hornets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Alabama St. (6‑11) vs Alabama A&M (6‑11) |
14 | Alabama St. Wins | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 20% | ||
| Alabama A&M Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 27% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (5‑11) vs Miss. Valley St. (2‑15) |
1 | Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | 3% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 20% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. Wins | 3% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 21% | ||
| Jackson St. (3‑13) vs Prairie View A&M (4‑13) |
1 | Jackson St. Wins | 2% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 20% | ||
| Prairie View A&M Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 21% | ||
| Southern (9‑8) vs Grambling (3‑13) |
0 | Southern Wins | 2% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 20% | ||
| Grambling Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 21% | ||
| Texas Southern (5‑11) vs Alcorn St. (3‑13) |
0 | Texas Southern Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 20% | ||
| Alcorn St. Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 21% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff (3‑13) vs Florida A&M (3‑11) |
0 | AR Pine Bluff Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 20% | ||
| Florida A&M Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 20% | ||