The Most Important Games for the Alabama St. Hornets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hornets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama St. Hornets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Alabama St. (3‑9) vs Miss. Valley St. (1‑12) |
20 | Alabama St. Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 22% | ||
| Grambling (5‑7) vs Prairie View A&M (4‑7) |
2 | Grambling Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Prairie View A&M Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Southern (4‑8) vs Texas Southern (1‑9) |
2 | Southern Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Texas Southern Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Alcorn St. (1‑10) vs Jackson St. (1‑11) |
1 | Alcorn St. Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Jackson St. Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (3‑9) vs Florida A&M (1‑7) |
0 | Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Florida A&M Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 17% | ||
| Alabama A&M (6‑6) vs AR Pine Bluff (3‑9) |
0 | Alabama A&M Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 17% | ||