The Most Important Games for the Alabama St. Hornets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hornets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama St. Hornets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Alabama St. (12‑14) vs Florida A&M (12‑12) |
8 | Alabama St. Wins | 1% | 5% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 30% | 8% | <1% | ||
| Florida A&M Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 40% | 13% | 1% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. (3‑23) vs Texas Southern (11‑15) |
1 | Miss. Valley St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 27% | 8% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 30% | 8% | <1% | ||
| Texas Southern Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 31% | 9% | <1% | ||
| Jackson St. (9‑17) vs Alcorn St. (9‑17) |
1 | Jackson St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 29% | 8% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 30% | 8% | <1% | ||
| Alcorn St. Wins | <1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 32% | 9% | <1% | ||
| Southern (17‑9) vs Grambling (8‑17) |
0 | Southern Wins | <1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 32% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 30% | 8% | <1% | ||
| Grambling Wins | 1% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 1% | ||
| Alabama A&M (9‑17) vs Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (11‑15) |
0 | Alabama A&M Wins | <1% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 26% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 30% | 8% | <1% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | <1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 33% | 9% | <1% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff (4‑22) vs Prairie View A&M (4‑22) |
0 | AR Pine Bluff Wins | <1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 30% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 30% | 8% | <1% | ||
| Prairie View A&M Wins | <1% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 29% | 9% | <1% | ||