Alabama St. Hornets What If?

	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
Win Next Game	1	0	14%	12%	10%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	23%
Current Standings	0	0	13%	11%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	8%	27%
Lose Next Game	0	1	9%	9%	9%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	29%

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
Best Case Scenario	14%	12%	10%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	23%
Current Standings	13%	11%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	8%	27%
Worst Case Scenario	9%	9%	9%	9%	9%	8%	8%	8%	29%
Best Case Scenario Alabama St. beats Miss. Valley St.					Worst Case Scenario Miss. Valley St. beats Alabama St.

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	NT
18 of 18	100%	18	0	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
17 of 18	94%	17	1	99%	1%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
16 of 18	89%	16	2	95%	5%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^
15 of 18	83%	15	3	77%	22%	1%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
14 of 18	78%	14	4	43%	45%	11%	1%	<1%	^	^	^	^
13 of 18	72%	13	5	13%	43%	35%	8%	1%	<1%	^	^	^
12 of 18	67%	12	6	2%	16%	41%	32%	9%	1%	<1%	^	^
11 of 18	61%	11	7	<1%	2%	16%	40%	32%	9%	1%	<1%	^
10 of 18	56%	10	8	<1%	<1%	2%	15%	38%	34%	10%	1%	<1%
9 of 18	50%	9	9	X	X	<1%	1%	14%	37%	35%	11%	1%
8 of 18	44%	8	10	X	X	X	<1%	1%	12%	37%	36%	14%
7 of 18	39%	7	11	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	12%	36%	52%
6 of 18	33%	6	12	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	10%	89%
5 of 18	28%	5	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	99%
4 of 18	22%	4	14	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	>99%
3 of 18	17%	3	15	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
2 of 18	11%	2	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
1 of 18	6%	1	17	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%
0 of 18	0%	0	18	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament

Southwestern Basketball - Week 3 of 18