The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| St. Thomas (20‑8) vs Oral Roberts (6‑20) |
0 | St. Thomas Wins | 61% | 36% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 56% | 38% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 26% | 55% | 17% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota (10‑17) vs North Dakota St. (20‑9) |
0 | North Dakota Wins | 55% | 38% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 56% | 38% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota St. Wins | 56% | 39% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UMKC (11‑17) vs South Dakota St. (18‑10) |
0 | UMKC Wins | 59% | 39% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 56% | 38% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Dakota St. Wins | 55% | 38% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska Omaha (17‑12) vs South Dakota (17‑11) |
0 | Nebraska Omaha Wins | 36% | 57% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 56% | 38% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Dakota Wins | 88% | 8% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||