The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| Oral Roberts (7‑22) vs Denver (15‑15) |
0 | Oral Roberts Wins | X | 73% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 73% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Denver Wins | X | 73% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UMKC (4‑24) vs South Dakota St. (13‑16) |
0 | UMKC Wins | X | 73% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 73% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Dakota St. Wins | X | 73% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas (20‑9) vs North Dakota St. (23‑6) |
0 | St. Thomas Wins | X | 93% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 73% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota St. Wins | X | 56% | 44% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||