The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| St. Thomas (3‑2) vs North Dakota St. (2‑3) |
7 | St. Thomas Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | ||
| North Dakota St. Wins | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| North Dakota (2‑2) vs Nebraska Omaha (2‑3) |
0 | North Dakota Wins | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha Wins | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | ||
| South Dakota (5‑1) vs UMKC (3‑2) |
0 | South Dakota Wins | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | ||
| UMKC Wins | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | ||
| South Dakota St. (4‑1) vs Denver (3‑2) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Denver Wins | 13% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | ||