The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| North Dakota (14‑12) vs Denver (11‑14) |
0 | North Dakota Wins | 22% | 54% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 56% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Denver Wins | 27% | 60% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota St. (19‑6) vs Nebraska Omaha (12‑13) |
0 | North Dakota St. Wins | 21% | 58% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 56% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska Omaha Wins | 36% | 45% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Dakota (13‑12) vs South Dakota St. (11‑13) |
0 | South Dakota Wins | 24% | 57% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 56% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Dakota St. Wins | 24% | 56% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas (18‑7) vs Oral Roberts (5‑19) |
0 | St. Thomas Wins | 25% | 57% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 56% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 15% | 54% | 26% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||