The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Nebraska Omaha (1‑0) vs North Dakota (0‑1) |
0 | Nebraska Omaha Wins | 26% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| North Dakota Wins | 27% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| South Dakota St. (1‑0) vs UMKC (0‑1) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 26% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| UMKC Wins | 28% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Oral Roberts (0‑1) vs South Dakota (1‑1) |
0 | Oral Roberts Wins | 27% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| South Dakota Wins | 27% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| St. Thomas (1‑0) vs North Dakota St. (1‑1) |
0 | St. Thomas Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| North Dakota St. Wins | 20% | 18% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | ||