The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| Nebraska Omaha (10‑9) vs Denver (6‑13) |
0 | Nebraska Omaha Wins | 60% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Denver Wins | 65% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UMKC (10‑8) vs North Dakota St. (13‑6) |
0 | UMKC Wins | 62% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Dakota St. Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oral Roberts (5‑11) vs South Dakota (10‑8) |
0 | Oral Roberts Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Dakota Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Dakota St. (10‑8) vs North Dakota (7‑11) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 61% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Dakota Wins | 62% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||