Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 |
| North Dakota St. | 9i North Dakota St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 @ Denver 82-77 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ O. Roberts 86-58 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ South Dakota 89-84 Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs Denver 71-78 Sat, Feb 07 vs Nebraska O. Sat, Feb 14 @ North Dakota Wed, Feb 18 @ South Dakota St. Sat, Feb 21 vs UMKC |
1 | 10 | 67% | 22% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| St. Thomas | 8 St. Thomas Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 @ South Dakota 90-78 Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs North Dakota 80-81 Won Sun, Feb 01 vs UMKC 99-64 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ South Dakota St. 77-62 Sat, Feb 07 vs O. Roberts Thu, Feb 12 @ Nebraska O. Sat, Feb 14 @ UMKC Sat, Feb 21 @ Denver |
2 | 10 | 24% | 56% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| North Dakota | 8 North Dakota Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 @ O. Roberts 79-62 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Denver 93-86 Won Thu, Jan 29 @ St. Thomas 81-80 Won Thu, Feb 05 vs Nebraska O. 76-73 Sat, Feb 07 vs Denver Wed, Feb 11 @ South Dakota Sat, Feb 14 vs North Dakota St. Thu, Feb 19 vs UMKC |
2 | 10 | 9% | 22% | 59% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| South Dakota | 5 South Dakota Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs St. Thomas 78-90 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs O. Roberts 77-69 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs North Dakota St. 84-89 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ UMKC 82-75 Sat, Feb 07 @ South Dakota St. Wed, Feb 11 vs North Dakota Thu, Feb 19 @ Denver Sat, Feb 21 @ O. Roberts |
5 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 36% | 27% | 19% | 14% | <1% | <1% |
| Nebraska Omaha | 5 Nebraska Omaha Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 @ UMKC 77-60 Won Wed, Jan 28 vs South Dakota St. 80-71 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Denver 84-82 Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ North Dakota 73-76 Sat, Feb 07 @ North Dakota St. Thu, Feb 12 vs St. Thomas Sun, Feb 15 vs Denver Wed, Feb 18 vs O. Roberts |
5 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 28% | 29% | 21% | <1% | <1% |
| South Dakota St. | 4 South Dakota St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ St. Thomas 69-74 Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ Nebraska O. 71-80 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs O. Roberts 95-72 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs St. Thomas 62-77 Sat, Feb 07 vs South Dakota Thu, Feb 12 @ Denver Sat, Feb 14 @ O. Roberts Wed, Feb 18 vs North Dakota St. |
5 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 24% | 25% | 24% | 22% | 1% | <1% |
| Denver | 4 Denver Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs North Dakota 86-93 Won Wed, Jan 28 @ UMKC 69-61 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Nebraska O. 82-84 Won Thu, Feb 05 @ North Dakota St. 78-71 Sat, Feb 07 @ North Dakota Thu, Feb 12 vs South Dakota St. Sun, Feb 15 @ Nebraska O. Thu, Feb 19 vs South Dakota |
6 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 41% | 1% | <1% |
| UMKC | 1 UMKC Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Nebraska O. 60-77 Lost Wed, Jan 28 vs Denver 61-69 Lost Sun, Feb 01 @ St. Thomas 64-99 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs South Dakota 75-82 Thu, Feb 12 @ O. Roberts Sat, Feb 14 vs St. Thomas Thu, Feb 19 @ North Dakota Sat, Feb 21 @ North Dakota St. |
9 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 46% | 53% |
| Oral Roberts | 0 Oral Roberts Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs North Dakota 62-79 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs North Dakota St. 58-86 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ South Dakota 69-77 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ South Dakota St. 72-95 Sat, Feb 07 @ St. Thomas Thu, Feb 12 vs UMKC Sat, Feb 14 vs South Dakota St. Wed, Feb 18 @ Nebraska O. |
9 | 9 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 51% | 47% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 100% | ||
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Denver (11‑14) |
92‑88 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 1:00 pm |
| 10 | South Dakota (13‑12) |
99‑86 | Home | Wed Jan 7, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | Oral Roberts (5‑19) |
82‑71 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | North Dakota (14‑12) |
91‑80 | Away | Thu Jan 15, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | North Dakota St. (19‑6) |
65‑68 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 2:00 pm |
| 12 | South Dakota St. (11‑13) |
74‑69 | Home | Thu Jan 22, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | South Dakota (13‑12) |
90‑78 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 2:00 pm |
| 13 | North Dakota (14‑12) |
80‑81 | Home | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | UMKC (4‑20) |
99‑64 | Home | Sun Feb 1, 2:00 pm |
| 14 | South Dakota St. (11‑13) |
77‑62 | Away | Wed Feb 4, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Oral Roberts (5‑19) |
Home | Sat Feb 7, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Nebraska Omaha (12‑13) |
Away | Thu Feb 12, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | UMKC (4‑20) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Denver (11‑14) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 17 | North Dakota St. (19‑6) |
Home | Thu Feb 26, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | Nebraska Omaha (12‑13) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 9:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Mary's (20‑3) |
West CoastWest Coast | 58‑84 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Army (10‑14) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 83‑76 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Washington St. (11‑14) |
West CoastWest Coast | 71‑81 | Away | Mon Nov 10 |
| 2 | Green Bay (13‑12) |
HorizonHorizon | 80‑61 | Home | Thu Nov 13 |
| 2 | SE Missouri St. (14‑10) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 84‑72 | Away | Sat Nov 15, 3:00 pm |
| 3 | Northern Colorado (13‑10) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 73‑72 | Home | Fri Nov 21, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | CSU Fullerton (10‑13) |
Big WestBig West | 80‑88 | Away | Sat Nov 22, 5:30 pm |
| 3 | Portland (11‑14) |
West CoastWest Coast | 76‑66 | Away | Sun Nov 23, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Lawrence University | ‑‑ | 87‑52 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Montana St. (13‑10) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 74‑82 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | Weber St. (11‑12) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 88‑65 | Home | Sun Dec 7, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Saint John's (MN) | ‑‑ | 0‑80 | Home | Thu Dec 11, 8:00 pm |
| 6 | N.C. Asheville (11‑13) |
Big SouthBig South | 80‑59 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 2:00 pm |
| 7 | UC Riverside (8‑15) |
Big WestBig West | 92‑78 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | North Central (MN) | ‑‑ | 105‑59 | Home | Sun Dec 28, 2:00 pm |