Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 |
| North Dakota St. | 5i North Dakota St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 vs O. Roberts 79-77 Won Thu, Jan 08 @ UMKC 97-73 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Nebraska O. 78-76 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs South Dakota St. 76-65 Sat, Jan 17 vs St. Thomas Thu, Jan 22 @ Denver Sat, Jan 24 @ O. Roberts Sat, Jan 31 @ South Dakota |
0 | 5 | 46% | 36% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| St. Thomas | 4 St. Thomas Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Denver 92-88 Won Wed, Jan 07 vs South Dakota 99-86 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ O. Roberts 82-71 Won Thu, Jan 15 @ North Dakota 91-80 Sat, Jan 17 @ North Dakota St. Thu, Jan 22 vs South Dakota St. Sat, Jan 24 @ South Dakota Thu, Jan 29 vs North Dakota |
0 | 4 | 48% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| North Dakota | 3 North Dakota Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 vs South Dakota St. 90-87 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Nebraska O. 79-90 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ UMKC 81-79 Lost Thu, Jan 15 vs St. Thomas 80-91 Sat, Jan 17 vs South Dakota Thu, Jan 22 @ O. Roberts Sat, Jan 24 @ Denver Thu, Jan 29 @ St. Thomas |
2 | 5 | 1% | 5% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 2% |
| South Dakota St. | 2 South Dakota St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 01 vs Nebraska O. 84-69 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ North Dakota 87-90 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs Denver 87-79 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ North Dakota St. 65-76 Sat, Jan 17 vs UMKC Thu, Jan 22 @ St. Thomas Wed, Jan 28 @ Nebraska O. Sat, Jan 31 vs O. Roberts |
2 | 4 | 2% | 9% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| South Dakota | 2 South Dakota Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 @ North Dakota St. 61-84 Lost Wed, Jan 07 @ St. Thomas 86-99 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Denver 82-72 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs UMKC 99-83 Sat, Jan 17 @ North Dakota Wed, Jan 21 @ Nebraska O. Sat, Jan 24 vs St. Thomas Thu, Jan 29 vs O. Roberts |
2 | 4 | 2% | 9% | 23% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Denver | 2 Denver Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ St. Thomas 88-92 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ South Dakota St. 79-87 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ South Dakota 72-82 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs O. Roberts 98-87 Thu, Jan 22 vs North Dakota St. Sat, Jan 24 vs North Dakota Wed, Jan 28 @ UMKC Sat, Jan 31 vs Nebraska O. |
3 | 5 | 1% | 5% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 8% | 3% |
| Nebraska Omaha | 1 Nebraska Omaha Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 01 @ South Dakota St. 69-84 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs UMKC 66-73 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs North Dakota 90-79 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs North Dakota St. 76-78 Sat, Jan 17 @ O. Roberts Wed, Jan 21 vs South Dakota Sat, Jan 24 @ UMKC Wed, Jan 28 vs South Dakota St. |
3 | 4 | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 14% |
| UMKC | 1 UMKC Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Nebraska O. 73-66 Lost Thu, Jan 08 vs North Dakota St. 73-97 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs North Dakota 79-81 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ South Dakota 83-99 Sat, Jan 17 @ South Dakota St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Nebraska O. Wed, Jan 28 vs Denver Sun, Feb 01 @ St. Thomas |
4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 28% | 45% |
| Oral Roberts | 0 Oral Roberts Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 01 @ North Dakota 61-72 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ North Dakota St. 77-79 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs St. Thomas 71-82 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Denver 87-98 Sat, Jan 17 vs Nebraska O. Thu, Jan 22 vs North Dakota Sat, Jan 24 vs North Dakota St. Thu, Jan 29 @ South Dakota |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 32% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (9)Oral Roberts | 0 | 4 | <1% |
| (8)UMKC | 1 | 4 | <1% |
| (3)North Dakota | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (7)Nebraska Omaha | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (4)South Dakota St. | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (5)South Dakota | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (6)Denver | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (1)North Dakota St. | 5 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Denver (9‑11) |
92‑88 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 1:00 pm |
| 10 | South Dakota (10‑9) |
99‑86 | Home | Wed Jan 7, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | Oral Roberts (5‑14) |
82‑71 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | North Dakota (9‑12) |
91‑80 | Away | Thu Jan 15, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | North Dakota St. (15‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 2:00 pm | |
| 12 | South Dakota St. (9‑10) |
Home | Thu Jan 22, 9:00 pm | |
| 12 | South Dakota (10‑9) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 2:00 pm | |
| 13 | North Dakota (9‑12) |
Home | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | UMKC (4‑15) |
Home | Sun Feb 1, 2:00 pm | |
| 14 | South Dakota St. (9‑10) |
Away | Wed Feb 4, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Oral Roberts (5‑14) |
Home | Sat Feb 7, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Nebraska Omaha (8‑11) |
Away | Thu Feb 12, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | UMKC (4‑15) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Denver (9‑11) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 17 | North Dakota St. (15‑5) |
Home | Thu Feb 26, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | Nebraska Omaha (8‑11) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 9:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Mary's (17‑1) |
West CoastWest Coast | 58‑84 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Army (7‑11) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 83‑76 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Washington St. (8‑9) |
West CoastWest Coast | 71‑81 | Away | Mon Nov 10 |
| 2 | Green Bay (11‑8) |
HorizonHorizon | 80‑61 | Home | Thu Nov 13 |
| 2 | SE Missouri St. (8‑9) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 84‑72 | Away | Sat Nov 15, 3:00 pm |
| 3 | Northern Colorado (11‑6) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 73‑72 | Home | Fri Nov 21, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | CSU Fullerton (8‑10) |
Big WestBig West | 80‑88 | Away | Sat Nov 22, 5:30 pm |
| 3 | Portland (9‑11) |
West CoastWest Coast | 76‑66 | Away | Sun Nov 23, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Lawrence University | ‑‑ | 87‑52 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Montana St. (9‑8) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 74‑82 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | Weber St. (9‑8) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 88‑65 | Home | Sun Dec 7, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Saint John's (MN) | ‑‑ | 0‑80 | Home | Thu Dec 11, 8:00 pm |
| 6 | N.C. Asheville (8‑11) |
Big SouthBig South | 80‑59 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 2:00 pm |
| 7 | UC Riverside (6‑11) |
Big WestBig West | 92‑78 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | North Central (MN) | ‑‑ | 105‑59 | Home | Sun Dec 28, 2:00 pm |