Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 |
| Nebraska Omaha | 4i Nebraska Omaha Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 @ North Dakota 95-85 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ North Dakota St. 85-80 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs UMKC 77-58 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs South Dakota St. 87-80 Wed, Jan 15 @ Denver Thu, Jan 23 vs St. Thomas Sat, Jan 25 @ O. Roberts Wed, Jan 29 @ South Dakota |
0 | 4 | 21% | 27% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| St. Thomas | 4 St. Thomas Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 @ North Dakota St. 89-85 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ North Dakota 88-80 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs South Dakota St. 73-72 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs South Dakota 119-104 Sat, Jan 18 vs Denver Thu, Jan 23 @ Nebraska O. Sat, Jan 25 @ UMKC Wed, Jan 29 vs O. Roberts |
0 | 4 | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UMKC | 2 UMKC Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 21 vs E. Tennessee St. 73-66 Won Thu, Jan 02 vs South Dakota 68-54 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs O. Roberts 90-67 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ Nebraska O. 58-77 Thu, Jan 16 @ North Dakota St. Sat, Jan 18 @ North Dakota Thu, Jan 23 vs South Dakota St. Sat, Jan 25 vs St. Thomas |
1 | 3 | 5% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| North Dakota St. | 2 North Dakota St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs St. Thomas 85-89 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Nebraska O. 80-85 Won Thu, Jan 09 @ O. Roberts 110-96 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Denver 69-50 Thu, Jan 16 vs UMKC Sat, Jan 18 @ South Dakota Sat, Jan 25 vs North Dakota Thu, Jan 30 vs South Dakota St. |
2 | 4 | 7% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Oral Roberts | 1 Oral Roberts Recent Games Won Mon, Dec 30 vs Tex. A&M-Texarkana 92-54 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ UMKC 67-90 Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs North Dakota St. 96-110 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs North Dakota 83-79 Thu, Jan 16 @ South Dakota Sat, Jan 18 @ South Dakota St. Thu, Jan 23 vs Denver Sat, Jan 25 vs Nebraska O. |
2 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 23% | 27% | 26% |
| South Dakota St. | 1 South Dakota St. Recent Games Lost Sun, Dec 29 @ Alabama 82-105 Won Thu, Jan 02 vs Denver 91-70 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ St. Thomas 72-73 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Nebraska O. 80-87 Thu, Jan 16 vs North Dakota Sat, Jan 18 vs O. Roberts Thu, Jan 23 @ UMKC Sat, Jan 25 vs South Dakota |
2 | 3 | 4% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| South Dakota | 1 South Dakota Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 21 @ Santa Clara 81-98 Lost Thu, Jan 02 @ UMKC 54-68 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Denver 91-84 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ St. Thomas 104-119 Thu, Jan 16 vs O. Roberts Sat, Jan 18 vs North Dakota St. Thu, Jan 23 @ North Dakota Sat, Jan 25 @ South Dakota St. |
2 | 3 | 2% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 3% |
| North Dakota | 1 North Dakota Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs Nebraska O. 85-95 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs St. Thomas 80-88 Won Thu, Jan 09 @ Denver 95-70 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ O. Roberts 79-83 Thu, Jan 16 @ South Dakota St. Sat, Jan 18 vs UMKC Thu, Jan 23 vs South Dakota Sat, Jan 25 @ North Dakota St. |
3 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 15% |
| Denver | 0 Denver Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 @ South Dakota St. 70-91 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ South Dakota 84-91 Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs North Dakota 70-95 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs North Dakota St. 50-69 Wed, Jan 15 vs Nebraska O. Sat, Jan 18 @ St. Thomas Thu, Jan 23 @ O. Roberts Thu, Jan 30 vs UMKC |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 26% | 51% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (9)Denver | 0 | 4 | <1% |
| (8)North Dakota | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (5)Oral Roberts | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| (3)UMKC | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (6)South Dakota St. | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| (1)Nebraska Omaha | 4 | 0 | <1% |
| (4)North Dakota St. | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (7)South Dakota | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | North Dakota St. (13‑6) |
89‑85 | Away | Thu Jan 2, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | North Dakota (7‑11) |
88‑80 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | South Dakota St. (10‑8) |
73‑72 | Home | Wed Jan 8, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | South Dakota (10‑8) |
119‑104 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Denver (6‑13) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Nebraska Omaha (10‑9) |
Away | Thu Jan 23, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | UMKC (10‑8) |
Away | Sat Jan 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Oral Roberts (5‑11) |
Home | Wed Jan 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | North Dakota St. (13‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 1, 1:00 pm | |
| 14 | South Dakota St. (10‑8) |
Away | Thu Feb 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Denver (6‑13) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, 4:00 pm | |
| 15 | Nebraska Omaha (10‑9) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | South Dakota (10‑8) |
Away | Wed Feb 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Oral Roberts (5‑11) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | North Dakota (7‑11) |
Home | Thu Feb 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | UMKC (10‑8) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Central (MN) | ‑‑ | 96‑71 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 9:00 pm |
| 1 | Green Bay (2‑16) |
HorizonHorizon | 90‑76 | Away | Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | Oklahoma St. (9‑6) |
Big 12Big 12 | 71‑80 | Away | Sun Nov 10, 3:00 pm |
| 2 | St. Norbert | ‑‑ | 102‑54 | Home | Fri Nov 15, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Arizona St. (10‑5) |
Big 12Big 12 | 66‑81 | Away | Sun Nov 17, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Wofford (8‑8) |
SouthernSouthern | 73‑81 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | Portland St. (10‑6) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 91‑65 | Away | Sat Nov 23, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Wis. Milwaukee (12‑6) |
HorizonHorizon | 65‑69 | Away | Sun Nov 24, 2:30 pm |
| 5 | Chicago St. (1‑16) |
NortheastNorth East | 98‑76 | Home | Mon Dec 2, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Northern Colorado (12‑5) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 87‑75 | Away | Wed Dec 4, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Montana (10‑7) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 88‑81 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | Western Michigan (3‑12) |
MACMAC | 77‑71 | Home | Fri Dec 13, 8:00 pm |
| 6 | Crown (MN) | ‑‑ | 100‑61 | Home | Sun Dec 15, 3:00 pm |
| 7 | Bowling Green (6‑9) |
MACMAC | 93‑68 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 2:00 pm |
| 8 | UC Riverside (10‑7) |
Big WestBig West | 79‑81 (OT) | Away | Sun Dec 29, 5:00 pm |