Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 |
Nebraska Omaha | 10i Nebraska Omaha Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 29 @ South Dakota 87-91 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Denver 78-69 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs North Dakota 80-77 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs North Dakota St. 85-74 Thu, Feb 13 @ South Dakota St. Sat, Feb 15 @ St. Thomas Wed, Feb 19 @ UMKC Sat, Feb 22 vs South Dakota |
1 | 11 | 53% | 30% | 14% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
St. Thomas | 9 St. Thomas Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 29 vs O. Roberts 86-71 Won Sun, Feb 02 vs North Dakota St. 79-62 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ South Dakota St. 86-102 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Denver 79-76 Sat, Feb 15 vs Nebraska O. Wed, Feb 19 @ South Dakota Sat, Feb 22 @ O. Roberts Thu, Feb 27 vs North Dakota |
2 | 11 | 40% | 44% | 14% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
South Dakota St. | 7 South Dakota St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 25 vs South Dakota 90-71 Won Thu, Jan 30 @ North Dakota St. 72-62 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ North Dakota 75-80 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs St. Thomas 102-86 Thu, Feb 13 vs Nebraska O. Sun, Feb 16 @ South Dakota Wed, Feb 19 vs North Dakota St. Sun, Feb 23 vs UMKC |
3 | 10 | 5% | 22% | 50% | 16% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
South Dakota | 6 South Dakota Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 25 @ South Dakota St. 71-90 Won Wed, Jan 29 vs Nebraska O. 91-87 Won Thu, Feb 06 @ Denver 86-79 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ O. Roberts 75-74 Thu, Feb 13 vs UMKC Sun, Feb 16 vs South Dakota St. Wed, Feb 19 vs St. Thomas Sat, Feb 22 @ Nebraska O. |
4 | 10 | 1% | 3% | 9% | 28% | 55% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
North Dakota St. | 6 North Dakota St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 30 vs South Dakota St. 62-72 Lost Sun, Feb 02 @ St. Thomas 62-79 Won Thu, Feb 06 @ UMKC 78-72 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Nebraska O. 74-85 Thu, Feb 13 vs O. Roberts Sat, Feb 15 vs Denver Wed, Feb 19 @ South Dakota St. Sat, Feb 22 @ North Dakota |
5 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 12% | 52% | 34% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
UMKC | 3 UMKC Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ Denver 68-69 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ O. Roberts 67-73 Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs North Dakota St. 72-78 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs North Dakota 80-69 Thu, Feb 13 @ South Dakota Wed, Feb 19 vs Nebraska O. Sun, Feb 23 @ South Dakota St. Thu, Feb 27 vs Denver |
8 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 29% | 35% | 24% | 10% |
North Dakota | 3 North Dakota Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 25 @ North Dakota St. 82-87 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs South Dakota St. 80-75 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Nebraska O. 77-80 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ UMKC 69-80 Thu, Feb 13 vs Denver Sat, Feb 15 vs O. Roberts Sat, Feb 22 vs North Dakota St. Thu, Feb 27 @ St. Thomas |
8 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 47% | 29% | 15% | 7% |
Oral Roberts | 2 Oral Roberts Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 25 vs Nebraska O. 76-84 Lost Wed, Jan 29 @ St. Thomas 71-86 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs UMKC 73-67 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs South Dakota 74-75 Thu, Feb 13 @ North Dakota St. Sat, Feb 15 @ North Dakota Wed, Feb 19 @ Denver Sat, Feb 22 vs St. Thomas |
8 | 10 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 14% | 25% | 53% |
Denver | 2 Denver Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 30 vs UMKC 69-68 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ Nebraska O. 69-78 Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs South Dakota 79-86 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs St. Thomas 76-79 Thu, Feb 13 @ North Dakota Sat, Feb 15 @ North Dakota St. Wed, Feb 19 vs O. Roberts Thu, Feb 27 @ UMKC |
9 | 11 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 11% | 22% | 36% | 30% |
Record | Probability | ||
---|---|---|---|
Opponent | W | L | |
Bye | 100% | ||
Elimination | X |
Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|
9 | North Dakota St. (17‑9) |
89‑85 | Away | Thu Jan 2, 8:00 pm |
9 | North Dakota (9‑16) |
88‑80 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 2:00 pm |
10 | South Dakota St. (16‑9) |
73‑72 | Home | Wed Jan 8, 9:00 pm |
10 | South Dakota (15‑10) |
119‑104 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 8:00 pm |
11 | Denver (8‑18) |
74‑62 | Home | Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm |
12 | Nebraska Omaha (16‑10) |
78‑89 | Away | Thu Jan 23, 8:00 pm |
12 | UMKC (11‑15) |
68‑65 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 8:00 pm |
13 | Oral Roberts (6‑17) |
86‑71 | Home | Wed Jan 29, 8:00 pm |
13 | North Dakota St. (17‑9) |
79‑62 | Home | Sun Feb 2, 4:00 pm |
14 | South Dakota St. (16‑9) |
86‑102 | Away | Thu Feb 6, 8:00 pm |
14 | Denver (8‑18) |
79‑76 | Away | Sat Feb 8, 4:00 pm |
15 | Nebraska Omaha (16‑10) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm | |
16 | South Dakota (15‑10) |
Away | Wed Feb 19, 8:00 pm | |
16 | Oral Roberts (6‑17) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 8:00 pm | |
17 | North Dakota (9‑16) |
Home | Thu Feb 27, 8:00 pm | |
17 | UMKC (11‑15) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 8:00 pm |
Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | North Central (MN) | ‑‑ | 96‑71 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 9:00 pm |
1 | Green Bay (2‑23) |
HorizonHorizon | 90‑76 | Away | Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm |
1 | Oklahoma St. (12‑12) |
Big 12Big 12 | 71‑80 | Away | Sun Nov 10, 3:00 pm |
2 | St. Norbert | ‑‑ | 102‑54 | Home | Fri Nov 15, 8:00 pm |
2 | Arizona St. (12‑12) |
Big 12Big 12 | 66‑81 | Away | Sun Nov 17, 8:00 pm |
3 | Wofford (14‑12) |
SouthernSouthern | 73‑81 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 5:00 pm |
3 | Portland St. (14‑10) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 91‑65 | Away | Sat Nov 23, 1:00 pm |
3 | Wis. Milwaukee (16‑9) |
HorizonHorizon | 65‑69 | Away | Sun Nov 24, 2:30 pm |
5 | Chicago St. (4‑21) |
NortheastNorth East | 98‑76 | Home | Mon Dec 2, 8:00 pm |
5 | Northern Colorado (18‑7) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 87‑75 | Away | Wed Dec 4, 8:00 pm |
5 | Montana (17‑8) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 88‑81 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 3:00 pm |
6 | Western Michigan (7‑17) |
MACMAC | 77‑71 | Home | Fri Dec 13, 8:00 pm |
6 | Crown (MN) | ‑‑ | 100‑61 | Home | Sun Dec 15, 3:00 pm |
7 | Bowling Green (9‑15) |
MACMAC | 93‑68 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 2:00 pm |
8 | UC Riverside (16‑9) |
Big WestBig West | 79‑81 (OT) | Away | Sun Dec 29, 5:00 pm |