Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 |
| Nebraska Omaha | 11i Nebraska Omaha Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 vs North Dakota St. 85-74 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ South Dakota St. 85-98 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ St. Thomas 84-95 Won Wed, Feb 19 @ UMKC 78-66 Sat, Feb 22 vs South Dakota Sat, Mar 01 vs O. Roberts |
3 | 14 | 40% | 47% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| St. Thomas | 10 St. Thomas Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ South Dakota St. 86-102 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Denver 79-76 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Nebraska O. 95-84 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ South Dakota 80-85 Sat, Feb 22 @ O. Roberts Thu, Feb 27 vs North Dakota Sat, Mar 01 vs UMKC |
3 | 13 | 56% | 38% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| South Dakota St. | 9 South Dakota St. Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 vs St. Thomas 102-86 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs Nebraska O. 98-85 Won Sun, Feb 16 @ South Dakota 94-91 Lost Wed, Feb 19 vs North Dakota St. 68-77 Sun, Feb 23 vs UMKC Thu, Feb 27 @ O. Roberts Sat, Mar 01 @ Denver |
4 | 13 | 3% | 15% | 74% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| North Dakota St. | 9 North Dakota St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Nebraska O. 74-85 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs O. Roberts 94-88 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Denver 89-84 Won Wed, Feb 19 @ South Dakota St. 77-68 Sat, Feb 22 @ North Dakota Wed, Feb 26 vs South Dakota |
5 | 14 | X | <1% | 6% | 64% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| South Dakota | 8 South Dakota Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 @ O. Roberts 75-74 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs UMKC 79-72 Lost Sun, Feb 16 vs South Dakota St. 91-94 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs St. Thomas 85-80 Sat, Feb 22 @ Nebraska O. Wed, Feb 26 @ North Dakota St. Sat, Mar 01 vs North Dakota |
5 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 28% | 69% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| North Dakota | 4 North Dakota Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Nebraska O. 77-80 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ UMKC 69-80 Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs Denver 64-68 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs O. Roberts 88-77 Sat, Feb 22 vs North Dakota St. Thu, Feb 27 @ St. Thomas Sat, Mar 01 @ South Dakota |
9 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | 58% | 32% | 9% | 1% |
| Denver | 4 Denver Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs St. Thomas 76-79 Won Thu, Feb 13 @ North Dakota 68-64 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ North Dakota St. 84-89 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs O. Roberts 71-60 Thu, Feb 27 @ UMKC Sat, Mar 01 vs South Dakota St. |
10 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | 29% | 26% | 45% | <1% |
| UMKC | 3 UMKC Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs North Dakota St. 72-78 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs North Dakota 80-69 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ South Dakota 72-79 Lost Wed, Feb 19 vs Nebraska O. 66-78 Sun, Feb 23 @ South Dakota St. Thu, Feb 27 vs Denver Sat, Mar 01 @ St. Thomas |
10 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | 13% | 41% | 36% | 10% |
| Oral Roberts | 2 Oral Roberts Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs South Dakota 74-75 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ North Dakota St. 88-94 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ North Dakota 77-88 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ Denver 60-71 Sat, Feb 22 vs St. Thomas Thu, Feb 27 vs South Dakota St. Sat, Mar 01 @ Nebraska O. |
11 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 89% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 100% | ||
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | North Dakota St. (20‑9) |
89‑85 | Away | Thu Jan 2, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | North Dakota (10‑17) |
88‑80 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | South Dakota St. (18‑10) |
73‑72 | Home | Wed Jan 8, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | South Dakota (17‑11) |
119‑104 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Denver (10‑19) |
74‑62 | Home | Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Nebraska Omaha (17‑12) |
78‑89 | Away | Thu Jan 23, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | UMKC (11‑17) |
68‑65 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Oral Roberts (6‑20) |
86‑71 | Home | Wed Jan 29, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | North Dakota St. (20‑9) |
79‑62 | Home | Sun Feb 2, 4:00 pm |
| 14 | South Dakota St. (18‑10) |
86‑102 | Away | Thu Feb 6, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | Denver (10‑19) |
79‑76 | Away | Sat Feb 8, 4:00 pm |
| 15 | Nebraska Omaha (17‑12) |
95‑84 | Home | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm |
| 16 | South Dakota (17‑11) |
80‑85 | Away | Wed Feb 19, 8:00 pm |
| 16 | Oral Roberts (6‑20) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | North Dakota (10‑17) |
Home | Thu Feb 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | UMKC (11‑17) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Central (MN) | ‑‑ | 96‑71 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 9:00 pm |
| 1 | Green Bay (3‑24) |
HorizonHorizon | 90‑76 | Away | Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | Oklahoma St. (12‑13) |
Big 12Big 12 | 71‑80 | Away | Sun Nov 10, 3:00 pm |
| 2 | St. Norbert | ‑‑ | 102‑54 | Home | Fri Nov 15, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Arizona St. (12‑14) |
Big 12Big 12 | 66‑81 | Away | Sun Nov 17, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Wofford (15‑13) |
SouthernSouthern | 73‑81 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | Portland St. (16‑10) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 91‑65 | Away | Sat Nov 23, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Wis. Milwaukee (18‑9) |
HorizonHorizon | 65‑69 | Away | Sun Nov 24, 2:30 pm |
| 5 | Chicago St. (4‑23) |
NortheastNorth East | 98‑76 | Home | Mon Dec 2, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Northern Colorado (19‑8) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 87‑75 | Away | Wed Dec 4, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Montana (19‑8) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 88‑81 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | Western Michigan (9‑17) |
MACMAC | 77‑71 | Home | Fri Dec 13, 8:00 pm |
| 6 | Crown (MN) | ‑‑ | 100‑61 | Home | Sun Dec 15, 3:00 pm |
| 7 | Bowling Green (10‑16) |
MACMAC | 93‑68 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 2:00 pm |
| 8 | UC Riverside (17‑10) |
Big WestBig West | 79‑81 (OT) | Away | Sun Dec 29, 5:00 pm |