Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 |
| South Dakota | 0i South Dakota Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 10 vs Mt. Marty 77-47 Lost Tue, Nov 12 @ Iowa 77-96 Won Thu, Nov 14 vs Dakota Wesleyan 92-69 Won Wed, Nov 20 @ Western Michigan 80-76 Fri, Nov 22 @ Southern Indiana Mon, Nov 25 vs Randall Wed, Nov 27 @ Nebraska Wed, Dec 04 vs Idaho St. |
0 | 0 | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| South Dakota St. | 0 South Dakota St. Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 08 vs Long Beach St. 80-79 Lost Thu, Nov 14 vs Northern Colorado 69-78 Won Mon, Nov 18 vs Mt. Marty 89-41 Won Wed, Nov 20 vs Southern Miss 101-76 Sun, Nov 24 @ Duquesne Tue, Nov 26 @ TBD Mon, Dec 02 vs Dakota Wesleyan Wed, Dec 04 @ Montana |
0 | 0 | 21% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| St. Thomas | 0 St. Thomas Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 08 @ Green Bay 90-76 Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Oklahoma St. 71-80 Won Fri, Nov 15 vs St. Norbert 102-54 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Arizona St. 66-81 Fri, Nov 22 vs Wofford Sat, Nov 23 vs Portland St. Sun, Nov 24 @ Wis. Milwaukee Mon, Dec 02 vs Chicago St. |
0 | 0 | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
| North Dakota | 0 North Dakota Recent Games Sat, Nov 09 @ Texas-SA Won Tue, Nov 12 vs Dickinson St. 85-54 Won Thu, Nov 14 vs Utah Valley 77-71 Lost Tue, Nov 19 @ Notre Dame 58-75 Fri, Nov 22 @ Loyola Marymount Tue, Nov 26 vs Bethune-Cookman Wed, Dec 04 @ Eastern Washington Sat, Dec 07 vs Weber St. |
0 | 0 | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% |
| Denver | 0 Denver Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 08 vs Western Colo. 97-80 Lost Tue, Nov 12 @ Colorado St. 65-74 Won Thu, Nov 14 vs Colo. Christian 86-63 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Montana St. 79-78 Sun, Nov 24 @ Montana Mon, Nov 25 vs CSU Northridge Tue, Nov 26 @ Utah Tech Sun, Dec 01 @ Portland |
0 | 0 | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| UMKC | 0 UMKC Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 08 vs Kansas Christian 124-36 Lost Mon, Nov 11 @ Iowa St. 56-82 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ Creighton 56-79 Won Mon, Nov 18 vs Calvary 119-19 Fri, Nov 22 vs American Sat, Nov 23 vs Albany Sun, Nov 24 vs P.R.-Rio Piedras Sat, Nov 30 vs SE Missouri St. |
0 | 0 | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Nebraska Omaha | 0 Nebraska Omaha Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 07 @ Stetson 79-76 Lost Sat, Nov 09 @ Minnesota 64-68 Lost Thu, Nov 14 @ UNLV 69-80 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ Southern Utah 73-79 Fri, Nov 22 @ Alabama St. Sat, Nov 23 @ Akron Sun, Nov 24 @ Lamar Sat, Nov 30 vs Abilene Christian |
0 | 0 | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% |
| North Dakota St. | 0 North Dakota St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 07 vs Illinois St. 68-77 Lost Mon, Nov 11 @ CSU Bakersfield 81-86 Won Wed, Nov 13 @ Santa Clara 88-80 Lost Mon, Nov 18 @ Southern Illinois 44-69 Thu, Nov 21 vs Minn.-Crookston Tue, Nov 26 @ Samford Wed, Nov 27 @ W. Georgia Thu, Nov 28 @ Utah Valley |
0 | 0 | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% |
| Oral Roberts | 0 Oral Roberts Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 13 @ Tulsa 76-85 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs Haskell 87-52 Lost Tue, Nov 19 @ Belmont 80-90 Lost Thu, Nov 21 @ Ole Miss 68-100 Mon, Nov 25 vs Rogers St. Sun, Dec 01 vs Missouri St. Wed, Dec 04 vs Northern Arizona Sat, Dec 07 @ Idaho St. |
0 | 0 | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 22% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 82% | ||
| (9)Oral Roberts | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (8)North Dakota St. | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (7)Nebraska Omaha | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (6)UMKC | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (5)Denver | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (4)North Dakota | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (1)South Dakota | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (2)South Dakota St. | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | North Dakota St. (2‑3) |
Away | Thu Jan 2, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | North Dakota (2‑2) |
Away | Sat Jan 4, 2:00 pm | |
| 10 | South Dakota St. (4‑1) |
Home | Wed Jan 8, 9:00 pm | |
| 10 | South Dakota (5‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Denver (3‑2) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Nebraska Omaha (2‑3) |
Away | Thu Jan 23, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | UMKC (3‑2) |
Away | Sat Jan 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Oral Roberts (2‑4) |
Home | Wed Jan 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | North Dakota St. (2‑3) |
Home | Sat Feb 1, 1:00 pm | |
| 14 | South Dakota St. (4‑1) |
Away | Thu Feb 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Denver (3‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, 4:00 pm | |
| 15 | Nebraska Omaha (2‑3) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | South Dakota (5‑1) |
Away | Wed Feb 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Oral Roberts (2‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | North Dakota (2‑2) |
Home | Thu Feb 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | UMKC (3‑2) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Central (MN) | ‑‑ | 96‑71 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 9:00 pm |
| 1 | Green Bay (2‑3) |
HorizonHorizon | 90‑76 | Away | Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | Oklahoma St. (3‑1) |
Big 12Big 12 | 71‑80 | Away | Sun Nov 10, 3:00 pm |
| 2 | St. Norbert | ‑‑ | 102‑54 | Home | Fri Nov 15, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Arizona St. (5‑1) |
Big 12Big 12 | 66‑81 | Away | Sun Nov 17, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Wofford (1‑3) |
SouthernSouthern | Home | Fri Nov 22, 5:00 pm | |
| 3 | Portland St. (2‑1) |
Big SkyBig Sky | Home | Sat Nov 23, 1:00 pm | |
| 3 | Wis. Milwaukee (2‑2) |
HorizonHorizon | Away | Sun Nov 24, 2:30 pm | |
| 5 | Chicago St. (0‑5) |
NortheastNorth East | Home | Mon Dec 2, 8:00 pm | |
| 5 | Northern Colorado (4‑2) |
Big SkyBig Sky | Away | Wed Dec 4, 8:00 pm | |
| 5 | Montana (2‑3) |
Big SkyBig Sky | Home | Sat Dec 7, 3:00 pm | |
| 6 | Western Michigan (2‑4) |
MACMAC | Home | Fri Dec 13, 8:00 pm | |
| 6 | Crown (MN) | ‑‑ | Home | Sun Dec 15, 3:00 pm | |
| 7 | Bowling Green (2‑3) |
MACMAC | Away | Sat Dec 21, 2:00 pm | |
| 8 | UC Riverside (2‑3) |
Big WestBig West | Away | Sun Dec 29, 5:00 pm |