The Most Important Games for the Appalachian St. Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Appalachian St. Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Appalachian St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (19‑11) vs Texas State (18‑12) |
1954 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 24% | 55% | 21% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 29% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas State Wins | X | 1% | <1% | 14% | 19% | 57% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑25) vs Troy (19‑11) |
470 | UL Monroe Wins | 12% | 47% | 2% | 15% | 16% | 4% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 29% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Troy Wins | 12% | 27% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 30% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Alabama (21‑9) vs Southern Miss (15‑15) |
360 | South Alabama Wins | 12% | 38% | X | 1% | 6% | 38% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 29% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 12% | 4% | 36% | 20% | 18% | 5% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| James Madison (17‑13) vs Coastal Carolina (18‑12) |
145 | James Madison Wins | 12% | 28% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 29% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 29% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 12% | 28% | 11% | X | 13% | 26% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Southern (14‑15) vs Marshall (19‑11) |
56 | Georgia Southern Wins | 49% | X | X | 2% | 5% | 25% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 29% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marshall Wins | X | 36% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 29% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LA Lafayette (10‑20) vs Arkansas St. (19‑11) |
9 | LA Lafayette Wins | 12% | 28% | 11% | 9% | 25% | 16% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 29% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 12% | 28% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 31% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. (10‑20) vs Old Dominion (10‑20) |
0 | Georgia St. Wins | 12% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 29% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 29% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 12% | 28% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 29% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||