The Most Important Games for the Appalachian St. Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Appalachian St. Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Appalachian St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (16‑9) vs Georgia Southern (13‑11) |
591 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 24% | 30% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 8% | 22% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Old Dominion (7‑17) vs Marshall (15‑8) |
131 | Old Dominion Wins | 19% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Marshall Wins | 17% | 25% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Southern Miss (12‑13) vs South Alabama (16‑7) |
91 | Southern Miss Wins | 19% | 28% | 23% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 18% | 25% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| LA Lafayette (8‑16) vs Coastal Carolina (14‑11) |
71 | LA Lafayette Wins | 18% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 17% | 26% | 22% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑19) vs Arkansas St. (14‑10) |
50 | UL Monroe Wins | 18% | 27% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 18% | 26% | 22% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| James Madison (11‑13) vs Georgia St. (9‑15) |
28 | James Madison Wins | 18% | 27% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 17% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Texas State (14‑11) vs Troy (16‑8) |
25 | Texas State Wins | 26% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Troy Wins | 13% | 29% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||