The Most Important Games for the Appalachian St. Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Appalachian St. Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Appalachian St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Appalachian St.App.St. (17‑10) vs Marshall (16‑12) |
67 | Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 3% | 10% | 12% | 20% | 49% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marshall Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 36% | 50% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Coastal Carolina (9‑19) vs Troy (17‑10) |
37 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 2% | 10% | 11% | 25% | 29% | 22% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Troy Wins | 2% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 46% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Southern (14‑14) vs James Madison (18‑10) |
24 | Georgia Southern Wins | 3% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 30% | 27% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| James Madison Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 16% | 46% | 23% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UL Monroe (7‑21) vs Arkansas St. (19‑9) |
20 | UL Monroe Wins | 2% | 12% | 11% | 18% | 32% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 2% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 43% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas State (14‑14) vs South Alabama (19‑9) |
9 | Texas State Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 42% | 22% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | 8% | 8% | 15% | 43% | 25% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LA Lafayette (10‑18) vs Southern Miss (10‑19) |
1 | LA Lafayette Wins | 2% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 41% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 1% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 42% | 24% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. (12‑16) vs Old Dominion (9‑17) |
1 | Georgia St. Wins | 2% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 2% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||