Where are the Appalachian St. Mountaineers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Appalachian St. standings table presents the probabilities of the Mountaineers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Troy | 5i Troy Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 vs South Alabama 59-49 Lost Wed, Jan 07 @ Arkansas St. 74-86 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ LA Lafayette 90-70 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Southern Miss 91-65 Sat, Jan 17 vs Arkansas St. Wed, Jan 21 @ Old Dominion Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia Southern Thu, Jan 29 vs James Madison |
1 | 6 | 37% | 27% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Southern Miss | 5 Southern Miss Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 @ LA Lafayette 74-67 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs TX St. 80-70 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs UL Monroe 70-60 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Troy 65-91 Sat, Jan 17 @ TX St. Thu, Jan 22 @ Georgia St. Sat, Jan 24 @ Coast.Car. Thu, Jan 29 vs App. St. |
2 | 7 | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Arkansas St. | 4 Arkansas St. Recent Games Won Tue, Dec 30 vs Arkansas Tech 107-63 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs James Madison 74-78 Won Wed, Jan 07 vs Troy 86-74 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs TX St. 83-82 Thu, Jan 15 @ South Alabama Sat, Jan 17 @ Troy Thu, Jan 22 @ Georgia Southern Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia St. |
1 | 5 | 38% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Georgia Southern | 4 Georgia Southern Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 20 vs James Madison 96-92 Won Thu, Jan 01 @ Coast.Car. 82-81 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Old Dominion 93-86 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ South Alabama 71-87 Thu, Jan 15 vs Old Dominion Sat, Jan 17 vs Coast.Car. Thu, Jan 22 vs Arkansas St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Troy |
1 | 5 | 11% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| South Alabama | 3 South Alabama Recent Games Won Mon, Dec 29 vs Mobile 85-52 Won Wed, Dec 31 @ LA Lafayette 63-58 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Troy 49-59 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Georgia Southern 87-71 Thu, Jan 15 vs Arkansas St. Sat, Jan 17 vs LA Lafayette Thu, Jan 22 @ James Madison Sat, Jan 24 @ Marshall |
2 | 5 | 6% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Marshall | 3 Marshall Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 vs App. St. 88-81 Won Wed, Jan 07 @ James Madison 66-64 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Georgia St. 73-81 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Coast.Car. 83-85 Sat, Jan 17 vs James Madison Thu, Jan 22 vs UL Monroe Sat, Jan 24 vs South Alabama Wed, Jan 28 @ TX St. |
3 | 6 | 3% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Georgia St. | 3 Georgia St. Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 @ Marshall 80-84 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Coast.Car. 89-71 Lost Thu, Jan 08 vs App. St. 50-52 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Marshall 81-73 Sat, Jan 17 @ UL Monroe Thu, Jan 22 vs Southern Miss Sat, Jan 24 vs Arkansas St. Thu, Jan 29 @ LA Lafayette |
3 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 1% |
| Appalachian St.App. St. | 3 Appalachian St. Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 31 @ Old Dominion 81-73 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Marshall 81-88 Won Thu, Jan 08 @ Georgia St. 52-50 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Coast.Car. 62-67 Thu, Jan 15 vs James Madison Sat, Jan 17 vs Old Dominion Thu, Jan 22 vs LA Lafayette Sat, Jan 24 vs UL Monroe |
3 | 6 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Texas State | 3 Texas State Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 @ UL Monroe 84-79 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Southern Miss 70-80 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Arkansas St. 82-83 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs LA Lafayette 59-54 Sat, Jan 17 vs Southern Miss Thu, Jan 22 @ Coast.Car. Sat, Jan 24 @ James Madison Wed, Jan 28 vs Marshall |
4 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Coastal Carolina | 3 Coastal Carolina Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Georgia St. 71-89 Lost Thu, Jan 08 vs Old Dominion 66-70 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs App. St. 67-62 Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Marshall 85-83 Sat, Jan 17 @ Georgia Southern Thu, Jan 22 vs TX St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Southern Miss Thu, Jan 29 @ South Alabama |
4 | 7 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
| James Madison | 2 James Madison Recent Games Lost Mon, Dec 29 @ Arkansas 74-103 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Arkansas St. 78-74 Lost Wed, Jan 07 vs Marshall 64-66 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Old Dominion 70-69 Thu, Jan 15 @ App. St. Sat, Jan 17 @ Marshall Thu, Jan 22 vs South Alabama Sat, Jan 24 vs TX St. |
3 | 5 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Old Dominion | 2 Old Dominion Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 vs App. St. 73-81 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Georgia Southern 86-93 Won Thu, Jan 08 @ Coast.Car. 70-66 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ James Madison 69-70 Thu, Jan 15 @ Georgia Southern Sat, Jan 17 @ App. St. Wed, Jan 21 vs Troy Sat, Jan 24 vs LA Lafayette |
4 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 26% | 17% | 3% |
| LA Lafayette | 2 LA Lafayette Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Southern Miss 67-74 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs UL Monroe 85-79 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Troy 70-90 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ TX St. 54-59 Sat, Jan 17 @ South Alabama Thu, Jan 22 @ App. St. Sat, Jan 24 @ Old Dominion Thu, Jan 29 vs Georgia St. |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 22% | 56% | 4% |
| UL Monroe | 0 UL Monroe Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 01 vs Southern Miss 73-87 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs TX St. 79-84 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ LA Lafayette 79-85 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Southern Miss 60-70 Sat, Jan 17 vs Georgia St. Thu, Jan 22 @ Marshall Sat, Jan 24 @ App. St. Thu, Jan 29 vs Georgia Southern |
6 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 92% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 84% | ||
| (14)UL Monroe | 0 | 6 | 9% |
| (13)LA Lafayette | 2 | 5 | 5% |
| (12)Old Dominion | 2 | 4 | 1% |
| (7)Georgia St. | 3 | 3 | 1% |
| (10)Coastal Carolina | 3 | 4 | <1% |
| (9)Texas State | 3 | 4 | <1% |
| (11)James Madison | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (6)Marshall | 3 | 3 | <1% |
| (2)Southern Miss | 5 | 2 | <1% |
| (5)South Alabama | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (4)Georgia Southern | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)Arkansas St. | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| (1)Troy | 5 | 1 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Coastal Carolina (10‑9) |
67‑49 | Home | Thu Dec 18, 6:30 pm |
| 7 | Georgia St. (6‑12) |
63‑70 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 1:00 pm |
| 9 | Old Dominion (5‑13) |
81‑73 | Away | Wed Dec 31, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Marshall (11‑7) |
81‑88 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | Georgia St. (6‑12) |
52‑50 | Away | Thu Jan 8, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Coastal Carolina (10‑9) |
62‑67 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 1:00 pm |
| 11 | James Madison (9‑8) |
Home | Thu Jan 15, 6:30 pm | |
| 11 | Old Dominion (5‑13) |
Home | Sat Jan 17, 1:00 pm | |
| 12 | LA Lafayette (4‑14) |
Home | Thu Jan 22, 6:30 pm | |
| 12 | UL Monroe (3‑15) |
Home | Sat Jan 24, 1:00 pm | |
| 13 | Southern Miss (11‑8) |
Away | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Troy (11‑6) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 4:30 pm | |
| 14 | South Alabama (12‑5) |
Home | Wed Feb 4, 6:30 pm | |
| 15 | Georgia Southern (12‑6) |
Away | Wed Feb 11, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | James Madison (9‑8) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 4:00 pm | |
| 16 | Marshall (11‑7) |
Home | Thu Feb 19, 6:30 pm | |
| 16 | Georgia Southern (12‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Texas State (10‑9) |
Away | Fri Feb 27, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Michigan (5‑13) |
MACMAC | 66‑82 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Carolina University | ‑‑ | 92‑46 | Home | Wed Nov 5 |
| 1 | N.C. Central (7‑11) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 76‑54 | Home | Sun Nov 9 |
| 2 | Ohio St. (11‑5) |
Big 10Big 10 | 53‑75 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Dartmouth (8‑7) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 85‑77 | Away | Sun Nov 16, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | Charlotte (9‑9) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 65‑63 | Home | Fri Nov 21, 6:30 pm |
| 4 | Elon (10‑6) |
CoastalCoastal | 53‑88 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 6:30 pm |
| 4 | Mercer (10‑7) |
SouthernSouthern | 67‑75 | Away | Wed Nov 26, 2:00 pm |
| 4 | N.C. Asheville (8‑11) |
Big SouthBig South | 55‑67 | Away | Sun Nov 30, 1:30 pm |
| 5 | Virginia-Lynchburg | ‑‑ | 133‑45 | Home | Wed Dec 3, 6:30 pm |
| 6 | E. Carolina (5‑12) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 67‑54 | Away | Thu Dec 11, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | High Point (16‑4) |
Big SouthBig South | 86‑78 (OT) | Home | Sun Dec 14, 2:00 pm |