The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
South Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| South Alabama (6‑1) vs UL Monroe (1‑6) |
245 | South Alabama Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑7) vs Southern Miss (4‑3) |
21 | LA Lafayette Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (3‑5) vs James Madison (5‑3) |
19 | Old Dominion Wins | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 22% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State (6‑3) vs Arkansas St. (5‑3) |
17 | Texas State Wins | 23% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (1‑7) vs Georgia Southern (3‑5) |
12 | Georgia St. Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (4‑4) vs Coastal Carolina (4‑3) |
4 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Troy (5‑4) vs Marshall (5‑2) |
3 | Troy Wins | 23% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||