The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
South Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| South Alabama (12‑5) vs Arkansas St. (11‑5) |
407 | South Alabama Wins | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 2% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (9‑9) vs Marshall (11‑6) |
44 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (5‑13) vs Georgia Southern (12‑6) |
29 | Old Dominion Wins | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (10‑8) vs James Madison (9‑8) |
17 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑15) vs Georgia St. (6‑12) |
15 | UL Monroe Wins | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (4‑13) vs Texas State (9‑9) |
13 | LA Lafayette Wins | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Troy (10‑6) vs Southern Miss (11‑7) |
5 | Troy Wins | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||