The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
South Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| South Alabama (12‑5) vs Southern Miss (8‑10) |
28 | South Alabama Wins | 34% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 21% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑14) vs Troy (10‑6) |
2 | UL Monroe Wins | 32% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Troy Wins | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (5‑12) vs Arkansas St. (12‑5) |
2 | LA Lafayette Wins | 36% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (7‑10) vs Texas State (9‑8) |
2 | Georgia St. Wins | 32% | 21% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | 31% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (8‑9) vs Georgia Southern (8‑9) |
1 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 31% | 21% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 31% | 21% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (6‑9) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (9‑7) |
1 | Old Dominion Wins | 32% | 21% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 32% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| James Madison (9‑8) vs Marshall (10‑8) |
1 | James Madison Wins | 31% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 31% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||