The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
South Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| South Alabama (3‑2) vs James Madison (3‑2) |
26 | South Alabama Wins | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Troy (3‑2) vs Georgia St. (2‑2) |
4 | Troy Wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑3) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (2‑2) |
3 | LA Lafayette Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| UL Monroe (2‑4) vs Old Dominion (1‑3) |
2 | UL Monroe Wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Arkansas St. (3‑1) vs Coastal Carolina (1‑3) |
1 | Arkansas St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Georgia Southern (4‑2) vs Texas State (2‑3) |
1 | Georgia Southern Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Texas State Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Marshall (3‑1) vs Southern Miss (2‑3) |
1 | Marshall Wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||