Where are the South Alabama Jaguars going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The South Alabama standings table presents the probabilities of the Jaguars winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
Arkansas St. | 10i Arkansas St. Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 01 @ TX St. 85-74 Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ Marshall 72-77 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Kent State 75-76 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs Southern Miss 101-67 Sat, Feb 15 vs Troy Wed, Feb 19 vs South Alabama Sat, Feb 22 vs UL Monroe Wed, Feb 26 @ LA Lafayette |
3 | 13 | 59% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
South Alabama | 8 South Alabama Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 30 vs UL Monroe 58-62 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ LA Lafayette 62-58 Won Wed, Feb 05 @ Coast.Car. 84-59 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Akron 67-80 Thu, Feb 13 vs Marshall Sat, Feb 15 vs TX St. Wed, Feb 19 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Feb 22 @ TX St. |
3 | 11 | 21% | 24% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Appalachian St.App.St. | 8 Appalachian St. Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 29 vs Old Dominion 77-78 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Georgia St. 80-76 Won Wed, Feb 05 vs Southern Miss 60-58 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Ohio 72-59 Thu, Feb 13 @ Coast.Car. Sat, Feb 15 @ Georgia St. Thu, Feb 20 vs Georgia Southern Sat, Feb 22 vs Marshall |
4 | 12 | 2% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 21% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Troy | 8 Troy Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 01 vs UL Monroe 87-50 Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ James Madison 61-64 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Miami OH 62-69 Won Wed, Feb 12 @ LA Lafayette 74-56 Sat, Feb 15 @ Arkansas St. Thu, Feb 20 vs LA Lafayette Sat, Feb 22 vs Coast.Car. Tue, Feb 25 @ TX St. |
4 | 12 | 7% | 14% | 20% | 24% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
James Madison | 8 James Madison Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 30 vs Coast.Car. 73-64 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Old Dominion 68-54 Won Wed, Feb 05 vs Troy 64-61 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Toledo 69-72 Thu, Feb 13 @ Georgia Southern Sat, Feb 15 @ Coast.Car. Thu, Feb 20 vs Georgia St. Sat, Feb 22 vs Georgia Southern |
4 | 12 | 8% | 19% | 23% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Marshall | 8 Marshall Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 25 @ Georgia Southern 71-67 Lost Thu, Jan 30 vs Georgia St. 81-85 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Coast.Car. 67-62 Won Wed, Feb 05 vs Arkansas St. 77-72 Thu, Feb 13 @ South Alabama Sat, Feb 15 @ LA Lafayette Thu, Feb 20 @ Old Dominion Sat, Feb 22 @ App.St. |
4 | 12 | 3% | 9% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 25% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Old Dominion | 7 Old Dominion Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 29 @ App.St. 78-77 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ James Madison 54-68 Won Wed, Feb 05 vs TX St. 75-64 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Eastern Michigan 70-76 Thu, Feb 13 @ Georgia St. Sat, Feb 15 @ Georgia Southern Thu, Feb 20 vs Marshall Sat, Feb 22 vs Georgia St. |
5 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 32% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Texas State | 5 Texas State Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 30 vs LA Lafayette 61-70 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs Arkansas St. 74-85 Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ Old Dominion 64-75 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Central Michigan 70-85 Thu, Feb 13 @ UL Monroe Sat, Feb 15 @ South Alabama Wed, Feb 19 vs UL Monroe Sat, Feb 22 vs South Alabama |
7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 28% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
Southern Miss | 5 Southern Miss Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Georgia Southern 72-68 Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ App.St. 58-60 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Ball State 76-77 Lost Wed, Feb 12 @ Arkansas St. 67-101 Sat, Feb 15 @ UL Monroe Thu, Feb 20 vs Coast.Car. Sat, Feb 22 vs LA Lafayette Wed, Feb 26 vs South Alabama |
7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 8% | <1% | <1% |
Georgia St. | 5 Georgia St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 30 @ Marshall 85-81 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ App.St. 76-80 Won Wed, Feb 05 vs UL Monroe 97-64 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Buffalo 80-75 Thu, Feb 13 vs Old Dominion Sat, Feb 15 vs App.St. Thu, Feb 20 @ James Madison Sat, Feb 22 @ Old Dominion |
7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 8% | <1% | <1% |
Georgia Southern | 5 Georgia Southern Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ Troy 74-81 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ Southern Miss 68-72 Won Wed, Feb 05 vs LA Lafayette 83-82 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Western Michigan 83-57 Thu, Feb 13 vs James Madison Sat, Feb 15 vs Old Dominion Thu, Feb 20 @ App.St. Sat, Feb 22 @ James Madison |
7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 30% | 9% | <1% | <1% |
LA Lafayette | 5 LA Lafayette Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs South Alabama 58-62 Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ Georgia Southern 82-83 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Northern Illinois 66-64 Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs Troy 56-74 Sat, Feb 15 vs Marshall Thu, Feb 20 @ Troy Sat, Feb 22 @ Southern Miss Wed, Feb 26 vs Arkansas St. |
8 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 70% | <1% | <1% |
UL Monroe | 1 UL Monroe Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 25 vs App.St. 58-66 Won Thu, Jan 30 @ South Alabama 62-58 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ Troy 50-87 Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ Georgia St. 64-97 Thu, Feb 13 vs TX St. Sat, Feb 15 vs Southern Miss Wed, Feb 19 @ TX St. Sat, Feb 22 @ Arkansas St. |
10 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 23% | 76% |
Coastal Carolina | 1 Coastal Carolina Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ James Madison 64-73 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ Marshall 62-67 Lost Wed, Feb 05 vs South Alabama 59-84 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Bowling Green 53-67 Thu, Feb 13 vs App.St. Sat, Feb 15 vs James Madison Thu, Feb 20 @ Southern Miss Sat, Feb 22 @ Troy |
11 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 75% | 24% |
Record | Probability | ||
---|---|---|---|
Opponent | W | L | |
Bye | >99% | ||
(13)UL Monroe | 1 | 10 | <1% |
(14)Coastal Carolina | 1 | 11 | <1% |
(4)Troy | 8 | 4 | <1% |
(5)James Madison | 8 | 4 | <1% |
(7)Old Dominion | 7 | 5 | <1% |
(8)Texas State | 5 | 7 | <1% |
(9)Southern Miss | 5 | 7 | <1% |
(10)Georgia St. | 5 | 7 | <1% |
(11)Georgia Southern | 5 | 7 | <1% |
(12)LA Lafayette | 5 | 8 | <1% |
(3)Appalachian St.App.St. | 8 | 4 | <1% |
(6)Marshall | 8 | 4 | <1% |
(1)Arkansas St. | 10 | 3 | X |
Elimination | X |
Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|
7 | James Madison (15‑10) |
77‑49 | Home | Sat Dec 21, 2:00 pm |
9 | Georgia St. (10‑15) |
77‑51 | Away | Thu Jan 2, 7:00 pm |
9 | Georgia Southern (13‑12) |
76‑47 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 3:00 pm |
10 | Arkansas St. (19‑7) |
76‑62 | Home | Thu Jan 9, 8:00 pm |
10 | Old Dominion (9‑14) |
63‑71 (OT) | Home | Sat Jan 11, 4:00 pm |
11 | Southern Miss (10‑16) |
75‑62 | Home | Wed Jan 15, 8:00 pm |
11 | Troy (15‑9) |
64‑63 | Home | Sat Jan 18, 4:00 pm |
12 | UL Monroe (5‑19) |
Away | Thu Jan 23, 7:30 pm | |
12 | Troy (15‑9) |
55‑65 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 6:00 pm |
13 | UL Monroe (5‑19) |
58‑62 | Home | Thu Jan 30, 8:00 pm |
13 | LA Lafayette (8‑18) |
62‑58 (OT) | Away | Sat Feb 1, 8:00 pm |
14 | Coastal Carolina (8‑17) |
84‑59 | Away | Wed Feb 5, 7:00 pm |
15 | Marshall (15‑10) |
Home | Thu Feb 13, 8:00 pm | |
15 | Texas State (12‑13) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm | |
16 | Arkansas St. (19‑7) |
Away | Wed Feb 19, 8:00 pm | |
16 | Texas State (12‑13) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 5:30 pm | |
17 | Southern Miss (10‑16) |
Away | Wed Feb 26, 8:30 pm | |
17 | LA Lafayette (8‑18) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, 8:00 pm |
Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Central Michigan (11‑13) |
MACMAC | 70‑74 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 8:00 pm |
1 | Nicholls St. (15‑10) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 70‑64 | Away | Fri Nov 8, 7:30 pm |
2 | Ole Miss (19‑6) |
SECSEC | 54‑64 | Away | Tue Nov 12, 8:00 pm |
2 | Mercer (11‑15) |
SouthernSouthern | 75‑66 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 4:00 pm |
3 | Spring Hill | ‑‑ | 95‑61 | Home | Mon Nov 18, 8:00 pm |
4 | Incarnate Word (12‑13) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 84‑63 | Home | Mon Nov 25, 8:00 pm |
4 | Western Illinois (8‑17) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 63‑64 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 8:00 pm |
4 | Alcorn St. (8‑16) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 74‑65 (OT) | Home | Fri Nov 29, 11:00 am |
5 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (17‑7) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 76‑74 | Home | Sun Dec 8, 4:00 pm |
6 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (3‑22) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 81‑72 | Away | Sun Dec 15, 12:00 pm |
7 | TCU (13‑11) |
Big 12Big 12 | 49‑58 | Away | Mon Dec 16, 8:00 pm |
9 | Mobile | ‑‑ | 106‑41 | Home | Mon Dec 30, 8:00 pm |
14 | Akron (19‑5) |
MACMAC | 67‑80 | Away | Sat Feb 8, 3:00 pm |