Where are the South Alabama Jaguars going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The South Alabama standings table presents the probabilities of the Jaguars winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Southern Miss | 5i Southern Miss Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 01 @ UL Monroe 87-73 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ LA Lafayette 74-67 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs TX St. 80-70 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs UL Monroe 70-60 Wed, Jan 14 @ Troy Sat, Jan 17 @ TX St. Thu, Jan 22 @ Georgia St. Sat, Jan 24 @ Coast.Car. |
1 | 6 | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arkansas St. | 4 Arkansas St. Recent Games Won Tue, Dec 30 vs Arkansas Tech 107-63 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs James Madison 74-78 Won Wed, Jan 07 vs Troy 86-74 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs TX St. 83-82 Thu, Jan 15 @ South Alabama Sat, Jan 17 @ Troy Thu, Jan 22 @ Georgia Southern Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia St. |
1 | 5 | 37% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Troy | 4 Troy Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 31 vs TX St. 100-80 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs South Alabama 59-49 Lost Wed, Jan 07 @ Arkansas St. 74-86 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ LA Lafayette 90-70 Wed, Jan 14 vs Southern Miss Sat, Jan 17 vs Arkansas St. Wed, Jan 21 @ Old Dominion Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia Southern |
1 | 5 | 27% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Georgia Southern | 4 Georgia Southern Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 20 vs James Madison 96-92 Won Thu, Jan 01 @ Coast.Car. 82-81 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Old Dominion 93-86 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ South Alabama 71-87 Thu, Jan 15 vs Old Dominion Sat, Jan 17 vs Coast.Car. Thu, Jan 22 vs Arkansas St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Troy |
1 | 5 | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| South Alabama | 3 South Alabama Recent Games Won Mon, Dec 29 vs Mobile 85-52 Won Wed, Dec 31 @ LA Lafayette 63-58 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Troy 49-59 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Georgia Southern 87-71 Thu, Jan 15 vs Arkansas St. Sat, Jan 17 vs LA Lafayette Thu, Jan 22 @ James Madison Sat, Jan 24 @ Marshall |
2 | 5 | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Marshall | 3 Marshall Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 31 vs Georgia St. 84-80 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs App. St. 88-81 Won Wed, Jan 07 @ James Madison 66-64 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Georgia St. 73-81 Wed, Jan 14 vs Coast.Car. Sat, Jan 17 vs James Madison Thu, Jan 22 vs UL Monroe Sat, Jan 24 vs South Alabama |
2 | 5 | 9% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Georgia St. | 3 Georgia St. Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 @ Marshall 80-84 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Coast.Car. 89-71 Lost Thu, Jan 08 vs App. St. 50-52 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Marshall 81-73 Sat, Jan 17 @ UL Monroe Thu, Jan 22 vs Southern Miss Sat, Jan 24 vs Arkansas St. Thu, Jan 29 @ LA Lafayette |
3 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 1% |
| Appalachian St.App. St. | 3 Appalachian St. Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 31 @ Old Dominion 81-73 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Marshall 81-88 Won Thu, Jan 08 @ Georgia St. 52-50 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Coast.Car. 62-67 Thu, Jan 15 vs James Madison Sat, Jan 17 vs Old Dominion Thu, Jan 22 vs LA Lafayette Sat, Jan 24 vs UL Monroe |
3 | 6 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| James Madison | 2 James Madison Recent Games Lost Mon, Dec 29 @ Arkansas 74-103 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Arkansas St. 78-74 Lost Wed, Jan 07 vs Marshall 64-66 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Old Dominion 70-69 Thu, Jan 15 @ App. St. Sat, Jan 17 @ Marshall Thu, Jan 22 vs South Alabama Sat, Jan 24 vs TX St. |
3 | 5 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% | <1% |
| Coastal Carolina | 2 Coastal Carolina Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 01 vs Georgia Southern 81-82 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Georgia St. 71-89 Lost Thu, Jan 08 vs Old Dominion 66-70 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs App. St. 67-62 Wed, Jan 14 @ Marshall Sat, Jan 17 @ Georgia Southern Thu, Jan 22 vs TX St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Southern Miss |
4 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 1% |
| Old Dominion | 2 Old Dominion Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 vs App. St. 73-81 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Georgia Southern 86-93 Won Thu, Jan 08 @ Coast.Car. 70-66 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ James Madison 69-70 Thu, Jan 15 @ Georgia Southern Sat, Jan 17 @ App. St. Wed, Jan 21 vs Troy Sat, Jan 24 vs LA Lafayette |
4 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 3% |
| Texas State | 2 Texas State Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 @ Troy 80-100 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ UL Monroe 84-79 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Southern Miss 70-80 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Arkansas St. 82-83 Wed, Jan 14 vs LA Lafayette Sat, Jan 17 vs Southern Miss Thu, Jan 22 @ Coast.Car. Sat, Jan 24 @ James Madison |
4 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 1% |
| LA Lafayette | 2 LA Lafayette Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 vs South Alabama 58-63 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Southern Miss 67-74 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs UL Monroe 85-79 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Troy 70-90 Wed, Jan 14 @ TX St. Sat, Jan 17 @ South Alabama Thu, Jan 22 @ App. St. Sat, Jan 24 @ Old Dominion |
4 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 45% | 3% |
| UL Monroe | 0 UL Monroe Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 01 vs Southern Miss 73-87 Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs TX St. 79-84 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ LA Lafayette 79-85 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Southern Miss 60-70 Sat, Jan 17 vs Georgia St. Thu, Jan 22 @ Marshall Sat, Jan 24 @ App. St. Thu, Jan 29 vs Georgia Southern |
6 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 96% | ||
| (14)UL Monroe | 0 | 6 | 3% |
| (13)LA Lafayette | 2 | 4 | 1% |
| (11)Old Dominion | 2 | 4 | <1% |
| (7)Georgia St. | 3 | 3 | <1% |
| (10)Coastal Carolina | 2 | 4 | <1% |
| (12)Texas State | 2 | 4 | <1% |
| (9)James Madison | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (8)Appalachian St.App. St. | 3 | 3 | <1% |
| (4)Georgia Southern | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| (6)Marshall | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (1)Southern Miss | 5 | 1 | <1% |
| (2)Arkansas St. | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)Troy | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | UL Monroe (3‑15) |
96‑92 (OT) | Away | Wed Dec 17, 7:30 pm |
| 7 | Texas State (9‑9) |
65‑67 | Away | Sat Dec 20, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | LA Lafayette (4‑13) |
63‑58 | Away | Wed Dec 31, 1:00 pm |
| 9 | Troy (10‑6) |
49‑59 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 4:30 pm |
| 10 | Georgia Southern (12‑6) |
87‑71 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 5:30 pm |
| 11 | Arkansas St. (11‑5) |
Home | Thu Jan 15, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | LA Lafayette (4‑13) |
Home | Sat Jan 17, 4:00 pm | |
| 12 | James Madison (9‑8) |
Away | Thu Jan 22, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Marshall (11‑6) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 4:00 pm | |
| 13 | Coastal Carolina (9‑9) |
Home | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Georgia St. (6‑12) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Appalachian St.App. St. (10‑8) |
Away | Wed Feb 4, 6:30 pm | |
| 15 | Southern Miss (11‑7) |
Away | Thu Feb 12, 8:30 pm | |
| 15 | Arkansas St. (11‑5) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 3:00 pm | |
| 16 | Texas State (9‑9) |
Home | Thu Feb 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Troy (10‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 4:00 pm | |
| 17 | UL Monroe (3‑15) |
Home | Wed Feb 25, 8:30 pm | |
| 17 | Southern Miss (11‑7) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 8:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toledo (9‑7) |
MACMAC | 76‑74 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Alcorn St. (2‑12) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 76‑70 | Home | Thu Nov 6 |
| 1 | Spring Hill | ‑‑ | 99‑50 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Central Michigan (5‑12) |
MACMAC | 66‑64 | Home | Thu Nov 13 |
| 2 | Coppin St. (3‑16) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 72‑62 | Away | Sat Nov 15, 11:00 am |
| 3 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (8‑8) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 71‑65 | Away | Wed Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | UAB (10‑6) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 72‑80 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | Texas-San Antonio (4‑12) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 82‑58 | Away | Sun Nov 30, 2:00 pm |
| 5 | New Mexico St. (9‑6) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 77‑75 | Home | Tue Dec 2, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | E. Tennessee St. (12‑5) |
SouthernSouthern | 65‑91 | Away | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | North Texas (10‑6) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 57‑58 | Home | Sun Dec 14, 5:30 pm |
| 9 | Mobile | ‑‑ | 85‑52 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 8:00 pm |