The Most Important Games for the Troy Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Troy Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Troy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Troy (3‑2) vs Georgia St. (2‑2) |
22 | Troy Wins | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| James Madison (3‑2) vs South Alabama (3‑2) |
4 | James Madison Wins | 20% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 19% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Southern Miss (2‑3) vs Marshall (3‑1) |
3 | Southern Miss Wins | 20% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 19% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Arkansas St. (3‑1) vs Coastal Carolina (1‑3) |
1 | Arkansas St. Wins | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 20% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑3) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (2‑2) |
0 | LA Lafayette Wins | 20% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Georgia Southern (4‑2) vs Texas State (2‑3) |
0 | Georgia Southern Wins | 20% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | 20% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| UL Monroe (2‑4) vs Old Dominion (1‑3) |
0 | UL Monroe Wins | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||