PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Jan 12 11:45 am

Sunbelt Basketball - Week 11 of 17

Troy Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Troy Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Troy Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Troy Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Troy Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Troy
(10‑6)

vs
UL Monroe
(4‑14)
32 Troy Wins 14% 16% 16% 15% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
UL Monroe Wins 7% 12% 13% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1%
Southern Miss
(8‑10)

vs
South Alabama
(12‑5)
2 Southern Miss Wins 15% 16% 15% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
South Alabama Wins 13% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Marshall
(10‑8)

vs
James Madison
(9‑8)
1 Marshall Wins 14% 16% 15% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
James Madison Wins 13% 15% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Old Dominion
(6‑9)

vs
Appalachian St.App.St.
(9‑7)
1 Old Dominion Wins 14% 16% 15% 14% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Appalachian St.App.St. Wins 13% 16% 16% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Arkansas St.
(12‑5)

vs
LA Lafayette
(5‑12)
0 Arkansas St. Wins 13% 16% 16% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
LA Lafayette Wins 16% 15% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Coastal Carolina
(8‑9)

vs
Georgia Southern
(8‑9)
0 Coastal Carolina Wins 13% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Georgia Southern Wins 13% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Georgia St.
(7‑10)

vs
Texas State
(9‑8)
0 Georgia St. Wins 13% 15% 16% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Texas State Wins 13% 16% 15% 14% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament