The Most Important Games for the Troy Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Troy Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Troy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
Troy (10‑6) vs UL Monroe (4‑14) |
32 | Troy Wins | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
UL Monroe Wins | 7% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
Southern Miss (8‑10) vs South Alabama (12‑5) |
2 | Southern Miss Wins | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
South Alabama Wins | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Marshall (10‑8) vs James Madison (9‑8) |
1 | Marshall Wins | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
James Madison Wins | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Old Dominion (6‑9) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (9‑7) |
1 | Old Dominion Wins | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 13% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Arkansas St. (12‑5) vs LA Lafayette (5‑12) |
0 | Arkansas St. Wins | 13% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
LA Lafayette Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Coastal Carolina (8‑9) vs Georgia Southern (8‑9) |
0 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Georgia Southern Wins | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Georgia St. (7‑10) vs Texas State (9‑8) |
0 | Georgia St. Wins | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
Texas State Wins | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||