The Most Important Games for the Troy Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Troy Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Troy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Troy (17‑10) vs Coastal Carolina (9‑19) |
69 | Troy Wins | 2% | 16% | 41% | 27% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | 1% | 15% | 35% | 42% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marshall (16‑12) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (17‑10) |
21 | Marshall Wins | 1% | 13% | 43% | 31% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 2% | 15% | 35% | 24% | 22% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UL Monroe (7‑21) vs Arkansas St. (19‑9) |
20 | UL Monroe Wins | 2% | 17% | 56% | 15% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 2% | 15% | 36% | 27% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas State (14‑14) vs South Alabama (19‑9) |
2 | Texas State Wins | 4% | 20% | 33% | 24% | 18% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 1% | 11% | 41% | 28% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Old Dominion (9‑17) vs Georgia St. (12‑16) |
1 | Old Dominion Wins | 2% | 14% | 37% | 27% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 2% | 15% | 37% | 27% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Southern (14‑14) vs James Madison (18‑10) |
1 | Georgia Southern Wins | 5% | 21% | 28% | 26% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| James Madison Wins | 1% | 11% | 40% | 27% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LA Lafayette (10‑18) vs Southern Miss (10‑19) |
1 | LA Lafayette Wins | 2% | 14% | 37% | 27% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 15% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 2% | 14% | 38% | 26% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||