The Most Important Games for the Troy Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Troy Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Troy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Troy (17‑10) vs UL Monroe (4‑22) |
689 | Troy Wins | 34% | 29% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 29% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | 10% | 23% | 18% | 22% | 16% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas State (17‑11) vs South Alabama (19‑8) |
92 | Texas State Wins | 32% | 34% | 18% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 29% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 33% | 26% | 24% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| James Madison (14‑13) vs Coastal Carolina (16‑11) |
34 | James Madison Wins | 33% | 29% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 29% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 32% | 28% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marshall (17‑10) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (18‑10) |
34 | Marshall Wins | 42% | 21% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 29% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 24% | 35% | 25% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LA Lafayette (9‑18) vs Arkansas St. (16‑11) |
32 | LA Lafayette Wins | 33% | 28% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 29% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 32% | 28% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Southern (14‑12) vs Georgia St. (9‑18) |
9 | Georgia Southern Wins | 32% | 29% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 29% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 33% | 28% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Miss (14‑14) vs Old Dominion (10‑18) |
2 | Southern Miss Wins | 33% | 28% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 29% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 33% | 28% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||