PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Jan 12 11:45 am

Sunbelt Basketball - Week 11 of 17

Troy Trojans Standings

Where are the Troy Trojans going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Troy standings table presents the probabilities of the Trojans winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sunbelt Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Old Dominion 4i
Old Dominion Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs Arkansas St.      59-78 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Southern Miss     74-71 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 @  LA Lafayette      71-60 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 @  South Alabama     71-63 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs App.St.          
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Georgia Southern 
     Wed, Jan 22 vs James Madison    
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Coast.Car.       

1 5 3% 6% 9% 9% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 4% 2% <1%
South Alabama 4
South Alabama Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 @  Georgia St.       77-51 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 @  Georgia Southern  76-47 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 vs Arkansas St.      76-62 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Old Dominion      63-71 
     Wed, Jan 15 vs Southern Miss    
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Troy             
     Thu, Jan 23 @  UL Monroe        
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Troy             

1 5 31% 20% 14% 10% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Arkansas St. 3
Arkansas St. Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 @  Old Dominion      78-59 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  James Madison     62-67 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 @  South Alabama     62-76 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 @  Troy              84-78 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs LA Lafayette     
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Georgia St.      
     Thu, Jan 23 vs App.St.          
     Sat, Jan 25 vs TX St.           

2 5 35% 23% 15% 10% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Southern Miss 3
Southern Miss Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 @  James Madison     72-83 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Old Dominion      71-74 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 vs UL Monroe         84-67 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs TX St.            92-88 
     Wed, Jan 15 @  South Alabama    
     Sat, Jan 18 @  TX St.           
     Thu, Jan 23 @  Troy             
     Sat, Jan 25 @  LA Lafayette     

2 5 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 9% 10% 12% 13% 13% 13% 9% 1%
Troy 3
Troy Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 @  App.St.           69-61 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 @  Marshall          58-57 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs TX St.            73-74 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Arkansas St.      78-84 
     Wed, Jan 15 @  UL Monroe        
     Sat, Jan 18 @  South Alabama    
     Thu, Jan 23 vs Southern Miss    
     Sat, Jan 25 vs South Alabama    

2 5 14% 16% 15% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
LA Lafayette 3
LA Lafayette Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 @  Coast.Car.        71-68 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Georgia St.       70-94 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs Old Dominion      60-71 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs UL Monroe         71-68 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  Arkansas St.     
     Sat, Jan 18 @  UL Monroe        
     Wed, Jan 22 vs TX St.           
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Southern Miss    

2 5 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 10% 13% 16% 23% 15% 2%
Georgia St. 3
Georgia St. Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs South Alabama     51-77 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs LA Lafayette      94-70 
Won  Wed, Jan 08 vs Georgia Southern  82-78 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs Coast.Car.        79-74 
     Wed, Jan 15 @  TX St.           
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Arkansas St.     
     Thu, Jan 23 vs Marshall         
     Sat, Jan 25 vs James Madison    

2 5 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12% 11% 8% 4% 1%
Appalachian St.App.St. 3
Appalachian St. Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs Troy              61-69 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs TX St.            72-61 
Won  Wed, Jan 08 vs Coast.Car.        74-51 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs James Madison     86-66 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  Old Dominion     
     Sat, Jan 18 @  James Madison    
     Thu, Jan 23 @  Arkansas St.     
     Sat, Jan 25 @  UL Monroe        

2 5 6% 9% 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 1% <1%
Marshall 3
Marshall Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 vs TX St.            77-71 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Troy              57-58 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 vs James Madison     80-78 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs Georgia Southern  81-69 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  James Madison    
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Coast.Car.       
     Thu, Jan 23 @  Georgia St.      
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Georgia Southern 

2 5 4% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 3% <1%
James Madison 2
James Madison Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 vs Southern Miss     83-72 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Arkansas St.      67-62 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 @  Marshall          78-80 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  App.St.           66-86 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs Marshall         
     Sat, Jan 18 vs App.St.          
     Wed, Jan 22 @  Old Dominion     
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Georgia St.      

3 5 4% 8% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 3% 2% <1%
Texas State 2
Texas State Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 @  Marshall          71-77 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  App.St.           61-72 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 @  Troy              74-73 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Southern Miss     88-92 
     Wed, Jan 15 vs Georgia St.      
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Southern Miss    
     Wed, Jan 22 @  LA Lafayette     
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Arkansas St.     

3 5 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% <1%
Georgia Southern 1
Georgia Southern Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 vs UL Monroe         90-82 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs South Alabama     47-76 
Lost Wed, Jan 08 @  Georgia St.       78-82 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Marshall          69-81 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  Coast.Car.       
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Old Dominion     
     Wed, Jan 22 vs Coast.Car.       
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Marshall         

4 5 <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 16% 1%
Coastal Carolina 1
Coastal Carolina Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs LA Lafayette      68-71 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs UL Monroe         70-51 
Lost Wed, Jan 08 @  App.St.           51-74 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Georgia St.       74-79 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs Georgia Southern 
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Marshall         
     Wed, Jan 22 @  Georgia Southern 
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Old Dominion     

4 5 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 9% 12% 17% 37% 5%
UL Monroe 0
UL Monroe Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 @  Georgia Southern  82-90 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Coast.Car.        51-70 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 @  Southern Miss     67-84 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  LA Lafayette      68-71 
     Wed, Jan 15 vs Troy             
     Sat, Jan 18 vs LA Lafayette     
     Thu, Jan 23 vs South Alabama    
     Sat, Jan 25 vs App.St.          

5 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8% 89%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(5) Trojans 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 97%
(14)UL Monroe 0 5 1%
(13)Coastal Carolina 1 4 <1%
(12)Georgia Southern 1 4 <1%
(7)Georgia St. 3 2 <1%
(6)LA Lafayette 3 2 <1%
(4)Southern Miss 3 2 <1%
(9)Marshall 3 2 <1%
(8)Appalachian St.App.St. 3 2 <1%
(1)Old Dominion 4 1 <1%
(11)Texas State 2 3 <1%
(10)James Madison 2 3 <1%
(2)South Alabama 4 1 <1%
(3)Arkansas St. 3 2 <1%
Elimination X



Trojans Conference Schedule
Current Week 11
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
7 Georgia St.
(7‑10)
77‑57 Home Sat Dec 21, 4:33 pm
9 Appalachian St.App.St.
(9‑7)
69‑61 Away Thu Jan 2, 6:30 pm
9 Marshall
(10‑8)
58‑57 Away Sat Jan 4, 4:00 pm
10 Texas State
(9‑8)
73‑74 Home Thu Jan 9, 7:00 pm
10 Arkansas St.
(12‑5)
78‑84 Home Sat Jan 11, 4:33 pm
11 UL Monroe
(4‑14)
  Away Wed Jan 15, 7:30 pm
11 South Alabama
(12‑5)
  Away Sat Jan 18, 4:00 pm
12 Southern Miss
(8‑10)
  Home Thu Jan 23, 7:00 pm
12 South Alabama
(12‑5)
  Home Sat Jan 25, 4:33 pm
13 Georgia Southern
(8‑9)
  Home Thu Jan 30, 7:00 pm
13 UL Monroe
(4‑14)
  Home Sat Feb 1, 4:33 pm
14 James Madison
(9‑8)
  Away Wed Feb 5, 7:00 pm
15 LA Lafayette
(5‑12)
  Away Wed Feb 12, 8:30 pm
15 Arkansas St.
(12‑5)
  Away Sat Feb 15, 3:30 pm
16 LA Lafayette
(5‑12)
  Home Thu Feb 20, 7:00 pm
16 Coastal Carolina
(8‑9)
  Home Sat Feb 22, 4:33 pm
17 Texas State
(9‑8)
  Away Tue Feb 25, 8:00 pm
17 Southern Miss
(8‑10)
  Away Fri Feb 28, 8:30 pm


Trojans Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Toledo
(9‑6)
MACMAC 84‑74 Home Mon Nov 4, 7:00 pm
1 New Orleans
(2‑14)
SouthlandSouth-land 78‑61 Away Sat Nov 9, 5:00 pm
2 Arkansas
(11‑5)
SECSEC 49‑65 Away Wed Nov 13, 8:00 pm
2 Oregon
(14‑2)
Big 10Big 10 61‑82 Away Sun Nov 17, 5:00 pm
3 West Georgia
(3‑14)
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 84‑65 Away Tue Nov 19, 7:00 pm
4 Texas-San Antonio
(7‑8)
American AthleticAm. Athletic 86‑72 Home Mon Nov 25, 8:00 pm
4 Merrimack
(7‑8)
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 68‑72 Home Fri Nov 29, 2:00 pm
4 Eastern Kentucky
(8‑9)
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 84‑74 Home Sun Dec 1, 3:00 pm
6 Houston
(12‑3)
Big 12Big 12 42‑62 Away Tue Dec 10, 8:00 pm
6 Middle Ga. St. ‑‑ 87‑53 Home Sat Dec 14, 5:30 pm
7 LaGrange ‑‑ 105‑60 Home Tue Dec 17, 7:00 pm
14 TBD ‑‑   Away Sat Feb 8, TBD