The Most Important Games for the Tarleton St. Texans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Texans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Tarleton St. Texans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Tarleton St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Tarleton St. (11‑16) vs UT Arlington (12‑14) |
27 | Tarleton St. Wins | X | <1% | 24% | 30% | 28% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UT Arlington Wins | X | X | 10% | 18% | 22% | 25% | 25% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Utah Valley (19‑7) vs Seattle (10‑15) |
10 | Utah Valley Wins | X | <1% | 17% | 24% | 25% | 19% | 14% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Seattle Wins | X | <1% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 26% | 22% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Utah Tech (6‑20) vs Abilene Christian (13‑13) |
8 | Utah Tech Wins | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Abilene Christian Wins | X | <1% | 16% | 21% | 26% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Grand Canyon (19‑6) vs California Baptist (13‑12) |
5 | Grand Canyon Wins | X | X | 18% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 16% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ||
| California Baptist Wins | X | <1% | 11% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ||