The Most Important Games for the Portland Pilots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pilots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Portland Pilots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Portland Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Portland (9‑11) vs Loyola Marymount (11‑9) |
48 | Portland Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 16% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 21% | 26% | 19% | ||
| Gonzaga (18‑0) vs Seattle (13‑6) |
5 | Gonzaga Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 16% | ||
| Seattle Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 16% | ||
| Oregon St. (10‑10) vs Pacific (12‑8) |
2 | Oregon St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 16% | ||
| Pacific Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 16% | ||
| Santa Clara (14‑5) vs St. Mary's (17‑1) |
0 | Santa Clara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 16% | ||
| St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 16% | ||
| Washington St. (8‑10) vs San Francisco (12‑7) |
0 | Washington St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 16% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 16% | ||