The Most Important Games for the Portland Pilots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pilots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Portland Pilots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Portland Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Portland (6‑4) vs Washington St. (3‑5) |
71 | Portland Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | 10% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Oregon St. (4‑5) vs Santa Clara (7‑2) |
7 | Oregon St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | 10% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Pepperdine (3‑6) vs Gonzaga (8‑0) |
6 | Pepperdine Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | 10% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| San Diego (3‑5) vs Pacific (7‑2) |
3 | San Diego Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Pacific Wins | 10% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| St. Mary's (8‑0) vs Loyola Marymount (7‑3) |
3 | St. Mary's Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | 10% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| San Francisco (5‑3) vs Seattle (6‑2) |
2 | San Francisco Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Seattle Wins | 10% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | ||