The Most Important Games for the Portland Pilots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pilots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Portland Pilots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Portland Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Portland (2‑3) vs Washington St. (5‑1) |
74 | Portland Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Loyola Marymount (1‑2) vs San Francisco (4‑1) |
7 | Loyola Marymount Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | ||
| St. Mary's (5‑0) vs Pacific (3‑3) |
6 | St. Mary's Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Pacific Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | ||
| Pepperdine (1‑3) vs Santa Clara (2‑3) |
3 | Pepperdine Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 14% | ||