The Most Important Games for the Portland Pilots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pilots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Portland Pilots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Portland Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Portland (5‑12) vs Pacific (6‑14) |
25 | Portland Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 28% | 24% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 30% | ||
| Pacific Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 40% | ||
| Washington St. (13‑5) vs San Diego (4‑14) |
4 | Washington St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 24% | 25% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 30% | ||
| San Diego Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 36% | ||
| San Francisco (14‑5) vs Pepperdine (7‑10) |
2 | San Francisco Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 30% | ||
| Pepperdine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 25% | 26% | 31% | ||
| Gonzaga (14‑5) vs Oregon St. (13‑5) |
2 | Gonzaga Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 30% | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 24% | 25% | 30% | ||
| Loyola Marymount (9‑8) vs Santa Clara (12‑6) |
0 | Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 30% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 30% | ||