The Most Important Games for the Portland Pilots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pilots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Portland Pilots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Portland Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Pepperdine (10‑18) vs Loyola Marymount (15‑13) |
5 | Pepperdine Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 63% | 17% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 79% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 85% | 10% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Portland (10‑17) vs Pacific (9‑21) |
4 | Portland Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 83% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 79% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Pacific Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 77% | 21% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Santa Clara (18‑10) vs Washington St. (16‑12) |
3 | Santa Clara Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 9% | 75% | 14% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 79% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Washington St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 84% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ||
| San Diego (4‑24) vs Oregon St. (19‑9) |
0 | San Diego Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 79% | 12% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 79% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 79% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Gonzaga (21‑7) vs St. Mary's (24‑4) |
0 | Gonzaga Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 79% | 12% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 79% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ||
| St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 79% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ||