The Most Important Games for the Portland Pilots are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pilots final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Portland Pilots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Portland Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Portland (11‑14) vs Seattle (15‑9) |
71 | Portland Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 2% | ||
| Seattle Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 24% | 31% | 21% | 3% | ||
| Pepperdine (6‑18) vs Pacific (15‑10) |
11 | Pepperdine Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 2% | ||
| Pacific Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 22% | 25% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Gonzaga (22‑2) vs Oregon St. (13‑12) |
10 | Gonzaga Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 2% | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 23% | 26% | 16% | 2% | ||
| Santa Clara (19‑6) vs Washington St. (11‑14) |
9 | Santa Clara Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 25% | 16% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 2% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 15% | 2% | ||
| St. Mary's (20‑3) vs San Francisco (14‑10) |
7 | St. Mary's Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 2% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 23% | 25% | 15% | 2% | ||
| San Diego (10‑15) vs Loyola Marymount (12‑13) |
0 | San Diego Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 27% | 13% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 2% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 2% | ||