Where are the Portland Pilots going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Portland standings table presents the probabilities of the Pilots winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Gonzaga | 6i Gonzaga Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 02 vs Seattle 80-72 Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Loyola Marymount 82-47 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs Santa Clara 89-77 Won Thu, Jan 15 @ Washington St. 86-65 Sat, Jan 17 @ Seattle Wed, Jan 21 vs Pepperd. Sat, Jan 24 vs San Francisco Sat, Jan 31 vs St. Mary's |
0 | 6 | 60% | 35% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| St. Mary's | 6 St. Mary's Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 02 vs Portland 78-57 Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Seattle 93-76 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Washington St. 88-82 Won Tue, Jan 13 @ San Francisco 82-68 Sat, Jan 17 @ Santa Clara Wed, Jan 21 vs Oregon St. Sat, Jan 24 @ Portland Sat, Jan 31 @ Gonzaga |
0 | 6 | 36% | 50% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Santa Clara | 6 Santa Clara Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 04 vs San Diego 98-70 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Gonzaga 77-89 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Loyola Marymount 103-72 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Pacific 85-69 Sat, Jan 17 vs St. Mary's Sat, Jan 24 @ San Diego Wed, Jan 28 vs San Francisco Sat, Jan 31 @ Loyola Marymount |
1 | 7 | 3% | 13% | 49% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| San Francisco | 4 San Francisco Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Portland 73-68 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Loyola Marymount 82-84 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Pepperd. 80-60 Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs St. Mary's 68-82 Sun, Jan 18 vs Washington St. Sat, Jan 24 @ Gonzaga Wed, Jan 28 @ Santa Clara Sat, Jan 31 vs Pacific |
3 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Washington St. | 3 Washington St. Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 02 vs Loyola Marymount 78-76 Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Oregon St. 81-67 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ St. Mary's 82-88 Lost Thu, Jan 15 vs Gonzaga 65-86 Sun, Jan 18 @ San Francisco Wed, Jan 21 @ San Diego Sat, Jan 24 vs Pepperd. Wed, Jan 28 vs Seattle |
3 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Pacific | 3 Pacific Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Pepperd. 74-69 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Portland 89-90 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs San Diego 77-70 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Santa Clara 69-85 Sat, Jan 17 @ Oregon St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Seattle Wed, Jan 28 vs Portland Sat, Jan 31 @ San Francisco |
4 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 2% |
| Oregon St. | 3 Oregon St. Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Washington St. 67-81 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs Seattle 68-55 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Portland 76-82 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Loyola Marymount 76-70 Sat, Jan 17 vs Pacific Wed, Jan 21 @ St. Mary's Wed, Jan 28 @ Loyola Marymount Sat, Jan 31 @ San Diego |
4 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 4% |
| Seattle | 2 Seattle Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 @ Gonzaga 72-80 Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ St. Mary's 76-93 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Oregon St. 55-68 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs San Diego 75-64 Sat, Jan 17 vs Gonzaga Wed, Jan 21 vs Loyola Marymount Sat, Jan 24 @ Pacific Wed, Jan 28 @ Washington St. |
4 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Loyola Marymount | 2 Loyola Marymount Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Gonzaga 47-82 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs San Francisco 84-82 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Santa Clara 72-103 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Oregon St. 70-76 Sat, Jan 17 vs Portland Wed, Jan 21 @ Seattle Wed, Jan 28 vs Oregon St. Sat, Jan 31 vs Santa Clara |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 3% |
| Portland | 2 Portland Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ San Francisco 68-73 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs Pacific 90-89 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Oregon St. 82-76 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Pepperd. 63-67 Sat, Jan 17 @ Loyola Marymount Sat, Jan 24 vs St. Mary's Wed, Jan 28 @ Pacific Sat, Jan 31 @ Washington St. |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 16% |
| San Diego | 2 San Diego Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Santa Clara 70-98 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs Pepperd. 83-63 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Pacific 70-77 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Seattle 64-75 Sat, Jan 17 vs Bethesda University Wed, Jan 21 vs Washington St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Santa Clara Wed, Jan 28 @ Pepperd. |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 24% | 14% |
| Pepperdine | 1 Pepperdine Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Pacific 69-74 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ San Diego 63-83 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs San Francisco 60-80 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Portland 67-63 Wed, Jan 21 @ Gonzaga Sat, Jan 24 @ Washington St. Wed, Jan 28 vs San Diego Wed, Feb 04 @ Seattle |
6 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 21% | 58% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 28% | ||
| (11)San Diego | 2 | 5 | 19% |
| (12)Pepperdine | 1 | 6 | 18% |
| (7)Oregon St. | 3 | 4 | 9% |
| (9)Loyola Marymount | 2 | 5 | 7% |
| (6)Pacific | 3 | 4 | 6% |
| (5)Washington St. | 3 | 3 | 5% |
| (8)Seattle | 2 | 4 | 3% |
| (4)San Francisco | 4 | 3 | 3% |
| (3)Santa Clara | 6 | 1 | <1% |
| (1)Gonzaga | 6 | 0 | <1% |
| (2)St. Mary's | 6 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Washington St. (8‑10) |
62‑67 | Home | Sun Dec 28, 5:00 pm |
| 9 | Santa Clara (14‑5) |
85‑92 | Home | Tue Dec 30, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | St. Mary's (17‑1) |
57‑78 | Away | Fri Jan 2, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | San Francisco (12‑7) |
68‑73 | Away | Sun Jan 4, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Pacific (12‑8) |
90‑89 (OT) | Home | Thu Jan 8, 10:00 pm |
| 10 | Oregon St. (10‑10) |
82‑76 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Pepperdine (6‑14) |
63‑67 | Away | Wed Jan 14, 9:00 pm |
| 11 | Loyola Marymount (11‑9) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 9:00 pm | |
| 12 | St. Mary's (17‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 24, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Pacific (12‑8) |
Away | Wed Jan 28, 10:00 pm | |
| 13 | Washington St. (8‑10) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 6:00 pm | |
| 14 | Gonzaga (18‑0) |
Home | Wed Feb 4, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Seattle (13‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 7, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | San Diego (7‑12) |
Away | Wed Feb 11, 9:30 pm | |
| 16 | Pepperdine (6‑14) |
Home | Wed Feb 18, 10:00 pm | |
| 16 | Seattle (13‑6) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | Gonzaga (18‑0) |
Away | Wed Feb 25, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | San Diego (7‑12) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 5:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Willamette | ‑‑ | 120‑83 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | AR Pine Bluff (6‑10) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 83‑74 | Home | Thu Nov 6 |
| 1 | UC Davis (10‑7) |
Big WestBig West | 67‑63 | Home | Sun Nov 9 |
| 2 | Wyoming (11‑6) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 56‑93 | Away | Sat Nov 15, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | CSU Fullerton (8‑11) |
Big WestBig West | 103‑85 | Home | Fri Nov 21, 10:00 pm |
| 3 | Northern Colorado (11‑7) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 80‑86 (OT) | Home | Sat Nov 22, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | St. Thomas (14‑5) |
SummitSummit | 66‑76 | Home | Sun Nov 23, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Beach St. (7‑11) |
Big WestBig West | 93‑73 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 10:00 pm |
| 5 | Stanford (14‑4) |
ACCACC | 72‑94 | Away | Mon Dec 1, 10:00 pm |
| 5 | Lewis & Clark | ‑‑ | 104‑87 | Home | Fri Dec 5, 10:00 pm |
| 6 | Kent State (13‑5) |
MACMAC | 88‑78 | Home | Sun Dec 14, 5:00 pm |
| 7 | Oregon (8‑9) |
Big 10Big 10 | 69‑94 | Away | Wed Dec 17, 11:00 pm |
| 8 | UCSB (10‑7) |
Big WestBig West | 61‑79 | Away | Mon Dec 22, 5:00 pm |