Where are the Portland Pilots going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Portland standings table presents the probabilities of the Pilots winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 |
| Gonzaga | 5i Gonzaga Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 vs Portland 81-50 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Loyola Marymount 96-68 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs San Diego 93-80 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Washington St. 88-75 Thu, Jan 16 @ Oregon St. Sat, Jan 18 vs Santa Clara Sat, Jan 25 @ Portland Tue, Jan 28 vs Oregon St. |
0 | 5 | 40% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| St. Mary's | 5 St. Mary's Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 vs Pepperd. 71-41 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Portland 81-58 Won Tue, Jan 07 vs Loyola Marymount 81-56 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ San Diego 103-56 Sat, Jan 18 @ Pepperd. Thu, Jan 23 vs San Francisco Sat, Jan 25 @ Washington St. Wed, Jan 29 @ Santa Clara |
0 | 5 | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Santa Clara | 4 Santa Clara Recent Games Lost Mon, Dec 30 @ San Francisco 94-97 Won Thu, Jan 02 @ San Diego 81-80 Won Thu, Jan 09 vs Oregon St. 82-81 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs San Francisco 77-54 Wed, Jan 15 @ Loyola Marymount Sat, Jan 18 @ Gonzaga Thu, Jan 23 vs Washington St. Sat, Jan 25 @ Oregon St. |
1 | 5 | 12% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| San Francisco | 4 San Francisco Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 @ Pacific 89-81 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Washington St. 82-91 Won Thu, Jan 09 vs Portland 81-72 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Santa Clara 54-77 Thu, Jan 16 @ Pepperd. Sat, Jan 18 vs Oregon St. Thu, Jan 23 @ St. Mary's Sat, Jan 25 vs San Diego |
2 | 6 | 7% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Washington St. | 3 Washington St. Recent Games Won Mon, Dec 30 vs Loyola Marymount 73-59 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs San Francisco 91-82 Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs Pacific 94-95 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Gonzaga 75-88 Thu, Jan 16 @ San Diego Sat, Jan 18 vs Portland Thu, Jan 23 @ Santa Clara Sat, Jan 25 vs St. Mary's |
2 | 5 | 9% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Oregon St. | 3 Oregon St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 @ Loyola Marymount 61-82 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs San Diego 81-54 Lost Thu, Jan 09 @ Santa Clara 81-82 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Pacific 91-55 Thu, Jan 16 vs Gonzaga Sat, Jan 18 @ San Francisco Thu, Jan 23 vs Pepperd. Sat, Jan 25 vs Santa Clara |
2 | 5 | 4% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Pepperdine | 1 Pepperdine Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 28 @ Santa Clara 80-91 Lost Mon, Dec 30 vs Gonzaga 82-89 Lost Thu, Jan 02 @ St. Mary's 41-71 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Pacific 87-70 Thu, Jan 16 vs San Francisco Sat, Jan 18 vs St. Mary's Thu, Jan 23 @ Oregon St. Sat, Jan 25 vs Pacific |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 32% | 20% | 13% | 7% |
| Loyola Marymount | 1 Loyola Marymount Recent Games Lost Mon, Dec 30 @ Washington St. 59-73 Won Thu, Jan 02 vs Oregon St. 82-61 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Gonzaga 68-96 Lost Tue, Jan 07 @ St. Mary's 56-81 Wed, Jan 15 vs Santa Clara Sat, Jan 18 vs San Diego Wed, Jan 22 @ Pacific Thu, Jan 30 vs Portland |
4 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| San Diego | 1 San Diego Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs Santa Clara 80-81 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Oregon St. 54-81 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ Gonzaga 80-93 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs St. Mary's 56-103 Thu, Jan 16 vs Washington St. Sat, Jan 18 @ Loyola Marymount Thu, Jan 23 @ Portland Sat, Jan 25 @ San Francisco |
4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 21% | 29% | 35% |
| Pacific | 1 Pacific Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs San Francisco 81-89 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Pepperd. 70-87 Won Thu, Jan 09 @ Washington St. 95-94 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Oregon St. 55-91 Thu, Jan 16 @ Portland Wed, Jan 22 vs Loyola Marymount Sat, Jan 25 @ Pepperd. Thu, Jan 30 vs Washington St. |
5 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 26% | 30% | 27% |
| Portland | 0 Portland Recent Games Lost Mon, Dec 30 @ Oregon St. 79-89 Lost Thu, Jan 02 @ Gonzaga 50-81 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs St. Mary's 58-81 Lost Thu, Jan 09 @ San Francisco 72-81 Thu, Jan 16 vs Pacific Sat, Jan 18 @ Washington St. Thu, Jan 23 vs San Diego Sat, Jan 25 vs Gonzaga |
5 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 30% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 45% | ||
| (9)San Diego | 1 | 4 | 27% |
| (10)Pacific | 1 | 5 | 20% |
| (7)Pepperdine | 1 | 3 | 6% |
| (8)Loyola Marymount | 1 | 4 | 1% |
| (6)Oregon St. | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (5)Washington St. | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (4)San Francisco | 4 | 2 | <1% |
| (3)Santa Clara | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| (1)Gonzaga | 5 | 0 | <1% |
| (2)St. Mary's | 5 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Washington St. (13‑5) |
73‑89 | Home | Sat Dec 28, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Oregon St. (13‑5) |
79‑89 | Away | Mon Dec 30, 9:30 pm |
| 9 | Gonzaga (14‑5) |
50‑81 | Away | Thu Jan 2, 9:00 pm |
| 9 | St. Mary's (15‑3) |
58‑81 | Home | Sat Jan 4, 10:00 pm |
| 10 | San Francisco (14‑5) |
72‑81 | Away | Thu Jan 9, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | Pacific (6‑14) |
Home | Thu Jan 16, 10:00 pm | |
| 11 | Washington St. (13‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 18, 6:00 pm | |
| 12 | San Diego (4‑14) |
Home | Thu Jan 23, 10:00 pm | |
| 12 | Gonzaga (14‑5) |
Home | Sat Jan 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Loyola Marymount (9‑8) |
Away | Thu Jan 30, TBD | |
| 13 | Pepperdine (7‑10) |
Away | Sat Feb 1, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | Santa Clara (12‑6) |
Home | Thu Feb 6, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | Oregon St. (13‑5) |
Home | Thu Feb 13, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | Loyola Marymount (9‑8) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, 10:00 pm | |
| 16 | St. Mary's (15‑3) |
Away | Wed Feb 19, TBD | |
| 16 | Pacific (6‑14) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, TBD | |
| 17 | Pepperdine (7‑10) |
Home | Thu Feb 27, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | San Diego (4‑14) |
Away | Sat Mar 1, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lewis & Clark | ‑‑ | 83‑70 | Home | Wed Nov 6, 10:00 pm |
| 1 | UCSB (11‑5) |
Big WestBig West | 53‑94 | Home | Sat Nov 9, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Oregon (14‑2) |
Big 10Big 10 | 70‑80 (OT) | Away | Tue Nov 12, 11:00 pm |
| 2 | Long Beach St. (7‑10) |
Big WestBig West | 63‑61 | Away | Sat Nov 16, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | South Florida (9‑7) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 68‑74 | Home | Thu Nov 21, 2:30 pm |
| 3 | Ohio (9‑6) |
MACMAC | 73‑85 | Home | Fri Nov 22, 11:30 am |
| 4 | Denver (6‑13) |
SummitSummit | 101‑90 (OT) | Home | Sun Dec 1, 5:00 pm |
| 5 | Kent State (11‑5) |
MACMAC | 57‑76 | Away | Fri Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | UMKC (10‑8) |
SummitSummit | 64‑69 | Home | Tue Dec 10, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | Willamette | ‑‑ | 100‑69 | Home | Mon Dec 16, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (9‑9) |
Big WestBig West | 64‑81 | Home | Wed Dec 18, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | Lafayette (7‑10) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 74‑64 | Home | Sat Dec 21, 4:00 pm |