The Aces What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Aces play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 29 | 13 | X | 3% | 95% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 28 | 13 | X | 3% | 94% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 28 | 14 | X | X | 84% | 12% | 2% | <1% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | 3% | 95% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | 3% | 94% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | 84% | 12% | 2% | <1% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Aces beats Storm |
Worst Case Scenario Storm beats Aces |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 31 | 13 | X | 6% | 94% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 30 | 14 | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 29 | 15 | X | X | 65% | 31% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 28 | 16 | X | X | X | 47% | 25% | 8% | 20% | ^ | ^ |