The Uruguay What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Uruguay plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Gi Goals |
GDi Goal Differential |
Pts | 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 34% | 53% | 12% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26% | 39% | 23% | 12% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 2% | 13% | 25% | 60% |
| Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 32% | 59% | 8% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 26% | 39% | 23% | 12% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 4% | 33% | 63% |
|
Best Case Scenario Spain beats Saudi Arabia Uruguay beats Cape Verde |
Worst Case Scenario Saudi Arabia beats Spain Cape Verde beats Uruguay |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | G | GD | Pts | 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4% | 71% | 23% | 2% |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | X | X | 16% | 84% |