The Most Important Games for the Duke Blue Devils are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Devils final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Duke Blue Devils fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Duke Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Duke (3‑2) vs California (4‑1) |
19 | Duke Wins | 16% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia (4‑1) vs Louisville (4‑0) |
2 | Virginia Wins | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (1‑3) vs Pittsburgh (2‑2) |
1 | Boston College Wins | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest (2‑2) vs Virginia Tech (2‑3) |
1 | Wake Forest Wins | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson (1‑3) vs North Carolina (2‑2) |
1 | Clemson Wins | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse (3‑2) vs SMU (2‑2) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SMU Wins | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. (3‑1) vs Miami (4‑0) |
0 | Florida St. Wins | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||