The Most Important Games for the Duke Blue Devils are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Devils final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Duke Blue Devils fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Duke Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Virginia Tech (3‑8) vs Virginia (9‑2) |
5 | Virginia Tech Wins | 2% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 27% | 8% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 10% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Wins | X | 2% | 7% | 12% | 28% | 10% | 42% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| California (6‑5) vs SMU (8‑3) |
5 | California Wins | <1% | 5% | 8% | 22% | 17% | 6% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 10% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SMU Wins | X | 1% | 8% | 4% | 34% | 12% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Duke (6‑5) vs Wake Forest (8‑3) |
5 | Duke Wins | <1% | 4% | 17% | 23% | 33% | 22% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 10% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | X | X | X | X | 23% | X | 77% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami (9‑2) vs Pittsburgh (8‑3) |
4 | Miami Wins | <1% | 4% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 54% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 10% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | X | X | 2% | 15% | 56% | X | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse (3‑8) vs Boston College (1‑10) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 10% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 10% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston College Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 10% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| N.C. State (6‑5) vs North Carolina (4‑7) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 10% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 10% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 10% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||