The Most Important Games for the Duke Blue Devils are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Devils final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Duke Blue Devils fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Duke Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Boston College (6‑5) vs Pittsburgh (7‑4) |
0 | Boston College Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 38% | 13% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Duke (8‑3) vs Wake Forest (4‑7) |
0 | Duke Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 57% | 43% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 13% | 26% | 38% | 18% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina (6‑5) vs N.C. State (5‑6) |
0 | North Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 35% | 11% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| N.C. State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 46% | 39% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SMU (10‑1) vs California (6‑5) |
0 | SMU Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| California Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse (8‑3) vs Miami (10‑1) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 81% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 77% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Tech (5‑6) vs Virginia (5‑6) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 45% | 35% | 14% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 44% | 40% | 7% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||