The Most Important Games for the Duke Blue Devils are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Devils final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Duke Blue Devils fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Duke Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Wake Forest (5‑3) vs Virginia (8‑1) |
4 | Wake Forest Wins | 6% | 13% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Wins | 7% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| California (5‑4) vs Louisville (7‑1) |
4 | California Wins | 8% | 11% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Louisville Wins | 7% | 8% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stanford (3‑6) vs North Carolina (3‑5) |
0 | Stanford Wins | 7% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami (6‑2) vs Syracuse (3‑6) |
0 | Miami Wins | 7% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 7% | 9% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Clemson (3‑5) vs Florida St. (4‑4) |
0 | Clemson Wins | 7% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SMU (6‑3) vs Boston College (1‑8) |
0 | SMU Wins | 7% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston College Wins | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||