The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| North Carolina (2‑2) vs Pittsburgh (5‑0) |
2 | North Carolina Wins | 4% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 3% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech (1‑3) vs Duke (4‑0) |
2 | Georgia Tech Wins | 4% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Duke Wins | 4% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. (3‑2) vs Louisville (2‑3) |
1 | Florida St. Wins | 4% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 4% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| California (2‑3) vs Virginia Tech (4‑1) |
1 | California Wins | 4% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 3% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State (3‑2) vs Wake Forest (4‑1) |
1 | N.C. State Wins | 4% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 3% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia (3‑2) vs Syracuse (2‑2) |
0 | Virginia Wins | 4% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 3% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||