The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| SMU (8‑3) vs California (6‑5) |
87 | SMU Wins | 56% | 44% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 32% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| California Wins | 1% | 11% | 16% | 35% | 30% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami (9‑2) vs Pittsburgh (8‑3) |
9 | Miami Wins | 37% | 35% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 32% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 35% | 28% | X | 21% | 17% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Tech (3‑8) vs Virginia (9‑2) |
3 | Virginia Tech Wins | 67% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 32% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Wins | 32% | 35% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wake Forest (8‑3) vs Duke (6‑5) |
0 | Wake Forest Wins | 36% | 32% | 8% | 20% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 32% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Duke Wins | 37% | 31% | 4% | 4% | 20% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Syracuse (3‑8) vs Boston College (1‑10) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | 36% | 32% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 32% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston College Wins | 36% | 32% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| N.C. State (6‑5) vs North Carolina (4‑7) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | 36% | 32% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 32% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 36% | 32% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||