The Most Important Games for the SMU Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. SMU Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
SMU Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| SMU (3‑2) vs Stanford (2‑3) |
8 | SMU Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Virginia Tech (2‑4) vs Georgia Tech (5‑0) |
3 | Virginia Tech Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Boston College (1‑4) vs Clemson (2‑3) |
0 | Boston College Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Florida St. (3‑2) vs Pittsburgh (3‑2) |
0 | Florida St. Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ||