Are the North Carolina Tar Heels going to play in the Conference Championship game? The North Carolina standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| Georgia Tech | 6i Georgia Tech Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 18 @ Duke 27-18 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Syracuse 41-16 Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ N.C. State 36-48 Won Sat, Nov 15 @ Boston College 36-34 Sat, Nov 22 vs Pittsburgh Fri, Nov 28 vs Georgia |
1 | 7 | 70% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Virginia | 6 Virginia Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 25 @ North Carolina 17-16 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ California 31-21 Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs Wake Forest 9-16 Won Sat, Nov 15 @ Duke 34-17 Sat, Nov 29 vs Virginia Tech |
1 | 7 | 19% | 54% | 22% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| SMU | 6 SMU Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Wake Forest 12-13 Won Sat, Nov 01 vs Miami 26-20 Won Sat, Nov 08 @ Boston College 45-13 Won Sat, Nov 22 vs Louisville 38-6 Sat, Nov 29 @ California |
1 | 7 | 10% | 33% | 39% | 9% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Pittsburgh | 5 Pittsburgh Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 18 @ Syracuse 30-13 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs N.C. State 53-34 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ Stanford 35-20 Lost Sat, Nov 15 vs Notre Dame 15-37 Sat, Nov 22 @ Georgia Tech Sat, Nov 29 vs Miami |
1 | 6 | 1% | 8% | 12% | 26% | 20% | 25% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Miami | 5 Miami Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ SMU 20-26 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Syracuse 38-10 Won Sat, Nov 15 vs N.C. State 41-7 Won Sat, Nov 22 @ Virginia Tech 34-17 Sat, Nov 29 @ Pittsburgh |
2 | 7 | <1% | 2% | 12% | 33% | 21% | 24% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Duke | 5 Duke Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 01 @ Clemson 46-45 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ UConn 34-37 Lost Sat, Nov 15 vs Virginia 17-34 Won Sat, Nov 22 @ North Carolina 32-25 Sat, Nov 29 vs Wake Forest |
2 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 36% | 5% | 29% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Wake Forest | 4 Wake Forest Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ Florida St. 7-42 Won Sat, Nov 08 @ Virginia 16-9 Won Sat, Nov 15 vs North Carolina 28-12 Won Sat, Nov 22 vs Delaware 52-14 Sat, Nov 29 @ Duke |
3 | 7 | X | X | X | X | 3% | 29% | 31% | 21% | 10% | 3% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Clemson | 4 Clemson Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs SMU 24-35 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Duke 45-46 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Florida St. 24-10 Won Fri, Nov 14 @ Louisville 20-19 Sat, Nov 22 vs Furman Sat, Nov 29 @ South Carolina |
4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 24% | 33% | 24% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Louisville | 4 Louisville Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 01 @ Virginia Tech 28-16 Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs California 26-29 Lost Fri, Nov 14 vs Clemson 19-20 Lost Sat, Nov 22 @ SMU 6-38 Sat, Nov 29 vs Kentucky |
4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 13% | 28% | 33% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| California | 3 California Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 17 vs North Carolina 21-18 Lost Fri, Oct 24 @ Virginia Tech 34-42 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Virginia 21-31 Won Sat, Nov 08 @ Louisville 29-26 Sat, Nov 22 @ Stanford Sat, Nov 29 vs SMU |
3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | 3% | 12% | 9% | 20% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 19% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| N.C. State | 3 N.C. State Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Pittsburgh 34-53 Won Sat, Nov 01 vs Georgia Tech 48-36 Lost Sat, Nov 15 @ Miami 7-41 Won Fri, Nov 21 vs Florida St. 21-11 Sat, Nov 29 vs North Carolina |
4 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 16% | 17% | 23% | 17% | 14% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Virginia Tech | 2 Virginia Tech Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 24 vs California 42-34 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Louisville 16-28 Lost Sat, Nov 15 @ Florida St. 14-34 Lost Sat, Nov 22 vs Miami 17-34 Sat, Nov 29 @ Virginia |
5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 17% | 19% | 25% | 22% | 14% | ^ |
| North Carolina | 2 North Carolina Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 31 @ Syracuse 27-10 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Stanford 20-15 Lost Sat, Nov 15 @ Wake Forest 12-28 Lost Sat, Nov 22 vs Duke 25-32 Sat, Nov 29 @ N.C. State |
5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 17% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 25% | 18% | ^ |
| Stanford | 2 Stanford Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Florida St. 20-13 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Miami 7-42 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Pittsburgh 20-35 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ North Carolina 15-20 Sat, Nov 22 vs California Sat, Nov 29 vs Notre Dame |
5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 19% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 16% | 11% | ^ |
| Florida St. | 2 Florida St. Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 01 vs Wake Forest 42-7 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Clemson 10-24 Won Sat, Nov 15 vs Virginia Tech 34-14 Lost Fri, Nov 21 @ N.C. State 11-21 Sat, Nov 29 @ Florida |
6 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 9% | 27% | 24% | 19% | 21% | ^ |
| Syracuse | 1 Syracuse Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Georgia Tech 16-41 Lost Fri, Oct 31 vs North Carolina 10-27 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Miami 10-38 Lost Sat, Nov 22 @ Notre Dame 7-70 Sat, Nov 29 vs Boston College |
6 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 15% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 25% |
| Boston College | 0 Boston College Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Louisville 24-38 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Notre Dame 10-25 Lost Sat, Nov 08 vs SMU 13-45 Lost Sat, Nov 15 vs Georgia Tech 34-36 Sat, Nov 29 @ Syracuse |
7 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 25% | 75% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Elimination | 100% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clemson (5‑5) |
10‑38 | Home | Sat Oct 4, 12:00 pm |
| 8 | California (6‑4) |
18‑21 | Away | Fri Oct 17, 10:30 pm |
| 9 | Virginia (9‑2) |
16‑17 (OT) | Home | Sat Oct 25, 12:00 pm |
| 10 | Syracuse (3‑8) |
27‑10 | Away | Fri Oct 31, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | Stanford (3‑7) |
20‑15 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 4:30 pm |
| 12 | Wake Forest (8‑3) |
12‑28 | Away | Sat Nov 15, 4:30 pm |
| 13 | Duke (6‑5) |
25‑32 | Home | Sat Nov 22, 3:30 pm |
| 14 | N.C. State (6‑5) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, 7:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TCU (6‑4) |
Big 12Big 12 | 14‑48 | Home | Mon Sep 1, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Charlotte (1‑10) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 20‑3 | Away | Sat Sep 6, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Richmond | ‑‑ | 41‑6 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 3:30 pm |
| 4 | UCF (4‑6) |
Big 12Big 12 | 9‑34 | Away | Sat Sep 20, 3:30 pm |