Are the North Carolina Tar Heels going to play in the Conference Championship game? The North Carolina standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| N.C. State | 1i N.C. State Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs East Carolina 24-17 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Virginia 35-31 Won Thu, Sep 11 @ Wake Forest 34-24 Sat, Sep 20 @ Duke Sat, Sep 27 vs Virginia Tech Sat, Oct 04 vs Campbell Sat, Oct 11 @ Notre Dame |
0 | 1 | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Stanford | 1 Stanford Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 23 @ Hawaii 20-23 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ BYU 3-27 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Boston College 30-20 Sat, Sep 20 @ Virginia Sat, Sep 27 vs San José State Sat, Oct 11 @ SMU Sat, Oct 18 vs Florida St. |
0 | 1 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Georgia Tech | 1 Georgia Tech Recent Games Won Fri, Aug 29 @ Colorado 27-20 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Gardner-Webb 59-12 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Clemson 24-21 Sat, Sep 20 vs Temple Sat, Sep 27 @ Wake Forest Sat, Oct 11 vs Virginia Tech Sat, Oct 18 @ Duke |
0 | 1 | 14% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| California | 0 California Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 @ Oregon St. 34-15 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Texas Southern 35-3 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Minnesota 27-14 Sat, Sep 20 @ San Diego State Sat, Sep 27 @ Boston College Sat, Oct 04 vs Duke Fri, Oct 17 vs North Carolina |
0 | 0 | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Miami | 0 Miami Recent Games Won Sun, Aug 31 vs Notre Dame 27-24 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Bethune-Cookman 45-3 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs South Florida 49-12 Sat, Sep 20 vs Florida Sat, Oct 04 @ Florida St. Fri, Oct 17 vs Louisville Sat, Oct 25 vs Stanford |
0 | 0 | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Florida St. | 0 Florida St. Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Alabama 31-17 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs East Texas A&M 77-3 Sat, Sep 20 vs Kent State Fri, Sep 26 @ Virginia Sat, Oct 04 vs Miami Sat, Oct 11 vs Pittsburgh |
0 | 0 | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Louisville | 0 Louisville Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Eastern Kentucky 51-17 Won Fri, Sep 05 vs James Madison 28-14 Sat, Sep 20 vs Bowling Green Sat, Sep 27 @ Pittsburgh Sat, Oct 04 vs Virginia Fri, Oct 17 @ Miami |
0 | 0 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Virginia | 0 Virginia Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs C. Carolina 48-7 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ N.C. State 31-35 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs William & Mary 55-16 Sat, Sep 20 vs Stanford Fri, Sep 26 vs Florida St. Sat, Oct 04 @ Louisville Sat, Oct 18 vs Wash. St. |
0 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| SMU | 0 SMU Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs East Texas A&M 42-13 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs Baylor 45-48 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ Missouri St. 28-10 Sat, Sep 20 @ TCU Sat, Oct 04 vs Syracuse Sat, Oct 11 vs Stanford Sat, Oct 18 @ Clemson |
0 | 0 | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| North Carolina | 0 North Carolina Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 01 vs TCU 14-48 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Charlotte 20-3 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Richmond 41-6 Sat, Sep 20 @ UCF Sat, Oct 04 vs Clemson Fri, Oct 17 @ California Sat, Oct 25 vs Virginia |
0 | 0 | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% |
| Syracuse | 0 Syracuse Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Tennessee 26-45 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs UConn 27-20 Won Fri, Sep 12 vs Colgate 66-24 Sat, Sep 20 @ Clemson Sat, Sep 27 vs Duke Sat, Oct 04 @ SMU Sat, Oct 18 vs Pittsburgh |
0 | 0 | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Pittsburgh | 0 Pittsburgh Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Duquesne 61-9 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs C. Michigan 45-17 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ West Virginia 24-31 Sat, Sep 27 vs Louisville Sat, Oct 04 vs Boston College Sat, Oct 11 @ Florida St. Sat, Oct 18 @ Syracuse |
0 | 0 | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| Duke | 0 Duke Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Elon 45-17 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs Illinois 19-45 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Tulane 27-34 Sat, Sep 20 vs N.C. State Sat, Sep 27 @ Syracuse Sat, Oct 04 @ California Sat, Oct 18 vs Georgia Tech |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% |
| Virginia Tech | 0 Virginia Tech Recent Games Lost Sun, Aug 31 @ South Carolina 11-24 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs Vanderbilt 20-44 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Old Dominion 26-45 Sat, Sep 20 vs Wofford Sat, Sep 27 @ N.C. State Sat, Oct 04 vs Wake Forest Sat, Oct 11 @ Georgia Tech |
0 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 25% |
| Wake Forest | 0 Wake Forest Recent Games Won Fri, Aug 29 vs Kennesaw St. 10-9 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Western Carolina 42-10 Lost Thu, Sep 11 vs N.C. State 24-34 Sat, Sep 27 vs Georgia Tech Sat, Oct 04 @ Virginia Tech Sat, Oct 11 @ Oregon St. Sat, Oct 25 vs SMU |
1 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% |
| Boston College | 0 Boston College Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Fordham 66-10 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Michigan St. 40-42 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Stanford 20-30 Sat, Sep 27 vs California Sat, Oct 04 @ Pittsburgh Sat, Oct 11 vs Clemson Sat, Oct 18 vs UConn |
1 | 1 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% |
| Clemson | 0 Clemson Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 vs LSU 10-17 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Troy 27-16 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Georgia Tech 21-24 Sat, Sep 20 vs Syracuse Sat, Oct 04 @ North Carolina Sat, Oct 11 @ Boston College Sat, Oct 18 vs SMU |
1 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (3)Georgia Tech | 1 | 0 | 1% |
| (1)N.C. State | 1 | 0 | 1% |
| (5)Miami | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (6)Florida St. | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (7)Louisville | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (4)California | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (9)SMU | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (12)Pittsburgh | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (8)Virginia | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (11)Syracuse | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (2)Stanford | 1 | 0 | <1% |
| (13)Duke | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (15)Wake Forest | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (17)Clemson | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (16)Boston College | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (14)Virginia Tech | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | 92% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clemson (1‑2) |
Home | Sat Oct 4, TBD | |
| 8 | California (3‑0) |
Away | Fri Oct 17, 10:30 pm | |
| 9 | Virginia (2‑1) |
Home | Sat Oct 25, TBD | |
| 10 | Syracuse (2‑1) |
Away | Fri Oct 31, 7:30 pm | |
| 11 | Stanford (1‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 8, TBD | |
| 12 | Wake Forest (2‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 15, TBD | |
| 13 | Duke (1‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | N.C. State (3‑0) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TCU (2‑0) |
Big 12Big 12 | 14‑48 | Home | Mon Sep 1, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Charlotte (1‑2) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 20‑3 | Away | Sat Sep 6, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Richmond | ‑‑ | 41‑6 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 3:30 pm |
| 4 | UCF (2‑0) |
Big 12Big 12 | Away | Sat Sep 20, 3:30 pm |