The Most Important Games for the Black Knights Army are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Army final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Black Knights Army fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Black Knights Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| South Florida (6‑3) vs Memphis (7‑2) |
9 | South Florida Wins | 2% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 9% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Memphis Wins | 1% | 6% | 22% | 29% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Temple (2‑7) vs UAB (5‑4) |
1 | Temple Wins | 2% | 9% | 22% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 9% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB Wins | 1% | 8% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas (7‑2) vs UTSA (7‑2) |
1 | North Texas Wins | 1% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 9% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA Wins | 2% | 8% | 17% | 27% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa (5‑4) vs Florida Atlantic (6‑3) |
1 | Tulsa Wins | 2% | 9% | 22% | 28% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 9% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 1% | 9% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice (1‑8) vs Tulane (4‑5) |
1 | Rice Wins | 2% | 9% | 21% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 9% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | 1% | 9% | 21% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte (1‑8) vs East Carolina (5‑4) |
1 | Charlotte Wins | 1% | 10% | 23% | 27% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 9% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina Wins | 1% | 9% | 21% | 23% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||