The Most Important Games for the Black Knights Army are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Army final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Black Knights Army fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Black Knights Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Black Knights (2‑3) vs Charlotte (1‑4) |
1 | Black Knights Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 10% | ||
| UAB (2‑3) vs Florida Atlantic (2‑3) |
0 | UAB Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| South Florida (4‑1) vs North Texas (5‑0) |
0 | South Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| North Texas Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Rice (3‑3) vs UTSA (2‑3) |
0 | Rice Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| UTSA Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Navy (5‑0) vs Temple (3‑2) |
0 | Navy Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Temple Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 5% | ||