The Most Important Games for the Black Knights Army are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Army final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Black Knights Army fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Black Knights Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Memphis (8‑3) vs Navy (8‑2) |
0 | Memphis Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 27% | 19% | 36% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 13% | 14% | 21% | 35% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas (10‑1) vs Temple (5‑6) |
0 | North Texas Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 20% | 22% | 38% | 10% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Temple Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 19% | 7% | 22% | 40% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic (4‑7) vs East Carolina (7‑4) |
0 | Florida Atlantic Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 9% | 8% | 13% | 52% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 25% | 24% | 28% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane (9‑2) vs Charlotte (1‑10) |
0 | Tulane Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa (4‑7) vs UAB (3‑8) |
0 | Tulsa Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Black Knights (5‑5) vs UTSA (6‑5) |
0 | Black Knights Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 21% | 56% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 21% | 52% | 24% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida (8‑3) vs Rice (5‑6) |
0 | South Florida Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 19% | 19% | 41% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 20% | 24% | 16% | 23% | 11% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||