The Black Knights Army What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Black Knights plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 19% | 24% | 22% | 13% | 2% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
|||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 5 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 24% | 33% | 25% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 34% | 23% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 26% | 42% | 23% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 39% | 46% | 9% | <1% |