The Most Important Games for the East Carolina Pirates are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. East Carolina Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
East Carolina Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UTSA (5‑5) vs Temple (3‑7) |
0 | UTSA Wins | X | X | 31% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 32% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Temple Wins | X | X | 32% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB (2‑8) vs Rice (3‑7) |
0 | UAB Wins | X | X | 31% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 32% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice Wins | X | X | 32% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic (2‑8) vs Charlotte (3‑7) |
0 | Florida Atlantic Wins | X | X | 31% | 20% | 17% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 32% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte Wins | X | X | 31% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 12% | 9% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina (6‑4) vs North Texas (5‑5) |
0 | East Carolina Wins | X | X | 35% | 26% | 30% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 32% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas Wins | X | X | 27% | 16% | 4% | 14% | 19% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida (5‑5) vs Tulsa (3‑7) |
0 | South Florida Wins | X | X | 32% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 32% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa Wins | X | X | 32% | 21% | 21% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||