PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 20 10:15 am

American Athletic Football - Week 4 of 13

East Carolina Pirates Standings

Are the East Carolina Pirates going to play in the Conference Championship game? The East Carolina standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

American Athletic Football Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
8 game season
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
South Florida 1i
South Florida Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs Florida Intl.    19-9 
Won  Sat, Sep 12 @  Black Knights    28-24
Won  Sat, Sep 19 vs Delaware State   59-17
     Sat, Sep 26 @  Bowling Green    
     Sat, Oct 03 vs Temple           
     Thu, Oct 08 @  UTSA             
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Kent State       

0 1 20% 14% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Florida Atlantic 1
Florida Atlantic Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 05 @  Florida          21-66
Won  Sat, Sep 12 vs Navy             38-30
Won  Sat, Sep 19 vs Florida Intl.    16-10
     Sat, Sep 26 @  LA Monroe        
     Sat, Oct 03 vs Texas Southern   
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Black Knights    
     Sat, Oct 24 vs Rice             

0 1 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1%
 
Tulsa 0
Tulsa Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs Oklahoma St.     24-10
Won  Sat, Sep 12 @  Sam Houston      23-17
Won  Sat, Sep 19 vs East Texas A&M 42-0 
     Sat, Sep 26 @  Arkansas         
     Thu, Oct 01 vs North Texas      
     Sat, Oct 10 @  Navy             
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Rice             

0 0 18% 14% 11% 9% 8% 8% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1%
Memphis 0
Memphis Recent Games

Won  Sat, Aug 29 @  UNLV             27-21
Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs Arkansas St.     42-24
Lost Sat, Sep 12 @  Boise State      20-38
Won  Sat, Sep 19 vs UT Martin        45-21
     Sat, Oct 03 @  Charlotte        
     Sat, Oct 10 vs UAB              
     Fri, Oct 16 @  Tulane           
     Thu, Oct 22 vs East Carolina    

0 0 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3%
UTSA 0
UTSA Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs UT Rio Grande Valley 45-16
Won  Sat, Sep 12 @  Texas St.        31-26
Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Texas             6-30
     Sat, Sep 26 vs Colorado St.     
     Sat, Oct 03 @  Rice             
     Thu, Oct 08 vs South Florida    
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Navy             

0 0 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4%
East Carolina 0
East Carolina Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 05 @  Alabama          10-48
Lost Sat, Sep 12 vs App. St.         24-27
Won  Sat, Sep 19 @  Old Dominion     20-17
     Sat, Sep 26 vs North Carolina Central 
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Rice             
     Thu, Oct 15 @  UAB              
     Thu, Oct 22 @  Memphis          

0 0 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6%
Tulane 0
Tulane Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 05 @  Duke              3-17
Won  Sat, Sep 12 vs South Alabama    28-24
Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Kansas St.       20-31
     Sat, Sep 26 vs Southern Miss    
     Sat, Oct 10 @  Black Knights    
     Fri, Oct 16 vs Memphis          
     Sat, Oct 24 vs UTSA             

0 0 7% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6%
North Texas 0
North Texas Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 05 @  Indiana          16-52
Won  Sat, Sep 12 vs UNLV             44-6 
Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Texas St.        35-49
     Sat, Sep 26 vs Houston Christian 
     Thu, Oct 01 @  Tulsa            
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Charlotte        
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Navy             

0 0 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 8%
Temple 0
Temple Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs Rhode Island     38-14
Lost Sat, Sep 12 vs Penn St.          9-27
Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Toledo           48-49
     Fri, Sep 25 vs Black Knights    
     Sat, Oct 03 @  South Florida    
     Sat, Oct 10 vs UConn            
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Charlotte        

0 0 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9%
UAB 0
UAB Recent Games

Lost Thu, Sep 03 @  Illinois         23-42
Won  Sat, Sep 12 vs LA Monroe        26-20
Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  UL Lafayette     14-21
     Fri, Sep 25 vs Navy             
     Sat, Oct 03 vs Samford          
     Sat, Oct 10 @  Memphis          
     Thu, Oct 15 vs East Carolina    

0 0 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10%
Rice 0
Rice Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs Houston Christian 31-3 
Lost Sat, Sep 12 @  Notre Dame        0-52
Lost Sat, Sep 19 vs W. Michigan      21-28
     Sat, Sep 26 @  Fresno State     
     Sat, Oct 03 vs UTSA             
     Sat, Oct 10 @  East Carolina    
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Tulsa            

0 0 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11%
Charlotte 0
Charlotte Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 05 vs The Citadel      41-43
Lost Sat, Sep 12 @  Ole Miss          9-41
Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  App. St.         21-26
     Sat, Sep 26 vs UL Lafayette     
     Sat, Oct 03 vs Memphis          
     Sat, Oct 10 @  North Texas      
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Temple           

0 0 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 10% 11% 14% 21%
Navy 0
Navy Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs Towson           42-15
Lost Sat, Sep 12 @  Florida Atlantic 30-38
     Fri, Sep 25 @  UAB              
     Sat, Oct 03 @  Air Force        
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Tulsa            
     Sat, Oct 17 @  UTSA             

1 1 1% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8%
Black Knights 0
Black Knights Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs Bryant           59-3 
Lost Sat, Sep 12 vs South Florida    24-28
     Fri, Sep 25 @  Temple           
     Sat, Oct 03 @  Louisiana Tech   
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Tulane           
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Florida Atlantic 

1 1 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 12% 12%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant


(6) Pirates 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
(3)Tulsa 0 0 4%
(5)UTSA 0 0 2%
(1)South Florida 1 0 2%
(2)Florida Atlantic 1 0 1%
(7)Tulane 0 0 1%
(4)Memphis 0 0 1%
(8)North Texas 0 0 1%
(13)Navy 0 1 <1%
(11)Rice 0 0 <1%
(9)Temple 0 0 <1%
(10)UAB 0 0 <1%
(14)Black Knights 0 1 <1%
(12)Charlotte 0 0 <1%



Pirates Conference Schedule
Current Week 4
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
6 Rice
(1‑2)
  Home Sat Oct 10, TBD
7 UAB
(1‑2)
  Away Thu Oct 15, 7:30 pm
8 Memphis
(3‑1)
  Away Thu Oct 22, 7:30 pm
9 Temple
(1‑2)
  Home Sat Oct 31, TBD
10 South Florida
(3‑0)
  Home Fri Nov 6, 7:30 pm
11 Charlotte
(0‑3)
  Away Sat Nov 14, TBD
12 Black Knights
(1‑1)
  Away Sat Nov 21, 12:00 pm
13 Florida Atlantic
(2‑1)
  Home Fri Nov 27, TBD


Pirates Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Alabama
(3‑0)
SECSEC 10‑48 Away Sat Sep 5, 12:00 pm
2 Appalachian St.App. St.
(3‑0)
SunbeltSunbelt 24‑27 Home Sat Sep 12, 12:00 pm
3 Old Dominion
(1‑2)
SunbeltSunbelt 20‑17 Away Sat Sep 19, 6:00 pm
4 North Carolina Central ‑‑   Home Sat Sep 26, 4:00 pm