The Most Important Games for the Memphis Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Memphis Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Memphis Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Memphis (7‑2) vs South Florida (6‑3) |
45 | Memphis Wins | 32% | 46% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 39% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | 3% | 29% | 29% | 18% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas (7‑2) vs UTSA (7‑2) |
13 | North Texas Wins | 14% | 52% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 39% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA Wins | 27% | 25% | 24% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa (5‑4) vs Florida Atlantic (6‑3) |
2 | Tulsa Wins | 20% | 40% | 21% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 39% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 20% | 37% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Temple (2‑7) vs UAB (5‑4) |
2 | Temple Wins | 20% | 40% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 39% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB Wins | 20% | 38% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte (1‑8) vs East Carolina (5‑4) |
1 | Charlotte Wins | 20% | 39% | 21% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 39% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina Wins | 21% | 38% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice (1‑8) vs Tulane (4‑5) |
0 | Rice Wins | 21% | 39% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 39% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | 21% | 39% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||