The Most Important Games for the Memphis Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Memphis Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Memphis Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Memphis (4‑1) vs UAB (3‑2) |
21 | Memphis Wins | 21% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UAB Wins | 6% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Charlotte (0‑5) vs North Texas (3‑2) |
2 | Charlotte Wins | 20% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| North Texas Wins | 18% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Navy (1‑3) vs Tulsa (3‑2) |
1 | Navy Wins | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tulsa Wins | 18% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Black Knights (2‑2) vs Tulane (2‑2) |
1 | Black Knights Wins | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tulane Wins | 18% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UTSA (4‑1) vs South Florida (4‑1) |
0 | UTSA Wins | 18% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| South Florida Wins | 21% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rice (1‑4) vs East Carolina (2‑2) |
0 | Rice Wins | 18% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| East Carolina Wins | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||