The Memphis Tigers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Memphis plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 3% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 85% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 7 | 1 | 40% | 45% | 13% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 4% | 22% | 39% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 5 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 21% | 34% | 26% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 | 4 | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 17% | 31% | 29% | 15% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 11% | 26% | 33% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 23% | 35% | 26% | 6% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 10% | 30% | 59% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 95% |