The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Tulsa (2‑3) vs Memphis (5‑0) |
2 | Tulsa Wins | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Memphis Wins | 18% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Temple (2‑2) vs UTSA (2‑2) |
2 | Temple Wins | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UTSA Wins | 18% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Atlantic (1‑3) vs Rice (3‑2) |
1 | Florida Atlantic Wins | 19% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rice Wins | 18% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Black Knights (1‑3) vs UAB (2‑2) |
1 | Black Knights Wins | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UAB Wins | 19% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte (1‑3) vs South Florida (3‑1) |
0 | Charlotte Wins | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Florida Wins | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||