The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UTSA (5‑5) vs Temple (3‑7) |
0 | UTSA Wins | X | X | 57% | 24% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 57% | 26% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Temple Wins | X | X | 57% | 27% | 16% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB (2‑8) vs Rice (3‑7) |
0 | UAB Wins | X | X | 57% | 26% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 57% | 26% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice Wins | X | X | 57% | 26% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic (2‑8) vs Charlotte (3‑7) |
0 | Florida Atlantic Wins | X | X | 57% | 26% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 57% | 26% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte Wins | X | X | 57% | 26% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas (5‑5) vs East Carolina (6‑4) |
0 | North Texas Wins | X | X | 57% | 26% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 57% | 26% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina Wins | X | X | 57% | 25% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida (5‑5) vs Tulsa (3‑7) |
0 | South Florida Wins | X | X | 57% | 25% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 57% | 26% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa Wins | X | X | 56% | 26% | 17% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||