Are the Navy Midshipmen going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Navy standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Navy | 3i Navy Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs VMI 52-7 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs UAB 38-24 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ Tulsa 42-23 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Rice 21-13 Sat, Oct 04 vs Air Force Sat, Oct 11 @ Temple Sat, Oct 25 vs Florida Atlantic Sat, Nov 01 @ North Texas |
0 | 3 | 18% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Tulane | 1 Tulane Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 @ South Alabama 33-31 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Duke 34-27 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Ole Miss 10-45 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Tulsa 31-14 Thu, Oct 09 vs East Carolina Sat, Oct 18 vs Black Knights Thu, Oct 30 @ UTSA Fri, Nov 07 @ Memphis |
0 | 1 | 21% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| North Texas | 1 North Texas Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 @ W. Michigan 33-30 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Wash. St. 59-10 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Black Knights 45-38 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs South Alabama 36-22 Fri, Oct 10 vs South Florida Sat, Oct 18 vs UTSA Fri, Oct 24 @ Charlotte Sat, Nov 01 vs Navy |
0 | 1 | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Memphis | 1 Memphis Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Georgia St. 38-16 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ Troy 28-7 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Arkansas 32-31 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Florida Atlantic 55-26 Sat, Oct 04 vs Tulsa Sat, Oct 18 @ UAB Sat, Oct 25 vs South Florida Fri, Oct 31 @ Rice |
0 | 1 | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| East Carolina | 1 East Carolina Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Campbell 56-3 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ C. Carolina 38-0 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs BYU 13-34 Won Thu, Sep 25 vs Black Knights 28-6 Thu, Oct 09 @ Tulane Thu, Oct 16 vs Tulsa Sat, Nov 01 @ Temple Sat, Nov 08 vs Charlotte |
0 | 1 | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Rice | 1 Rice Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs Houston 9-35 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Prairie View A&M 38-17 Won Thu, Sep 18 @ Charlotte 28-17 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Navy 13-21 Sat, Oct 04 vs Florida Atlantic Sat, Oct 11 @ UTSA Sat, Oct 25 vs UConn Fri, Oct 31 vs Memphis |
1 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| South Florida | 0 South Florida Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Boise State 34-7 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Florida 18-16 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Miami 12-49 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs South Carolina State 63-14 Fri, Oct 03 vs Charlotte Fri, Oct 10 @ North Texas Sat, Oct 18 vs Florida Atlantic Sat, Oct 25 @ Memphis |
0 | 0 | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| UTSA | 0 UTSA Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Texas A&M 24-42 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs Texas St. 36-43 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Incarnate Word 48-20 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Colorado St. 17-16 Sat, Oct 04 @ Temple Sat, Oct 11 vs Rice Sat, Oct 18 @ North Texas Thu, Oct 30 vs Tulane |
0 | 0 | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| Temple | 0 Temple Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 @ UMass 42-10 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Howard 55-7 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Oklahoma 3-42 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Georgia Tech 24-45 Sat, Oct 04 vs UTSA Sat, Oct 11 vs Navy Sat, Oct 18 @ Charlotte Sat, Oct 25 @ Tulsa |
0 | 0 | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% |
| UAB | 0 UAB Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Alabama State 52-42 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Navy 24-38 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Akron 31-28 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Tennessee 24-56 Sat, Oct 04 vs Black Knights Sat, Oct 11 @ Florida Atlantic Sat, Oct 18 vs Memphis Sat, Nov 01 @ UConn |
1 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Florida Atlantic | 0 Florida Atlantic Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Maryland 7-39 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Florida A&M 56-14 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Florida Intl. 28-38 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Memphis 26-55 Sat, Oct 04 @ Rice Sat, Oct 11 vs UAB Sat, Oct 18 @ South Florida Sat, Oct 25 @ Navy |
1 | 1 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 17% |
| Charlotte | 0 Charlotte Recent Games Lost Fri, Aug 29 vs App. St. 11-34 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs North Carolina 3-20 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Monmouth 42-35 Lost Thu, Sep 18 vs Rice 17-28 Fri, Oct 03 @ South Florida Sat, Oct 11 @ Black Knights Sat, Oct 18 vs Temple Fri, Oct 24 vs North Texas |
1 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 26% |
| Tulsa | 0 Tulsa Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ New Mexico St. 14-21 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Navy 23-42 Won Fri, Sep 19 @ Oklahoma St. 19-12 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Tulane 14-31 Sat, Oct 04 @ Memphis Thu, Oct 16 @ East Carolina Sat, Oct 25 vs Temple Sat, Nov 08 @ Florida Atlantic |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Black Knights | 0 Black Knights Recent Games Lost Fri, Aug 29 vs Tarleton State 27-30 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Kansas St. 24-21 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs North Texas 38-45 Lost Thu, Sep 25 @ East Carolina 6-28 Sat, Oct 04 @ UAB Sat, Oct 11 vs Charlotte Sat, Oct 18 @ Tulane Sat, Nov 01 @ Air Force |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 18% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (2)Tulane | 1 | 0 | 11% |
| (4)Memphis | 1 | 0 | 7% |
| (3)North Texas | 1 | 0 | 6% |
| (5)East Carolina | 1 | 0 | 4% |
| (7)South Florida | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (8)UTSA | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (9)Temple | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (6)Rice | 1 | 1 | 1% |
| (10)UAB | 0 | 1 | 1% |
| (13)Tulsa | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (11)Florida Atlantic | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (14)Black Knights | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (12)Charlotte | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| Elimination | 64% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UAB (2‑2) |
38‑24 | Home | Sat Sep 6, 3:30 pm |
| 3 | Tulsa (2‑3) |
42‑23 | Away | Sat Sep 13, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Rice (3‑2) |
21‑13 | Home | Sat Sep 27, 3:30 pm |
| 7 | Temple (2‑2) |
Away | Sat Oct 11, TBD | |
| 9 | Florida Atlantic (1‑3) |
Home | Sat Oct 25, 3:30 pm | |
| 10 | North Texas (5‑0) |
Away | Sat Nov 1, TBD | |
| 12 | South Florida (3‑1) |
Home | Sat Nov 15, 12:00 pm | |
| 14 | Memphis (5‑0) |
Away | Thu Nov 27, 7:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VMI | ‑‑ | 52‑7 | Home | Sat Aug 30, 12:00 pm |
| 6 | Air Force (1‑3) |
Mountain WestMntn West | Home | Sat Oct 4, 12:00 pm | |
| 11 | Notre Dame (2‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Sat Nov 8, 7:30 pm |