The Most Important Games for the Rice Owls are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Owls final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rice Owls fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) | Game Winner | Rice Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant | 2* Conference Championship Game Participant | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Rice (4‑4) vs Memphis (7‑1) | 0 | Rice Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 25% | 7% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 30% | 15% | 1% | ||
| Memphis Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 26% | 34% | 18% | 1% | ||
| Navy (7‑0) vs North Texas (7‑1) | 0 | Navy Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 22% | 30% | 15% | 1% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 30% | 15% | 1% | ||
| North Texas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 22% | 31% | 15% | 1% | ||
| Temple (5‑3) vs East Carolina (4‑3) | 0 | Temple Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 22% | 30% | 14% | 1% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 30% | 15% | 1% | ||
| East Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 23% | 31% | 14% | 1% | ||