The Rice Owls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Rice plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 4 | X | X | X | X | 5% | 23% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 2 | 4 | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 9% | 11% | 12% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 15% | 23% | 24% | 1% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Current Standings | X | X | X | X | 3% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 9% | 11% | 12% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
|||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 4 | 4 | X | X | X | X | 11% | 53% | 22% | 10% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 14% | 32% | 39% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 16% | 39% | 41% | 1% |