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Tue Jan 14 8:30 am

Atlantic Hockey - Week 16 of 21

Robert Morris Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Robert Morris Colonials are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colonials final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Robert Morris Colonials fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Robert Morris Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Robert Morris Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Robert Morris
(8‑10‑3)

vs
Canisius
(7‑11‑2)

1 Game Remaining
20 Robert Morris Sweeps 1 Game 3% 5% 8% 12% 17% 22% 22% 8% 3% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 22% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Canisius Sweeps 1 Game 1% 2% 4% 7% 12% 21% 26% 17% 8% 1% <1%
Army
(7‑16)

vs
Air Force
(12‑12‑1)

2 Games Remaining
7 Army Sweeps 2 Games 2% 5% 8% 11% 15% 19% 19% 12% 8% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 22% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Air Force Sweeps 2 Games 2% 4% 6% 9% 14% 24% 25% 12% 4% 1% <1%
Bentley
(12‑8‑2)

vs
Holy Cross
(9‑12‑2)

2 Games Remaining
3 Bentley Sweeps 2 Games 2% 4% 7% 10% 16% 21% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 22% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Holy Cross Sweeps 2 Games 2% 4% 7% 9% 14% 22% 23% 13% 5% 1% <1%
Mercyhurst
(2‑19‑3)

vs
Niagara
(11‑9‑3)

1 Game Remaining
3 Mercyhurst Sweeps 1 Game 2% 5% 7% 11% 15% 21% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 22% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Niagara Sweeps 1 Game 2% 4% 7% 10% 16% 22% 22% 12% 6% 1% <1%
Sacred Heart
(12‑8‑4)

vs
American Int'l
(7‑13‑1)

2 Games Remaining
2 Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games 2% 4% 7% 10% 16% 24% 20% 11% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 22% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
American Int'l Sweeps 2 Games 3% 5% 7% 10% 13% 18% 25% 14% 6% 1% <1%


Robert Morris Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Robert Morris Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Robert Morris
(8‑10‑3)

vs
Canisius
(7‑11‑2)
20 Robert Morris Wins 3% 5% 8% 12% 17% 22% 22% 8% 3% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 22% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Canisius Wins 1% 2% 4% 7% 12% 21% 26% 17% 8% 1% <1%
Army
(7‑16)

vs
Air Force
(12‑12‑1)
3 Army Wins 2% 4% 7% 11% 15% 21% 20% 12% 7% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 22% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Air Force Wins 2% 4% 7% 9% 14% 22% 24% 12% 4% 1% <1%
Bentley
(12‑8‑2)

vs
Holy Cross
(9‑12‑2)
3 Bentley Wins 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 21% 23% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 22% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Holy Cross Wins 2% 4% 7% 9% 14% 22% 24% 13% 5% 1% <1%
Mercyhurst
(2‑19‑3)

vs
Niagara
(11‑9‑3)
3 Mercyhurst Wins 2% 5% 7% 11% 15% 21% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 22% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Niagara Wins 2% 4% 7% 10% 16% 22% 22% 12% 6% 1% <1%
Sacred Heart
(12‑8‑4)

vs
American Int'l
(7‑13‑1)
1 Sacred Heart Wins 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 23% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 22% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
American Int'l Wins 2% 5% 7% 10% 13% 19% 24% 13% 6% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament