The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (10‑1) vs Wisconsin (6‑1‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
19 | Michigan Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 1 Game | 26% | 26% | 22% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (3‑7‑1) vs Notre Dame (3‑5‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Minnesota Sweeps 1 Game | 32% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Sweeps 1 Game | 32% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State (6‑1) vs Penn State (9‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Michigan State Sweeps 1 Game | 33% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Sweeps 1 Game | 33% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (10‑1) vs Wisconsin (6‑1‑2) |
19 | Michigan Wins | 36% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 26% | 26% | 22% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (3‑7‑1) vs Notre Dame (3‑5‑1) |
1 | Minnesota Wins | 32% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 32% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State (6‑1) vs Penn State (9‑2) |
1 | Michigan State Wins | 33% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 33% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||