The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (20‑4) vs Ohio State (8‑13‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
62 | Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 54% | 28% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 29% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 31% | 33% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (18‑6) vs Michigan State (19‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
16 | Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 50% | 28% | 16% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 29% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | 41% | 37% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑16‑1) vs Wisconsin (15‑7‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
4 | Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 49% | 30% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 29% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 47% | 28% | 18% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (20‑4) vs Ohio State (8‑13‑1) |
30 | Michigan Wins | 50% | 29% | 16% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 29% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State Wins | 34% | 32% | 25% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (18‑6) vs Michigan State (19‑5) |
4 | Penn State Wins | 49% | 27% | 18% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 29% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Wins | 47% | 29% | 18% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑16‑1) vs Wisconsin (15‑7‑2) |
2 | Minnesota Wins | 48% | 30% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 48% | 29% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 47% | 29% | 18% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||