The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (16‑4) vs Notre Dame (4‑11‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
39 | Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 33% | 25% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 25% | 34% | 23% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State (6‑10) vs Michigan State (12‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
12 | Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 38% | 19% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | 25% | 31% | 28% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑10‑1) vs Penn State (11‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 34% | 26% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 26% | 33% | 26% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (16‑4) vs Notre Dame (4‑11‑1) |
23 | Michigan Wins | 28% | 33% | 25% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 17% | 30% | 31% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State (6‑10) vs Michigan State (12‑4) |
6 | Ohio State Wins | 29% | 35% | 23% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Wins | 26% | 31% | 27% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑10‑1) vs Penn State (11‑5) |
2 | Minnesota Wins | 27% | 34% | 26% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 32% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 26% | 33% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||