The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (9‑2‑1) vs Minnesota (12‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
50 | Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 35% | 34% | 21% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 28% | 28% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 24% | 35% | 26% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin (4‑8) vs Michigan State (9‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
16 | Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 26% | 23% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 28% | 28% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | 22% | 28% | 29% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (4‑7) vs Ohio State (9‑2‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 24% | 32% | 29% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 28% | 28% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 23% | 28% | 27% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (9‑2‑1) vs Minnesota (12‑2) |
24 | Michigan Wins | 28% | 31% | 25% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 28% | 28% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 17% | 27% | 32% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin (4‑8) vs Michigan State (9‑1) |
8 | Wisconsin Wins | 27% | 27% | 26% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 28% | 28% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Wins | 23% | 29% | 28% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (4‑7) vs Ohio State (9‑2‑1) |
2 | Penn State Wins | 24% | 30% | 28% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 28% | 28% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State Wins | 24% | 28% | 28% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||