The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (4‑0) vs Ohio State (1‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
28 | Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 37% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 24% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Penn State (0‑2) vs Minnesota (0‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 34% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 33% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Notre Dame (2‑0) vs Wisconsin (4‑0) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 34% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 33% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (4‑0) vs Ohio State (1‑1) |
14 | Michigan Wins | 34% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Ohio State Wins | 28% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Notre Dame (2‑0) vs Wisconsin (4‑0) |
1 | Notre Dame Wins | 34% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 34% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Minnesota (0‑2) vs Penn State (0‑2) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | 33% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 33% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||