The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (16‑4) vs Notre Dame (4‑13‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
44 | Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 33% | 32% | 24% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 31% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 25% | 33% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State (6‑11‑1) vs Michigan State (14‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
15 | Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 38% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 31% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | 30% | 30% | 26% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑10‑1) vs Penn State (12‑6) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 33% | 32% | 24% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 31% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 30% | 25% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan (16‑4) vs Notre Dame (4‑13‑1) |
23 | Michigan Wins | 32% | 31% | 24% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 31% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 21% | 29% | 30% | 16% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State (6‑11‑1) vs Michigan State (14‑4) |
8 | Ohio State Wins | 35% | 31% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 31% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan State Wins | 31% | 31% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (8‑10‑1) vs Penn State (12‑6) |
2 | Minnesota Wins | 32% | 32% | 25% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 32% | 31% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 31% | 31% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||