Michigan Wolverines What If?

	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Bye	2^** First Round Home Field Advantage	3^** First Round Home Field Advantage	4^** First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7
Win Next Game	4	1	0	0	14	28%	31%	25%	14%	1%	<1%	<1%
Current Standings	3	1	0	0	11	23%	28%	28%	18%	2%	<1%	<1%
Lose Next Game	3	1	0	1	11	17%	27%	32%	22%	2%	<1%	<1%

	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Bye	2^** First Round Home Field Advantage	3^** First Round Home Field Advantage	4^** First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7
Michigan Sweeps	5	1	0	0	17	35%	34%	21%	9%	1%	<1%	<1%
Current Standings	3	1	0	0	11	23%	28%	28%	18%	2%	<1%	<1%
Minnesota Sweeps	3	1	0	2	11	12%	24%	35%	26%	2%	<1%	<1%

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First Round Bye	2^** First Round Home Field Advantage	3^** First Round Home Field Advantage	4^** First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7
Best Case Scenario	33%	29%	23%	13%	2%	<1%	<1%
Current Standings	23%	28%	28%	18%	2%	<1%	<1%
Worst Case Scenario	17%	28%	31%	22%	2%	<1%	<1%
Best Case Scenario Michigan beats Minnesota Wisconsin beats Michigan State				Worst Case Scenario Minnesota beats Michigan Michigan State beats Wisconsin

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Bye	2^** First Round Home Field Advantage	3^** First Round Home Field Advantage	4^** First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7
20 of 20	100%	23	1	0	0	71	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^
19 of 20	95%	22	1	0	1	68	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^
18 of 20	90%	21	1	0	2	65	>99%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
17 of 20	85%	20	1	0	3	62	97%	3%	^	^	^	^	^
16 of 20	80%	19	1	0	4	59	87%	13%	<1%	^	^	^	^
15 of 20	75%	18	1	0	5	56	64%	35%	<1%	^	^	^	^
14 of 20	70%	17	1	0	6	53	35%	60%	6%	<1%	^	^	^
13 of 20	65%	16	1	0	7	50	12%	63%	25%	<1%	^	^	^
12 of 20	60%	15	1	0	8	47	2%	41%	53%	4%	^	^	^
11 of 20	55%	14	1	0	9	44	<1%	16%	64%	20%	<1%	^	^
10 of 20	50%	13	1	0	10	41	<1%	4%	52%	43%	<1%	<1%	^
9 of 20	45%	12	1	0	11	38	<1%	1%	31%	65%	4%	<1%	^
8 of 20	40%	11	1	0	12	35	X	<1%	13%	72%	15%	<1%	<1%
7 of 20	35%	10	1	0	13	32	X	<1%	3%	58%	36%	2%	<1%
6 of 20	30%	9	1	0	14	29	X	X	<1%	32%	57%	11%	<1%
5 of 20	25%	8	1	0	15	26	X	X	<1%	10%	58%	31%	1%
4 of 20	20%	7	1	0	16	23	X	X	X	1%	38%	54%	6%
3 of 20	15%	6	1	0	17	20	X	X	X	<1%	16%	66%	19%
2 of 20	10%	5	1	0	18	17	X	X	X	X	4%	57%	39%
1 of 20	5%	4	1	0	19	14	X	X	X	X	<1%	35%	65%
0 of 20	0%	3	1	0	20	11	X	X	X	X	X	13%	87%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
** denotes first round bye home field advantage in the post season conference tournament

Big 10 Hockey - Week 9 of 22